Trading Signals: IPO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ IPO: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Sat. Aug. 20, 2016

Trading Signals: IPO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Jan. 19, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Renaissance IPO ETF)
IPO latest price $20.7520 (0.11%) ($20.7000 - $20.7520) on Sat. Aug. 20, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.18% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $20.7520(0.11%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   IPO advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IPO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Factors Impacting IPO price   IPO will decline at least -0.59% in a week (0% probabilities).
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.59% (StdDev 1.18%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $20.77(-0.09%)
10 Day Moving Average   $20.67(0.4%)
20 Day Moving Average   $20.46(1.43%)
To recent high   -1.3%
To recent low   14.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IPO price fluctuates within 1.27% (three month std-dev: 1.18%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 14 Average positive next day return: 0.79%(29%) Average negative next day return: -0.72%(71%) Sample size 14 Average positive next three day return: 0.48%(43%) Average negative next three day return: -1.8%(57%) Sample size 14 Average positive next weekly return: 0.8%(36%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.62%(64%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160920

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_19_2016	19.8	20.46	20.67		20.69	20.72	20.75(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	18	-0	2	67	0	59%	0.1	63	1.18%	0	1.1	63	0
2	Aug_18_2016	19.78	20.43	20.64	20.77	20.73	20.65	20.73(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	20	-30	2	74	0.02	59%	0.1	69.3	1.18%	0	1.2	61	0
3	Aug_17_2016	19.76	20.4	20.6	20.74	20.73	20.67	20.58(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	16	-20	-3	71	0	59%	0.05	72.4	1.18%	0	0.7	58	0
4	Aug_16_2016	19.75	20.39	20.57	20.7	20.72	20.82	20.75(-1.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	40	8	69	0	61%	0.1	72.7	1.17%	0	1.4	62	0
5	Aug_15_2016	19.73	20.35	20.49	20.65	20.63	20.78	21.02(1.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	29	50	17	63	0.02	63%	0.05	71.5	1.17%	0	2.7	71	0

6	Aug_12_2016	19.72	20.3	20.4	20.56	20.54	20.62	20.75(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	22	20	12	50	0.01	59%	0.15	79.6	1.16%	0	2.1	67	0
7	Aug_11_2016	19.69	20.25	20.35	20.5	20.5	20.48	20.58(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	14	-10	6	39	0	59%	0.05	89.4	1.17%	0	1.7	60	0
8	Aug_10_2016	19.68	20.22	20.32	20.45	20.46	20.46	20.39(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	9	0	1	33	0	59%	0.1	102.1	1.17%	0	0.9	58	0
9	Aug_9_2016	19.66	20.2	20.3	20.41	20.44	20.52	20.53(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	20	30	15	34	0	59%	0.05	116	1.18%	0	1.7	62	0
10	Aug_8_2016	19.65	20.17	20.27	20.3	20.32	20.45	20.57(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	15	50	13	22	0	59%	0.1	121.3	1.18%	0	2.1	70	0

11	Aug_5_2016	19.63	20.13	20.23	20.22	20.2	20.37	20.46(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	13	60	12	15	0	59%	0.1	113.5	1.17%	0	1.6	64	0
12	Aug_4_2016	19.61	20.09	20.2	20.18	20.16	20.19	20.33(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	11	10	9	15	0	59%	0.05	89.6	1.17%	0	0.9	66	0
13	Aug_3_2016	19.6	20.03	20.2	20.16	20.13	20.04	20.16(1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-2	-40	-7	12	0	56%	0.1	75.8	1.18%	0	0.4	59	0
14	Aug_2_2016	19.58	19.98	20.19	20.18	20.18	20.14	19.96(-1.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-1	-10	-9	22	0	56%	0.05	77.9	1.2%	0	-0.1	57	0
15	Aug_1_2016	19.57	19.94	20.2	20.18	20.22	20.23	20.18(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	9	0	1	34	0	56%	0.05	91.3	1.19%	0	0.6	61	0

16	Jul_29_2016	19.56	19.9	20.19	20.18	20.22	20.21	20.25(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	10	-0	-0	39	0	56%	0.1	94.2	1.2%	0	0.9	69	0
17	Jul_28_2016	19.54	19.85	20.16	20.23	20.22	20.22	20.26(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	14	0	2	50	0	56%	0.1	89.2	1.21%	0	1	78	0
18	Jul_27_2016	19.52	19.78	20.13	20.22	20.22	20.19	20.27(0.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	18	-10	2	67	0	56%	0.1	79.8	1.21%	0	1.1	83	0
19	Jul_26_2016	19.5	19.69	20.09	20.2	20.22	20.17	20.2(0.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	22	-10	1	85	0	56%	0.05	58.7	1.21%	0	1	84	0
20	Jul_25_2016	19.49	19.59	20.07	20.16	20.2	20.22	20.18(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	27	10	2	101	0	56%	0.1	39.2	1.21%	0	1	83	0

21	Jul_22_2016	19.47	19.52	20.03	20.14	20.15	20.23	20.26(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	36	30	9	116	0	56%	0.1	36.5	1.22%	0	1.2	75	0
22	Jul_21_2016	19.45	19.48	19.96	20.07	20.1	20.18	20.17(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	36	30	9	115	0	56%	0.05	39.3	1.22%	0	1.2	75	0
23	Jul_20_2016	19.44	19.43	19.86	20.03	20.05	20.07	20.2(1.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	36	10	9	118	0	56%	0.1	40.1	1.22%	0	1.3	80	0
24	Jul_19_2016	19.42	19.38	19.75	20.03	20.02	20.01	19.99(-0.35%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	31	10	-1	126	0	56%	0.1	41.9	1.22%	0	1.1	84	0
25	Jul_18_2016	19.4	19.35	19.67	19.96	20.01	20.03	20.06(0.7%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	42	10	5	154	0	56%		43.4	1.22%	0	1.3	88	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.