Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Oct. 9, 2003

Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 24, 2024)

(iShares Russell 2000)
IWM latest price $51.9800 (1.05%) ($51.4500 - $52.6000) on Thu. Oct. 9, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.24% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $51.9800(1.05%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IWM advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IWM advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IWM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(89%)    XLY(83%)    QQQ(82%)    XLK(79%)    EEM(76%)
Factors Impacting IWM price   IWM will decline at least -0.62% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-32%)    SHY(-19%)    REMX(0%)    LQD(13%)    XLU(54%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.62% (StdDev 1.24%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $51.58(0.78%)
10 Day Moving Average   $50.49(2.95%)
20 Day Moving Average   $50.71(2.5%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   15%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average Volume    million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)   1.2
One Month Target Price   > $51.98
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price   < $48.76

$. The price is 0% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's -2.6% away from the target price of 51.98.
$. IWM price fluctuates within 2.17% (three month std-dev: 1.24%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20031109

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_9_2003	47.38	50.71	50.49	51.58			51.98(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	20	-10000	10	51	10.42	51%	0.23	19.4	1.24%	0	1.2	49	0
2	Oct_8_2003	47.27	50.63	50.2	51.25			51.44(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	10	-10000	10	10	5.08	53%	0.23	9.1	1.24%	0	0.8	47	0
3	Oct_7_2003	47.16	50.57	50.08	50.93			51.84(0.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	13	-10000	21	-10	8.1	55%	0.26	-2.4	1.25%	0	1.2	51	0
4	Oct_6_2003	47.04	50.53	50.04	50.27			51.55(0.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	0	-10000	15	-44	2.98	55%	0.21	-18.4	1.27%	0	1	50	0
5	Oct_3_2003	46.94	50.51	49.96	49.79			51.11(1.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-3	-10000	18	-64	8.54	55%	0.19	-23.8	1.28%	0	0.6	52	0

6	Oct_2_2003	46.85	50.5	50	49.23			50.32(0.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-17	-10000	7	-90	7.73	56%	0.19	-32.7	1.27%	0	-0.2	48	0
7	Oct_1_2003	46.76	50.54	50.13	49			49.84(2.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-27	-10000	-4	-95	10.3	56%	0.17	-29.9	1.3%	0	-0.7	47	0
8	Sep_30_2003	46.68	50.6	50.28	49.13			48.53(-1.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-38	-10000	-21	-90	14.31	53%	0.15	-16.5	1.27%	0	-2	43	0
9	Sep_29_2003	46.61	50.72	50.57	49.78			49.17(1.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-22	-10000	-12	-53	13.24	55%	0.17	12.7	1.25%	0	-1.7	40	0
10	Sep_26_2003	46.53	50.76	50.73	50.17			48.3(-1.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-28	-10000	-22	-47	10.65	54%	0.17	31.8	1.24%	0	-2.8	32	0

11	Sep_25_2003	46.45	50.83	51	50.87			49.14(-2.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-15	-10000	-17	-9	7.51	57%	0.17	64.2	1.23%	0	-2.3	42	0
12	Sep_24_2003	46.37	50.85	51.17	51.41			50.51(-2.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	1	-10000	-5	20	5.42	60%	0.19	85.9	1.18%	0	-0.4	46	0
13	Sep_23_2003	46.28	50.77	51.16	51.57			51.79(1.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	9	-10000	3	27	4.71	62%	0.26	76.8	1.13%	0	1.1	56	0
14	Sep_22_2003	46.16	50.6	51.09	51.48			51.09(-1.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	9	-10000	3	26	4.32	60%	0.22	69.4	1.15%	0	0.5	54	0
15	Sep_19_2003	46.06	50.48	51.13	51.38			51.8(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	16	-10000	8	41	2.67	60%	0.28	67.3	1.14%	0	1.2	69	0

16	Sep_18_2003	45.93	50.35	51.03	51.16			51.86(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	17	-10000	8	42	2.87	60%	0.26	74.4	1.16%	0	1.4	71	0
17	Sep_17_2003	45.81	50.21	50.95	50.91			51.32(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	18	-10000	8	49	3.76	60%	0.26	79.2	1.15%	0	1.1	70	0
18	Sep_16_2003	45.69	50.09	50.91	50.68			51.34(1.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	15	-10000	1	56	4.07	62%	0.26	85	1.15%	0	1.2	73	0
19	Sep_15_2003	45.57	49.93	50.85	50.65			50.58(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	14	-10000	-6	74	6.26	60%	0.29	91.6	1.16%	0	0.6	71	0
20	Sep_12_2003	45.44	49.76	50.76	50.84			50.71(0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	24	-10000	-1	97	5.09	57%	0.24	93.8	1.19%	0	0.8	72	0

21	Sep_11_2003	45.33	49.58	50.65	50.87			50.6(0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	22	-10000	-4	101	5.45	57%	0.27	91.1	1.19%	0	0.8	60	0
22	Sep_10_2003	45.21	49.4	50.51	50.99			50.17(-1.97%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	24	-10000	-5	112	7.44	59%	0.24	93.5	1.19%	0	0.5	61	0
23	Sep_9_2003	45.1	49.23	50.38	51.15			51.18(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	34	-10000	3	126	4.38	59%	0.29	95.8	1.17%	0	1.3	70	0
24	Sep_8_2003	44.97	48.97	50.11	51.06			51.56(1.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	42	-10000	13	130	4.61	59%	0.16	89.7	1.19%	0	1.6	79	0
25	Sep_5_2003	44.9	48.66	49.8	50.67			50.85(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	38	-10000	10	121	6.29	58%		76.4	1.19%	0	1.3	80	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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