Trading Signals: INCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Nov. 13, 2015

Trading Signals: INCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Incyte Corp)
INCY latest price $107.3600 (3.03%) ($102.2600 - $108.9100) on Fri. Nov. 13, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.67% (three month average)
RSI   48
Latest Price   $107.3600(3.03%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   INCY advances 1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   INCY declines -4.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support INCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(63%)    XBI(55%)    XLV(47%)    ARKG(44%)    IWO(42%)
Factors Impacting INCY price   INCY will decline at least -2.335% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-17%)    TLT(-7%)    UUP(-6%)    SHY(-3%)    IGOV(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.335% (StdDev 4.67%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 4%

Resistance Level   $111.75
5 Day Moving Average   $106.55(0.76%)
10 Day Moving Average   $110.42(-2.77%)
20 Day Moving Average   $111.75(-3.93%)
To recent high   -18.3%
To recent low   12.8%
Market Cap   $23.412b

Incyte Corp. is a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the discovery, development and commercialization of proprietary therapeutics. Its portfolio includes compounds in various stages, ranging from preclinical to late stage development, and commercialized products such as JAKAFI (ruxolitinib), and ICLUSIG (ponatinib). The company was founded by Roy A. Whitfield in April 1991 and is headquartered in Wilmington, DE.

$. INCY price fluctuates within 5.24% (three month std-dev: 4.67%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151213

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_13_2015	111.61	111.75	110.42	106.55			107.36(3.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-10	-10000	6	-58	1.29	55%	0.03	-5.7	4.67%	0	-0.7	48	0
2	Nov_12_2015	111.58	111.82	111.41	105.12			104.2(-1.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-24	-10000	-10	-66	1.07	56%	-0.02	-10.4	4.66%	0	-1.3	48	0
3	Nov_11_2015	111.6	112.28	112.73	107.63			106.15(-2.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-18	-10000	-9	-44	1.22	56%	-0.03	8.7	4.67%	0	-1.1	51	0
4	Nov_10_2015	111.63	112.34	114.16	109.83			109.16(3.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-11	-10000	-8	-18	1.78	56%	0	16.6	4.65%	0	-0.5	56	0
5	Nov_9_2015	111.63	112.01	115.04	111.99			105.86(5.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-7	-10000	-11	5	2.39	56%	-0.02	18.3	4.64%	0	-1	53	0

6	Nov_6_2015	111.65	112.09	115.83	114.95			100.21(-14.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.4	-4	-10000	-13	25	9.14	52%	-0.08	21.1	4.6%	0	-1.9	42	0
7	Nov_5_2015	111.74	112.43	117.06	118.41			116.76(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	15	-10000	-0	60	1.5	56%	0.11	22.3	4.31%	0	0.7	66	0
8	Nov_4_2015	111.62	111.78	116.37	118.47			117.14(-2.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	12	-10000	-3	57	1.71	58%	0.12	11.7	4.31%	0	0.9	57	0
9	Nov_3_2015	111.49	111.34	115.44	119.11			119.99(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	18	-10000	2	67	2.98	58%	0.15	14.1	4.35%	0	1.5	68	0
10	Nov_2_2015	111.32	110.9	114.21	118.64			120.65(2.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	24	-10000	7	75	1.52	58%	0.13	21.8	4.35%	0	1.7	74	0

11	Oct_30_2015	111.17	110.8	113.17	116.97			117.53(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	22	-10000	6	70	1.33	58%	0.1	31.1	4.34%	0	1.1	63	0
12	Oct_29_2015	111.06	111.12	112.19	115.47			117.03(-2.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	21	-10000	6	64	1.54	58%	0.11	39.1	4.34%	0	0.9	64	0
13	Oct_28_2015	110.94	111.1	111.67	113.87			120.36(2.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	25	-10000	11	67	1.49	58%	0.13	37.2	4.33%	0	1.5	69	0
14	Oct_27_2015	110.8	110.55	110.17	111.22			117.64(4.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	18	-10000	9	45	1.37	56%	0.1	20.5	4.33%	0	1.1	58	0
15	Oct_26_2015	110.69	109.66	108.53	109.2			112.29(2.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	5	-10000	1	15	1.3	55%	0.03	-1.3	4.32%	0	0.4	49	0

16	Oct_23_2015	110.66	108.87	107.87	108.88			110.02(0.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	1	-10000	2	-4	1.44	54%	0.04	-17.7	4.34%	0	0.2	39	0
17	Oct_22_2015	110.62	108.7	107.37	108.43			109.02(1.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-11	-10000	-3	-33	1.47	54%	0	-32	4.35%	0	0	34	0
18	Oct_21_2015	110.62	108.83	106.83	109.13			107.15(-0.33%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-10	-10000	1	-44	1.77	54%	-0.01	-39.8	4.34%	0	-0.2	42	0
19	Oct_20_2015	110.63	109.27	106.96	108.88			107.5(-2.88%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-8	-10000	5	-47	1.3	54%	-0.02	-48.4	4.34%	0	-0.2	50	0
20	Oct_19_2015	110.65	109.75	107.39	107.62			110.69(2.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-8	-10000	4	-43	1.6	54%	0	-59.6	4.33%	0	0.1	60	0

21	Oct_16_2015	110.65	110.1	108.23	106.69			107.78(-4.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-4	-10000	2	-23	2.5	54%	0	-62.7	4.32%	0	-0.3	62	0
22	Oct_15_2015	110.65	110.94	109.93	106.13			112.52(6.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	6	-10000	8	-2	2.21	54%	0.04	-60.8	4.29%	0	0.2	55	0
23	Oct_14_2015	110.61	111.71	110.37	104.31			105.91(4.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-5	-10000	-2	-12	2.44	53%	-0.01	-58.6	4.22%	0	-0.6	48	0
24	Oct_13_2015	110.62	112.89	110.87	104.86			101.21(-4.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-12	-10000	-10	-18	2.21	53%	-0.09	-49.7	4.21%	0	-1.1	43	0
25	Oct_12_2015	110.72	114.38	110.95	107.11			106.01(0.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-16	-10000	-13	-25	1.13	55%		-40.4	4.21%	0	-0.8	44	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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