Trading Signals: IGOV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Sep. 21, 2010

Trading Signals: IGOV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jan. 29, 2009 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares International Treasury Bond ETF)
IGOV latest price $51.5100 (1.7%) ($50.9600 - $51.5100) on Tue. Sep. 21, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.58% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $51.5100(1.7%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IGOV advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IGOV advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IGOV advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GLD(27%)    EWP(19%)    TIP(19%)    EWI(18%)    EWG(17%)
Factors Impacting IGOV price   IGOV will decline at least -0.29% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(-0%)    XLY(1%)    XLK(1%)    SPY(2%)    QQQ(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.29% (StdDev 0.58%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

5 Day Moving Average   $50.93(1.14%)
10 Day Moving Average   $50.8(1.4%)
20 Day Moving Average   $50.76(1.48%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   8.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IGOV price fluctuates within 0.53% (three month std-dev: 0.58%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20101021

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_21_2010	49.22	50.76	50.8	50.93			51.51(1.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	8	-10000	3	24	0.01	75%	0.04	30.2	0.58%	0	2.8	59	0
2	Sep_20_2010	49.2	50.7	50.69	50.89			50.65(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	3	-10000	-1	16	0.02	71%	0.04	29.3	0.55%	0	-0.2	50	0
3	Sep_17_2010	49.18	50.7	50.71	50.9			50.77(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	11	-10000	7	24	0.01	71%	0.04	34.9	0.54%	0	0.4	52	0
4	Sep_16_2010	49.16	50.7	50.71	50.8			50.82(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	7	-10000	6	11	0.01	71%	0.04	30.2	0.55%	0	0.6	51	0
5	Sep_15_2010	49.14	50.69	50.7	50.72			50.89(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	5	-10000	5	4	0	71%	0.04	25.6	0.55%	0	0.9	55	0

6	Sep_14_2010	49.12	50.68	50.69	50.65			51.3(1.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	3	9	-10000	12	-2	0.01	76%	0.04	2.3	0.54%	0	2.8	58	0
7	Sep_13_2010	49.1	50.64	50.62	50.49			50.72(0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.4	-7	-10000	-1	-23	0.01	73%	0.02	-46.9	0.52%	0	0.5	57	0
8	Sep_10_2010	49.09	50.61	50.61	50.5			50.29(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-10	-10000	-7	-17	0.01	71%	0.02	-65	0.52%	0	-1.6	51	0
9	Sep_9_2010	49.08	50.62	50.66	50.59			50.4(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-7	-10000	-7	-6	0.01	71%	0	-76.3	0.52%	0	-1.2	42	0
10	Sep_8_2010	49.08	50.63	50.69	50.68			50.52(0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-3	-10000	-4	2	0	71%	0.02	-80.6	0.52%	0	-0.6	43	0

11	Sep_7_2010	49.07	50.67	50.69	50.73			50.5(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	1	-10000	-3	11	0	71%	-0.02	-49	0.52%	0	-0.7	45	0
12	Sep_3_2010	49.08	50.72	50.72	50.77			50.81(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	5	-10000	2	15	0.05	70%	0	-26.2	0.52%	0	0.3	56	0
13	Sep_2_2010	49.08	50.75	50.72	50.74			50.72(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	3	-10000	-1	15	0.03	66%	0	-15.9	0.52%	0	-0.1	64	0
14	Sep_1_2010	49.08	50.77	50.68	50.75			50.83(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	8	-10000	3	24	0.01	63%	0.02	-4.3	0.53%	0	0.2	58	0
15	Aug_31_2010	49.07	50.78	50.68	50.75			50.8(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	6	-10000	0	24	0.01	63%	0	4.2	0.54%	0	0.1	56	0

16	Aug_30_2010	49.07	50.78	50.67	50.71			50.67(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	5	-10000	3	12	0	63%	0.02	21.1	0.54%	0	-0.4	37	0
17	Aug_27_2010	49.06	50.78	50.66	50.67			50.68(-0.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	2	-10000	5	-9	0.03	65%	0.02	26.8	0.55%	0	-0.3	36	0
18	Aug_26_2010	49.05	50.8	50.61	50.67			50.77(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-11	-10000	0	-45	0.01	60%	0.02	32.9	0.55%	0	-0.1	38	0
19	Aug_25_2010	49.04	50.79	50.58	50.6			50.63(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-17	-10000	-3	-60	0	60%	0.02	36.7	0.58%	0	-0.4	40	0
20	Aug_24_2010	49.03	50.77	50.56	50.64			50.8(0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-16	-10000	1	-66	0.01	54%	0.02	41.6	0.58%	0	0.1	46	0

21	Aug_23_2010	49.02	50.72	50.61	50.62			50.45(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-17	-10000	-2	-63	0.01	52%	0.02	39.8	0.6%	0	-0.6	39	0
22	Aug_20_2010	49.01	50.71	50.71	50.65			50.35(-0.83%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-10	-10000	3	-47	0.01	56%	0	39.8	0.6%	0	-0.7	45	0
23	Aug_19_2010	49.01	50.68	50.82	50.61			50.77(-0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-5	-10000	5	-35	0.02	62%	0.02	32.7	0.61%	0	0.2	55	0
24	Aug_18_2010	49	50.64	50.86	50.54			50.81(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-4	-10000	4	-29	0.02	60%	0.02	28.2	0.63%	0	0.3	57	0
25	Aug_17_2010	48.99	50.58	50.89	50.48			50.74(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-13	-10000	-9	-25	0	58%		26.4	0.64%	0	0.3	61	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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