Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Apr. 26, 2013

Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond)
IEF latest price $108.8900 (0.36%) ($108.7500 - $108.9200) on Fri. Apr. 26, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.27% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $108.8900(0.36%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IEF advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IEF advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IEF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(74%)    LQD(71%)    TIP(61%)    GLD(39%)    PCY(33%)
Factors Impacting IEF price   IEF will decline at least -0.135% in a week (0% probabilities).
OIH(-24%)    XOP(-21%)    SPY(-20%)    IWM(-19%)    EWI(-19%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.135% (StdDev 0.27%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $108.64(0.23%)
10 Day Moving Average   $108.61(0.26%)
20 Day Moving Average   $108.3(0.54%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   3.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IEF price fluctuates within 0.41% (three month std-dev: 0.27%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130526

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_26_2013	107.12	108.3	108.61	108.64			108.89(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	17	-10000	4	57	0.43	61%	0	80.5	0.27%	0	1.3	63	0
2	Apr_25_2013	107.12	108.22	108.57	108.58			108.5(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	11	-10000	-2	48	0.29	55%	-0.01	79.1	0.27%	0	0.6	50	0
3	Apr_24_2013	107.13	108.18	108.51	108.61			108.62(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	12	-10000	1	46	0.28	55%	0	90.7	0.29%	0	0.9	58	0
4	Apr_23_2013	107.13	108.1	108.43	108.6			108.57(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	14	-10000	3	47	0.45	55%	0	83.3	0.29%	0	0.9	63	0
5	Apr_22_2013	107.13	108.03	108.39	108.56			108.64(0.06%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	14	-10000	-1	58	0.38	55%	0	78.8	0.29%	0	1.1	69	0

6	Apr_19_2013	107.13	107.94	108.34	108.57			108.58(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	19	-10000	1	73	0.75	55%	0	81.5	0.29%	0	1.1	64	0
7	Apr_18_2013	107.13	107.86	108.32	108.55			108.64(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	31	-10000	10	95	0.71	55%	0	84.2	0.29%	0	1.3	67	0
8	Apr_17_2013	107.13	107.75	108.27	108.39			108.58(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	31	-10000	11	91	0.99	53%	0	81	0.29%	0	1.3	62	0
9	Apr_16_2013	107.13	107.67	108.19	108.22			108.38(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	-10000	3	79	1.23	53%	0	81	0.3%	0	1.1	66	0
10	Apr_15_2013	107.13	107.59	108.08	108.18			108.69(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	27	-10000	7	85	0.59	53%	0	86.4	0.3%	0	1.7	71	0

11	Apr_12_2013	107.13	107.47	107.96	108.07			108.45(0.56%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.6	20	-10000	-1	84	0.83	53%	0.02	86.4	0.29%	0	1.6	70	0
12	Apr_11_2013	107.11	107.34	107.85	108.08			107.85(0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	21	-10000	-4	94	1.13	52%	-0.01	83.6	0.29%	0	0.8	66	0
13	Apr_10_2013	107.12	107.25	107.82	108.08			107.73(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	31	-10000	0	122	0.34	52%	0	74.6	0.29%	0	0.7	68	0
14	Apr_9_2013	107.12	107.17	107.76	108.14			108.18(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	42	-10000	12	131	0.51	54%	-0.01	67.1	0.29%	0	1.3	66	0
15	Apr_8_2013	107.13	107.04	107.64	107.95			108.14(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	35	-10000	8	117	0.86	54%	-0.01	51.4	0.29%	0	1.4	69	0

16	Apr_5_2013	107.14	106.92	107.52	107.82			108.49(0.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	42	-10000	15	124	0.66	56%	0	37	0.28%	0	2	78	0
17	Apr_4_2013	107.14	106.8	107.35	107.59			108.15(0.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	35	-10000	8	115	0.58	54%	-0.01	25.8	0.28%	0	1.9	79	0
18	Apr_3_2013	107.15	106.71	107.19	107.47			107.72(0.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	36	-10000	9	115	1.23	49%	-0.02	20.7	0.28%	0	1.6	77	0
19	Apr_2_2013	107.17	106.67	107.11	107.34			107.27(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	33	-10000	4	119	0.98	44%	-0.01	14.8	0.28%	0	1	72	0
20	Apr_1_2013	107.18	106.65	107.05	107.28			107.48(0.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	38	-10000	8	129	2.47	44%	-0.03	11.3	0.29%	0	1.5	79	0

21	Mar_28_2013	107.21	106.63	106.94	107.16			107.34(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	37	-10000	6	131	0.38	41%	-0.01	13.5	0.29%	0	1.3	78	0
22	Mar_27_2013	107.22	106.62	106.8	107.07			107.54(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	40	-10000	13	121	0.62	41%	0	15.7	0.29%	0	1.7	68	0
23	Mar_26_2013	107.22	106.62	106.64	106.87			107.08(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	22	-10000	1	85	0.55	39%	-0.01	14.6	0.29%	0	1	55	0
24	Mar_25_2013	107.23	106.58	106.53	106.85			106.97(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	21	-10000	4	70	0.32	39%	-0.01	22.4	0.29%	0	0.8	48	0
25	Mar_22_2013	107.24	106.59	106.4	106.79			106.89(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	-10000	8	43	0.3	39%		31.3	0.29%	0	0.6	45	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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