Trading Signals: IPO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Sep. 20, 2017

Trading Signals: IPO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Jan. 19, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Renaissance IPO ETF)
IPO latest price $26.3425 (-0.86%) ($26.3166 - $26.4800) on Wed. Sep. 20, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.71% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $26.3425(-0.86%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IPO advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IPO advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IPO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(13%)    XLF(13%)    EMHY(12%)    EWP(12%)    VT(12%)
Factors Impacting IPO price   IPO will decline at least -0.355% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-42%)    UUP(-6%)    DIA(-5%)    UNG(-3%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.355% (StdDev 0.71%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $26.37(-0.1%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26.31(0.12%)
20 Day Moving Average   $26.15(0.74%)
To recent high   -0.9%
To recent low   6.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IPO price fluctuates within 0.96% (three month std-dev: 0.71%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.11%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.01%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0.32%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -0.14%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 1.2%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.51%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171020

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_20_2017	25.45	26.15	26.31	26.37	26.4	26.45	26.34(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	12	20	4	34	0	51%	0.12	88.5	0.71%	0	0.8	58	0
2	Sep_19_2017	25.42	26.11	26.3	26.34	26.36	26.46	26.57(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	23	30	14	49	0	57%	0.08	80.4	0.71%	0	1.6	67	0
3	Sep_18_2017	25.4	26.05	26.26	26.31	26.3	26.34	26.41(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	10	7	47	0.01	57%	0.12	65.5	0.74%	0	1.2	64	0
4	Sep_15_2017	25.37	26	26.25	26.3	26.29	26.34	26.2(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	17	-10	3	60	0.01	55%	0.08	64.2	0.74%	0	0.6	62	0
5	Sep_14_2017	25.35	25.96	26.24	26.26	26.31	26.26	26.3(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	16	-10	-0	63	0.01	55%	0.12	60.3	0.74%	0	1	66	0

6	Sep_13_2017	25.32	25.93	26.21	26.24	26.25	26.33	26.23(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	15	20	-3	70	0	57%	0.12	58.8	0.74%	0	0.9	67	0
7	Sep_12_2017	25.29	25.89	26.17	26.26	26.22	26.36	26.41(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	38	30	20	91	0	54%	0.12	57.3	0.74%	0	1.5	74	0
8	Sep_11_2017	25.26	25.85	26.11	26.2	26.19	26.18	26.36(1.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	31	-0	10	92	0	54%	0.12	53.2	0.76%	0	1.6	78	0
9	Sep_8_2017	25.23	25.8	26.06	26.19	26.14	26.08	26(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	15	-20	-12	95	0	48%	0.12	50.8	0.76%	0	0.6	68	0
10	Sep_7_2017	25.2	25.76	26.03	26.21	26.2	26.19	26.2(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	31	-0	3	116	0	50%	0.12	46.9	0.75%	0	1.3	72	0

11	Sep_6_2017	25.17	25.73	25.98	26.17	26.19	26.19	26.31(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	39	10	13	118	0	50%	0.16	42.5	0.75%	0	1.9	71	0
12	Sep_5_2017	25.13	25.7	25.91	26.07	26.12	26.21	26.12(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	36	30	12	106	0	50%	0.12	35.8	0.75%	0	1.5	70	0
13	Sep_1_2017	25.1	25.68	25.83	26.01	26.02	26.18	26.31(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	43	40	25	95	0	54%	0.16	32.7	0.74%	0	2.4	69	0
14	Aug_31_2017	25.06	25.64	25.73	25.91	25.91	26.03	26.1(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	35	30	21	76	0	52%	0.04	22.1	0.77%	0	2.1	71	0
15	Aug_30_2017	25.05	25.61	25.67	25.84	25.83	25.87	26(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	28	10	14	69	0.01	52%	0.12	-1.4	0.77%	0	2.1	72	0

16	Aug_29_2017	25.02	25.61	25.62	25.77	25.79	25.79	25.82(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	0	5	52	0	52%	0.12	-14.9	0.77%	0	1.2	53	0
17	Aug_28_2017	24.99	25.6	25.58	25.72	25.76	25.8	25.83(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	22	20	15	41	0	52%	0.16	-27.1	0.77%	0	1.3	51	0
18	Aug_25_2017	24.95	25.6	25.56	25.61	25.69	25.79	25.8(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	17	40	17	18	0	52%	0.12	-42.9	0.77%	0	1.2	49	0
19	Aug_24_2017	24.92	25.59	25.51	25.53	25.57	25.72	25.74(0.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	14	50	19	-2	0	54%	0.12	-52.7	0.77%	0	0.8	51	0
20	Aug_23_2017	24.89	25.61	25.51	25.47	25.46	25.59	25.65(0.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	5	30	13	-19	0	54%	0.12	-45.3	0.78%	0	0.2	54	0

21	Aug_22_2017	24.86	25.63	25.46	25.46	25.42	25.43	25.56(1.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-2	-0	9	-33	0	55%	0.12	-31.6	0.78%	0	-0.3	41	0
22	Aug_21_2017	24.83	25.64	25.47	25.43	25.43	25.33	25.29(-0.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-22	-30	-13	-48	0.01	53%	0.08	-29.6	0.78%	0	-1.4	41	0
23	Aug_18_2017	24.81	25.67	25.52	25.5	25.48	25.4	25.4(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-18	-20	-11	-39	0	53%	0.08	-20.4	0.77%	0	-1.1	41	0
24	Aug_17_2017	24.79	25.69	25.54	25.49	25.55	25.54	25.47(-0.35%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-5	0	7	-39	0	49%	0.12	-11.1	0.77%	0	-1	42	0
25	Aug_16_2017	24.76	25.71	25.55	25.44	25.47	25.56	25.56(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-16	30	0	-64	0	49%		-7	0.82%	0	-0.7	37	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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