Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Sun. Nov. 9, 2003

Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Jun. 21, 2024)

(iShares Russell 2000)
IWM latest price $54.0000 (-0.75%) ($54.0000 - $54.7000) on Sun. Nov. 9, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.22% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $54.0000(-0.75%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IWM advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IWM advances 2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IWM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Factors Impacting IWM price   IWM will decline at least -0.61% in a week (0% probabilities).
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.61% (StdDev 1.22%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $53.95(0.09%)
10 Day Moving Average   $53.3(1.31%)
20 Day Moving Average   $52.66(2.54%)
To recent high   -0.8%
To recent low   17.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average Volume    million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)   1.3
One Month Target Price   > $54
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price   < $50.71

$. The price is -0.8% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's -5.5% away from the target price of 54.
$. IWM price fluctuates within 1.96% (three month std-dev: 1.22%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20031209

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_7_2003	49.09	52.66	53.3	53.95			54(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	38	-10000	8	126	5.8	59%	0.18	56.6	1.22%	0	1.3	63	0
2	Nov_6_2003	49	52.55	52.98	53.7			54.41(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	32	-10000	8	105	6.67	59%	0.18	56.4	1.21%	0	1.9	67	0
3	Nov_5_2003	48.91	52.42	52.62	53.44			53.99(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	23	-10000	6	74	8.29	57%	0.18	61.4	1.22%	0	1.7	55	0
4	Nov_4_2003	48.82	52.29	52.34	53.23			53.72(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	19	-10000	7	54	5.42	57%	0.16	69.6	1.24%	0	1.7	57	0
5	Nov_3_2003	48.74	52.19	52.18	53.01			53.65(1.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	20	-10000	14	39	5.43	57%	0.18	86.1	1.25%	0	1.8	51	0

6	Oct_31_2003	48.65	52.08	52.01	52.55			52.75(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	12	-10000	13	10	4.89	53%	0.14	90.1	1.25%	0	0.9	49	0
7	Oct_30_2003	48.58	52	51.91	52.13			53.1(0.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	9	-10000	15	-11	8.19	53%	0.16	84	1.25%	0	1.4	57	0
8	Oct_29_2003	48.5	51.86	51.87	51.66			52.95(0.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	1	-10000	11	-30	9.49	53%	0.17	69.4	1.25%	0	1.2	56	0
9	Oct_28_2003	48.42	51.71	51.79	51.31			52.6(2.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-10	-10000	2	-44	6.61	55%	0.17	45.4	1.25%	0	0.8	57	0
10	Oct_27_2003	48.34	51.52	51.82	51.26			51.37(1.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-14	-10000	-5	-41	7.5	52%	0.12	28.4	1.22%	0	-0.1	48	0

11	Oct_24_2003	48.28	51.42	51.95	51.41			50.63(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-13	-10000	-8	-26	8.9	51%	0.1	21.6	1.21%	0	-0.6	46	0
12	Oct_23_2003	48.23	51.33	52.1	51.65			50.75(-0.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-13	-10000	-14	-9	9.8	51%	0.12	14.7	1.21%	0	-0.4	50	0
13	Oct_22_2003	48.17	51.26	52.24	52.08			51.2(-2.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	2	-10000	-8	31	7.31	51%	0.15	14.7	1.21%	0	-0	59	0
14	Oct_21_2003	48.1	51.23	52.28	52.32			52.35(0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	12	-10000	-5	62	8.58	53%	0.17	16.7	1.18%	0	0.8	71	0
15	Oct_20_2003	48.02	51.19	52.23	52.46			52.11(0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	22	-10000	-4	101	5.98	53%	0.17	21.7	1.19%	0	0.7	76	0

16	Oct_17_2003	47.94	51.13	52.19	52.59			51.85(-1.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	34	-10000	-0	134	8.65	50%	0.19	25.9	1.19%	0	0.5	68	0
17	Oct_16_2003	47.85	51.12	52.13	52.6			52.88(0.9%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	45	-10000	6	161	4.43	52%	0.21	30.4	1.23%	0	1.3	79	0
18	Oct_15_2003	47.75	51.06	51.88	52.42			52.41(-1.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	46	-10000	6	166	8.17	52%	0.21	32.4	1.23%	0	1	69	0
19	Oct_14_2003	47.65	50.99	51.63	52.23			53.07(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	45	-10000	8	156	7.34	53%	0.11	33.2	1.22%	0	1.6	62	0
20	Oct_13_2003	47.6	50.89	51.19	51.98			52.73(1.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	35	-10000	8	117	5.23	53%	0.25	30.9	1.22%	0	1.5	52	0

21	Oct_10_2003	47.48	50.78	50.84	51.74			51.91(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	26	-10000	5	88	9.81	51%	0.21	23.3	1.22%	0	1	53	0
22	Oct_9_2003	47.38	50.71	50.49	51.58			51.98(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	20	-10000	10	51	10.42	51%	0.23	19.4	1.24%	0	1.2	49	0
23	Oct_8_2003	47.27	50.63	50.2	51.25			51.44(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	10	-10000	10	10	5.08	53%	0.23	9.1	1.24%	0	0.8	47	0
24	Oct_7_2003	47.16	50.57	50.08	50.93			51.84(0.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	13	-10000	21	-10	8.1	55%	0.26	-2.4	1.25%	0	1.2	51	0
25	Oct_6_2003	47.04	50.53	50.04	50.27			51.55(0.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	0	-10000	15	-44	2.98	55%		-18.4	1.27%	0	1	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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