Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Apr. 27, 2010

Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond)
IEF latest price $90.4800 (0.94%) ($89.9500 - $90.5400) on Tue. Apr. 27, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.38% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $90.4800(0.94%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IEF advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IEF advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IEF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(79%)    LQD(69%)    TIP(64%)    GLD(32%)    SHY(32%)
Factors Impacting IEF price   IEF will decline at least -0.19% in a week (0% probabilities).
EWI(-31%)    SPY(-30%)    EWP(-29%)    OIH(-28%)    IWM(-28%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.19% (StdDev 0.38%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $89.91(0.63%)
10 Day Moving Average   $89.77(0.79%)
20 Day Moving Average   $89.43(1.17%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   2.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IEF price fluctuates within 0.56% (three month std-dev: 0.38%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100527

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_27_2010	89.91	89.43	89.77	89.91			90.48(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	23	-10000	8	68	0.44	45%	0	25	0.38%	0	2.1	70	0
2	Apr_26_2010	89.91	89.36	89.67	89.77			89.64(0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	17	-10000	-1	70	0.16	39%	-0.02	6.1	0.36%	0	0.6	70	0
3	Apr_23_2010	89.93	89.34	89.64	89.78			89.58(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	20	-10000	-4	90	0.17	39%	-0.02	-2.1	0.36%	0	0.6	72	0
4	Apr_22_2010	89.95	89.32	89.59	89.85			89.83(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	30	-10000	6	102	0.26	39%	-0.03	-10.4	0.36%	0	1.2	59	0
5	Apr_21_2010	89.98	89.32	89.51	89.76			90.04(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	30	-10000	10	89	0.45	39%	-0.02	-30.4	0.36%	0	1.8	54	0

6	Apr_20_2010	90	89.3	89.41	89.6			89.75(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	19	-10000	3	68	0.17	39%	-0.03	-40	0.36%	0	1	54	0
7	Apr_19_2010	90.03	89.33	89.29	89.55			89.71(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	-10000	5	52	0.22	39%	-0.04	-35.1	0.36%	0	0.7	55	0
8	Apr_16_2010	90.07	89.35	89.15	89.47			89.93(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	16	-10000	11	29	0.41	39%	0	-35.5	0.36%	0	1.1	55	0
9	Apr_15_2010	90.07	89.37	89.05	89.3			89.39(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	7	-10000	6	9	0.3	38%	-0.03	-40.6	0.35%	0	0	53	0
10	Apr_14_2010	90.1	89.42	89.05	89.21			89.24(-0.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	1	-10000	2	-1	0.32	41%	-0.03	-37.1	0.36%	0	-0.3	46	0

11	Apr_13_2010	90.13	89.48	89.06	89.18			89.48(0.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	4	-10000	12	-19	0.31	39%	-0.03	-34.7	0.36%	0	0	38	0
12	Apr_12_2010	90.16	89.51	89.06	88.99			89.31(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-5	-10000	13	-60	0.4	43%	-0.02	-40.8	0.37%	0	-0.3	34	0
13	Apr_9_2010	90.18	89.55	89.06	88.99			89.07(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-26	-10000	0	-102	0.31	43%	-0.03	-50.6	0.37%	0	-0.7	36	0
14	Apr_8_2010	90.21	89.59	89.02	88.78			88.97(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-36	-10000	-6	-124	0.47	43%	-0.03	-55.8	0.38%	0	-0.9	34	0
15	Apr_7_2010	90.24	89.65	89.07	88.88			89.07(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-36	-10000	-3	-134	0.56	43%	-0.03	-55.3	0.38%	0	-0.9	33	0

16	Apr_6_2010	90.27	89.71	89.18	88.93			88.52(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-41	-10000	-8	-139	0.57	40%	-0.04	-57.3	0.37%	0	-1.8	27	0
17	Apr_5_2010	90.31	89.79	89.38	89.06			88.26(-0.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-42	-10000	-14	-124	0.66	42%	-0.04	-61.8	0.37%	0	-2.5	31	0
18	Apr_1_2010	90.35	89.9	89.58	89.28			89.06(-0.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-27	-10000	-1	-103	0.4	47%	-0.02	-66.7	0.35%	0	-1.6	36	0
19	Mar_31_2010	90.37	89.98	89.71	89.29			89.5(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-24	-10000	1	-97	0.4	47%	-0.01	-68.5	0.35%	0	-1	44	0
20	Mar_30_2010	90.38	90.03	89.82	89.28			89.29(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-34	-10000	-13	-95	0.25	47%	-0.02	-66.7	0.36%	0	-1.5	39	0

21	Mar_29_2010	90.4	90.1	89.94	89.49			89.2(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-31	-10000	-17	-72	0.52	47%	-0.02	-54.9	0.36%	0	-2	35	0
22	Mar_26_2010	90.42	90.17	90.04	89.76			89.33(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-19	-10000	-11	-42	0.73	47%	-0.01	-31.3	0.35%	0	-2	42	0
23	Mar_25_2010	90.43	90.24	90.13	89.94			89.12(-0.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-19	-10000	-16	-26	0.6	47%	-0.01	-9.3	0.36%	0	-2.9	35	0
24	Mar_24_2010	90.44	90.31	90.23	90.19			89.45(-1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.6	-14	-10000	-14	-12	0.53	49%	-0.02	28.1	0.36%	0	-3	33	0
25	Mar_23_2010	90.46	90.36	90.3	90.42			90.35(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	1	-10000	-2	10	0.24	55%		75	0.33%	0	-0	47	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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