Trading Signals: IPO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Sat. Dec. 17, 2016

Trading Signals: IPO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Jan. 19, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Renaissance IPO ETF)
IPO latest price $20.7580 (0.28%) ($20.6200 - $20.8199) on Sat. Dec. 17, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.83% (three month average)
RSI   47
Latest Price   $20.7580(0.28%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IPO declines -0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IPO advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IPO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Factors Impacting IPO price   IPO will decline at least -0.415% in a week (0% probabilities).
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.415% (StdDev 0.83%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

Resistance Level   $20.84
5 Day Moving Average   $20.8(-0.2%)
10 Day Moving Average   $20.85(-0.44%)
20 Day Moving Average   $20.84(-0.39%)
To recent high   -2.4%
To recent low   6.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IPO price fluctuates within 0.82% (three month std-dev: 0.83%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.3%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0.57%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0.2%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170117

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_16_2016	20.72		20.85	20.8	20.75	20.7	20.76(0.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-8	-20	-13	6	0	50%	0.05	30.5	0.83%	0	-0.5	47	0
2	Dec_15_2016	20.71		20.85	20.88	20.83	20.72	20.7(-0.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-14	-40	-19	3	0	50%	0	53.7	0.83%	0	-0.8	40	0
3	Dec_14_2016	20.71	20.84	20.83	20.97	20.94	20.79	20.73(-0.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-9	-50	-16	13	0	50%	0.05	86.6	0.84%	0	-0.6	44	0
4	Dec_13_2016	20.7	20.83	20.84	21.01	20.94	20.94	20.88(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	1	-30	-5	18	0	46%	0	103.7	0.83%	0	0.3	46	0
5	Dec_12_2016	20.7	20.81	20.83	20.98	21.02	21.08	20.95(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	11	30	9	17	0.01	43%	0.05	108.8	0.87%	0	0.7	51	0

6	Dec_9_2016	20.69	20.79	20.82	20.91	20.93	21.11	21.14(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	25	60	29	11	0	45%	0.05	113.5	0.89%	0	1.8	58	0
7	Dec_8_2016	20.68	20.75	20.8	20.77	20.79	20.95	21.16(1.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	2	18	60	26	-6	0	45%	0.05	103.1	0.9%	0	2.1	63	0
8	Dec_7_2016	20.67	20.7	20.8	20.68	20.64	20.75	20.9(0.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	1	30	10	-25	0	42%	0.05	88.7	0.88%	0	1	56	0
9	Dec_6_2016	20.66	20.66	20.78	20.66	20.62	20.63	20.76(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-2	-0	3	-17	0	42%	0.05	70.7	0.88%	0	0.4	61	0
10	Dec_5_2016	20.65	20.61	20.79	20.67	20.67	20.52	20.57(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-11	-50	-12	-8	0	40%	0.05	51.1	0.87%	0	-0.1	58	0

11	Dec_2_2016	20.64	20.57	20.82	20.72	20.72	20.6	20.48(-0.92%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.7	-19	-40	-28	8	0	43%	0	31.5	0.88%	0	-0.3	56	0
12	Dec_1_2016	20.64	20.55	20.85	20.83	20.82	20.82	20.67(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	6	-0	-8	48	0	44%	0.05	24.5	0.89%	0	0.3	69	0
13	Nov_30_2016	20.63	20.52	20.86	20.88	20.89	20.83	20.81(0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	18	-20	-3	81	0	44%	0.05	17.6	0.88%	0	0.7	80	0
14	Nov_29_2016	20.62	20.49	20.84	20.92	20.88	20.82	20.81(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	17	-30	-11	99	0	44%	0.05	13.8	0.88%	0	0.7	79	0
15	Nov_28_2016	20.61	20.47	20.8	20.92	20.93	20.82	20.85(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	33	0	-0	131	0	44%	0.05	11.2	0.88%	0	0.9	87	0

16	Nov_25_2016	20.6	20.46	20.77	20.94	20.94	20.94	21.02(0.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	49	0	9	167	0	44%	0.19	10	0.87%	0	1.3	95	0
17	Nov_23_2016	20.56	20.45	20.69	20.88	20.9	20.92	20.94(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	46	10	5	167	0	44%	0.1	8.7	0.87%	0	1.2	71	0
18	Nov_21_2016	20.54	20.44	20.61	20.84	20.85	20.94	21(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	56	30	18	168	0.01	44%	0.1	11.7	0.87%	0	1.4	68	0
19	Nov_18_2016	20.52	20.43	20.53	20.74	20.76	20.87	20.89(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	51	40	19	148	0.01	44%	0.05	8.2	0.87%	0	1.2	63	0
20	Nov_17_2016	20.51	20.43	20.41	20.65	20.66	20.77	20.84(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	42	40	19	110	0.01	44%	0.1	5.8	0.88%	0	1.1	55	0

21	Nov_16_2016	20.49	20.42	20.29	20.57	20.56	20.65	20.72(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	29	30	17	63	0	42%	0.15	1.6	0.88%	0	0.8	49	0
22	Nov_15_2016	20.46	20.41	20.21	20.48	20.51	20.55	20.74(1.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	22	20	22	23	0	45%	0.15	-4.2	0.89%	0	0.8	44	0
23	Nov_14_2016	20.43	20.41	20.14	20.36	20.37	20.55	20.5(0.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	1	40	12	-31	0	42%	0.05	-20.4	0.9%	0	0.3	37	0
24	Nov_11_2016	20.42	20.41	20.14	20.28	20.26	20.47	20.45(0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	8	70	30	-57	0	42%	0.05	-30.1	0.9%	0	0.1	39	0
25	Nov_10_2016	20.41	20.4	20.11	20.13	20.18	20.27	20.43(0.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	5	40	37	-91	0	42%		-47.8	0.91%	0	0.1	41	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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