Trading Signals: IPO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Sat. Jan. 20, 2018

Trading Signals: IPO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Jan. 19, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Renaissance IPO ETF)
IPO latest price $28.7500 (0.34%) ($28.6300 - $28.7800) on Sat. Jan. 20, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.82% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $28.7500(0.34%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   IPO advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IPO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Factors Impacting IPO price   IPO will decline at least -0.41% in a week (0% probabilities).
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.41% (StdDev 0.82%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $28.59(0.56%)
10 Day Moving Average   $28.55(0.7%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28.43(1.13%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   5.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IPO price fluctuates within 0.6% (three month std-dev: 0.82%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 0.12%(80%) Average negative next day return: -0.03%(20%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 0.51%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 0.56%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180220

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_19_2018	27.54	28.43	28.55	28.59		28.67	28.75(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	13	20	8	29	0	49%	0.11	95	0.82%	0	1.9	63	1
2	Jan_18_2018	27.51	28.39	28.53	28.58	28.57	28.55	28.65(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	-10	9	34	0	49%	0.11	98.2	0.83%	0	1.6	63	-INF
3	Jan_17_2018	27.48	28.36	28.51	28.54	28.56	28.47	28.57(0.88%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	4	-20	-5	29	0.01	49%	0.11	82.5	0.83%	0	1.2	59	INF
4	Jan_16_2018	27.45	28.33	28.5	28.52	28.54	28.59	28.32(-1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	4	10	-6	32	0.01	47%	0.15	71.8	0.82%	0	-0	55	INF
5	Jan_12_2018	27.41	28.31	28.49	28.54	28.56	28.65	28.66(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	23	20	15	46	0.01	49%	0.11	70.5	0.8%	0	1.6	69	INF

6	Jan_11_2018	27.38	28.27	28.46	28.51	28.49	28.49	28.7(0.92%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	14	-0	4	45	0.01	51%	0.11	69.4	0.8%	0	1.8	76	INF
7	Jan_10_2018	27.35	28.23	28.41	28.47	28.5	28.47	28.44(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	7	-0	-5	42	0	50%	0.11	79	0.8%	0	0.9	72	INF
8	Jan_9_2018	27.32	28.21	28.39	28.49	28.55	28.49	28.48(0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	11	-10	-2	51	0	50%	0.11	95.1	0.8%	0	1.2	63	INF
9	Jan_8_2018	27.29	28.18	28.37	28.48	28.56	28.53	28.42(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	15	0	0	59	0	50%	0.11	105.1	0.8%	0	1.1	69	INF
10	Jan_5_2018	27.26	28.15	28.34	28.43	28.54	28.61	28.52(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	23	30	8	67	0.01	53%	0.15	98.7	0.8%	0	1.7	75	INF

11	Jan_4_2018	27.22	28.1	28.29	28.39	28.46	28.59	28.48(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	28	40	15	66	0.01	53%	0.11	92.3	0.81%	0	1.7	68	INF
12	Jan_3_2018	27.19	28.05	28.24	28.33	28.37	28.48	28.55(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	28	30	17	59	0	53%	0.11	61.8	0.81%	0	2	64	INF
13	Jan_2_2018	27.16	28	28.19	28.28	28.31	28.32	28.41(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	19	10	9	49	0.01	54%	0.15	44.9	0.81%	0	1.6	59	INF
14	Dec_29_2017	27.12	27.96	28.14	28.28	28.25	28.27	28.21(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	10	10	-1	41	0	56%	0.11	16.5	0.81%	0	0.9	61	INF
15	Dec_28_2017	27.09	27.93	28.1	28.24	28.24	28.3	28.29(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	10	11	48	0	56%	0.11	2.2	0.81%	0	1.4	67	INF

16	Dec_27_2017	27.06	27.93	28.06	28.18	28.2	28.23	28.21(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	22	10	12	50	0.01	58%	0.11	-18.9	0.81%	0	1.2	71	INF
17	Dec_26_2017	27.03	27.9	28.05	28.13	28.1	28.17	28.27(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	16	10	4	52	0	58%	0.07	-23.7	0.82%	0	1.4	73	INF
18	Dec_22_2017	27.01	27.89	28.02	28.1	28.08	28.16	28.23(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	28	20	15	68	0	55%	0.11	-20	0.83%	0	1.1	74	INF
19	Dec_21_2017	26.98	27.91	27.99	28.03	28.06	28.03	28.2(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	24	-0	10	64	0.02	55%	0.11	-8.7	0.83%	0	0.9	66	INF
20	Dec_20_2017	26.95	27.93	27.94	27.95	28	28.01	27.99(0.14%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	11	10	-2	48	0	53%	0.07	3.9	0.83%	0	0.2	55	INF

21	Dec_19_2017	26.93	27.95	27.9	27.93	27.98	28.09	27.95(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	14	30	4	45	0	53%	0.07	17.4	0.84%	0	0	59	INF
22	Dec_18_2017	26.91	27.96	27.85	27.95	27.98	28	28.12(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	10	9	33	0	54%	0.07	27.9	0.84%	0	0.4	45	INF
23	Dec_15_2017	26.89	27.95	27.78	27.95	27.96	27.87	27.9(0.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-2	-20	-6	12	0	54%	0.07	34.1	0.84%	0	-0.1	45	INF
24	Dec_14_2017	26.87	27.94	27.76	27.94	28.05	27.92	27.79(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-10	-20	-7	-19	0	54%	0.07	36.8	0.84%	0	-0.4	31	INF
25	Dec_13_2017	26.85	27.92	27.75	27.93	28.07	28.04	27.9(-0.48%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-7	10	3	-37	0	54%		31.3	0.84%	0	-0	36	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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