Trading Signals: INCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ INCY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Oct. 30, 2014

Trading Signals: INCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Incyte Corp)
INCY latest price $64.1800 (10.9%) ($59.0200 - $64.8800) on Thu. Oct. 30, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.7% (three month average)
RSI   89
Latest Price   $64.1800(10.9%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   INCY advances 3.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   INCY advances 11.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support INCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(57%)    XLV(50%)    QQQ(43%)    SPY(40%)    IWM(38%)
Factors Impacting INCY price   INCY will decline at least -1.35% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-19%)    TLT(-8%)    IGOV(-4%)    SHY(-3%)    GLD(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.35% (StdDev 2.7%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 8.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $58.55(9.62%)
10 Day Moving Average   $55.59(15.45%)
20 Day Moving Average   $51.73(24.07%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   40.7%
Market Cap   $13.996b

Incyte Corp. is a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the discovery, development and commercialization of proprietary therapeutics. Its portfolio includes compounds in various stages, ranging from preclinical to late stage development, and commercialized products such as JAKAFI (ruxolitinib), and ICLUSIG (ponatinib). The company was founded by Roy A. Whitfield in April 1991 and is headquartered in Wilmington, DE.

$. INCY price fluctuates within 9.57% (three month std-dev: 2.7%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141130

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_30_2014	51.04	51.73	55.59	58.55			64.18(10.9%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	82	-10000	24	256	2.51	65%	0.2	56.5	2.7%	0	2.5	89	0
2	Oct_29_2014	50.94	50.8	54.26	56.71			57.87(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	78	-10000	16	264	1.2	62%	0.06	53.5	2.36%	0	1.7	77	0
3	Oct_28_2014	50.91	50.27	53.3	55.63			58.19(1.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	73	-10000	18	239	1.27	62%	0.1	48.4	2.39%	0	2.1	76	0
4	Oct_27_2014	50.86	49.78	52.13	54.48			57.46(4.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	69	-10000	21	214	1.41	62%	0.1	47.9	2.39%	0	2.4	77	0
5	Oct_24_2014	50.81	49.38	50.95	53.14			55.07(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	55	-10000	16	171	1.26	60%	0.04	48.5	2.35%	0	2.1	70	0

6	Oct_23_2014	50.79	49.07	50.04	52.15			54.95(4.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	43	-10000	11	137	1.04	60%	0.06	44.1	2.36%	0	2.5	70	0
7	Oct_22_2014	50.76	48.73	49.27	51.46			52.47(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	44	-10000	15	129	0.58	57%	0.02	43.3	2.31%	0	1.9	68	0
8	Oct_21_2014	50.75	48.54	48.79	50.59			52.44(3.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	43	-10000	21	108	1.06	57%	0.08	36.7	2.31%	0	2.2	62	0
9	Oct_20_2014	50.71	48.28	48.2	49.41			50.79(1.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	30	-10000	19	61	1.06	55%	0.02	17.5	2.28%	0	1.6	54	0
10	Oct_17_2014	50.7	48.1	47.86	48.37			50.08(-2.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	14	-10000	14	14	1.67	55%	0.02	-1.3	2.34%	0	1.3	47	0

11	Oct_16_2014	50.69	48.04	47.57	47.58			51.5(6.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.7	5	-10000	14	-21	1.36	57%	0.04	-15	2.35%	0	2.4	53	0
12	Oct_15_2014	50.67	48.04	47.04	46.8			48.15(3.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-15	-10000	1	-64	1.3	50%	-0.02	-40	2.22%	0	0.2	48	0
13	Oct_14_2014	50.68	47.89	46.99	46.77			46.54(2.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-19	-10000	-1	-72	0.98	47%	-0.08	-50.6	2.26%	0	-1.1	40	0
14	Oct_13_2014	50.72	48	47.23	46.81			45.6(-1.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-23	-10000	-8	-68	1.85	47%	-0.04	-59.3	2.25%	0	-2	46	0
15	Oct_10_2014	50.74	48.12	47.71	47.23			46.1(-3.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-14	-10000	-5	-40	0.86	47%	-0.04	-76.6	2.24%	0	-1.9	47	0

16	Oct_9_2014	50.76	48.26	48.07	47.49			47.59(-0.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-4	-10000	4	-27	1.57	49%	0.02	-85.6	2.23%	0	-0.6	44	0
17	Oct_8_2014	50.75	48.38	48.18	47.3			48.01(2.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-9	-10000	0	-36	0.77	47%	-0.02	-88	2.23%	0	-0.3	47	0
18	Oct_7_2014	50.76	48.52	48.3	47.28			46.76(-1.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-15	-10000	-8	-35	0.68	43%	-0.06	-88.8	2.24%	0	-1.4	46	0
19	Oct_6_2014	50.79	48.72	48.4	47.73			47.7(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-15	-10000	-10	-28	0.67	43%	-0.04	-76.9	2.27%	0	-0.7	47	0
20	Oct_3_2014	50.81	48.95	48.39	48.3			47.38(1.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-9	-10000	-8	-12	1.48	43%	-0.06	-67.4	2.28%	0	-1	51	0

21	Oct_2_2014	50.84	49.17	48.59	48.76			46.63(-2.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-4	-10000	-7	5	1.79	43%	-0.2	-64.2	2.27%	0	-1.6	44	0
22	Oct_1_2014	50.94	49.43	48.84	49.17			47.91(-2.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-1	-10000	-5	13	1.01	45%	-0.12	-64.5	2.26%	0	-1	42	0
23	Sep_30_2014	51	49.66	48.89	49.45			49.05(-2.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	8	-10000	6	12	1	46%	-0.12	-63.4	2.24%	0	-0.4	42	0
24	Sep_29_2014	51.06	49.85	48.85	49.14			50.52(1.65%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.8	8	-10000	12	-5	0.85	48%	-0.02	-68.1	2.23%	0	0.4	48	0
25	Sep_26_2014	51.07	50.01	48.56	48.51			49.7(2.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-13	-10000	1	-53	0.69	48%		-61.6	2.22%	0	-0.2	38	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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