Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ IEF: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Feb. 28, 2008

Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond)
IEF latest price $89.8000 (1.17%) ($89.3000 - $89.8000) on Thu. Feb. 28, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.57% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $89.8000(1.17%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IEF advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IEF declines -0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IEF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(81%)    TIP(65%)    LQD(53%)    SHY(44%)    GLD(25%)
Factors Impacting IEF price   IEF will decline at least -0.285% in a week (0% probabilities).
SPY(-32%)    IWM(-31%)    EWI(-31%)    VWO(-30%)    OIH(-30%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.285% (StdDev 0.57%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $88.87(1.05%)
10 Day Moving Average   $88.8(1.13%)
20 Day Moving Average   $89.2(0.67%)
To recent high   -0.9%
To recent low   4.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IEF price fluctuates within 0.66% (three month std-dev: 0.57%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_28_2008	87.21	89.2	88.8	88.87			89.8(1.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.6	-4	-10000	5	-30	0.29	63%	0.08	-34.8	0.57%	0	1	57	0
2	Feb_27_2008	87.14	89.18	88.73	88.75			88.76(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-9	-10000	4	-47	0.2	58%	0.07	-47.7	0.55%	0	-0.7	40	0
3	Feb_26_2008	87.08	89.22	88.81	88.65			88.55(0.25%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-13	-10000	2	-59	0.26	61%	0.06	-62.5	0.57%	0	-1.2	37	0
4	Feb_25_2008	87.03	89.29	88.93	88.6			88.33(-0.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-19	-10000	-5	-59	0.18	61%	0.06	-63.5	0.59%	0	-1.7	42	0
5	Feb_22_2008	86.98	89.38	88.93	88.73			88.92(-0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-12	-10000	1	-52	0.24	63%	0.07	-54.8	0.59%	0	-0.8	42	0

6	Feb_21_2008	86.92	89.41	89.07	88.71			89.17(1.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-18	-10000	-1	-67	0.36	64%	0.06	-55	0.59%	0	-0.4	43	0
7	Feb_20_2008	86.87	89.46	89.13	88.73			88.26(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-25	-10000	-11	-68	0.5	62%	0.06	-44.4	0.58%	0	-2.1	41	0
8	Feb_19_2008	86.82	89.57	89.32	89.01			88.34(-0.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-20	-10000	-12	-44	0.56	63%	0.09	-16.7	0.59%	0	-2.3	41	0
9	Feb_15_2008	86.74	89.65	89.44	89.31			88.98(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-12	-10000	-6	-28	0.51	67%	0.06	10	0.58%	0	-1.5	42	0
10	Feb_14_2008	86.69	89.69	89.53	89.45			88.79(-0.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-6	-10000	-1	-21	0.48	67%	0.06	38.3	0.58%	0	-2.1	37	0

11	Feb_13_2008	86.64	89.69	89.65	89.47			89.28(-0.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-7	-10000	-4	-15	0.31	65%	0.07	51.1	0.58%	0	-1.1	50	0
12	Feb_12_2008	86.58	89.71	89.68	89.59			89.66(-0.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-6	-10000	-3	-15	0.43	65%	0.08	67.4	0.58%	0	-0.1	45	0
13	Feb_11_2008	86.51	89.66	89.67	89.68			89.85(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-2	-10000	3	-18	0.2	65%	0.07	69.2	0.58%	0	0.4	43	0
14	Feb_8_2008	86.45	89.6	89.66	89.59			89.65(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-8	-10000	-2	-24	0.22	66%	0.08	61	0.58%	0	0.1	51	0
15	Feb_7_2008	86.38	89.53	89.71	89.65			88.9(-1.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-11	-10000	-8	-19	0.25	64%	0.06	57.1	0.58%	0	-1	45	0

16	Feb_6_2008	86.33	89.51	89.77	89.86			89.91(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	4	-10000	4	3	0.16	68%	0.07	66.7	0.56%	0	0.6	58	0
17	Feb_5_2008	86.27	89.43	89.8	89.77			90.07(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	5	-10000	4	8	0.23	68%	0.07	69.6	0.56%	0	0.9	57	0
18	Feb_4_2008	86.21	89.34	89.84	89.66			89.44(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	3	-10000	-3	20	0.44	67%	0.06	73.2	0.55%	0	0.1	58	0
19	Feb_1_2008	86.16	89.28	89.87	89.74			89.94(0.01%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	7	-10000	-3	38	0.6	69%	0.07	85.1	0.55%	0	0.8	63	0
20	Jan_31_2008	86.1	89.17	89.85	89.8			89.93(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	-10000	5	64	0.38	67%	0.06	95.7	0.55%	0	0.9	67	0

21	Jan_30_2008	86.05	89.06	89.76	89.68			89.47(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	11	-10000	-6	63	0.69	67%	0.06	95.9	0.55%	0	0.5	62	0
22	Jan_29_2008	86	88.95	89.74	89.83			89.51(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	14	-10000	-9	81	0.43	67%	0.06	103	0.55%	0	0.6	60	0
23	Jan_28_2008	85.95	88.81	89.67	90.05			89.87(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	29	-10000	2	109	0.25	67%	0.06	100	0.55%	0	1.1	65	0
24	Jan_25_2008	85.9	88.62	89.54	90			90.2(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	32	-10000	4	114	0.44	67%	0.07	85.8	0.55%	0	1.5	69	0
25	Jan_24_2008	85.84	88.4	89.33	89.91			89.37(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	31	-10000	3	115	0.4	66%		74.2	0.54%	0	0.8	67	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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