Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ IEF: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Jan. 25, 2008

Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond)
IEF latest price $90.2000 (0.93%) ($88.9700 - $90.2000) on Fri. Jan. 25, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.55% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $90.2000(0.93%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IEF advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IEF advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IEF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(81%)    TIP(65%)    LQD(53%)    SHY(44%)    GLD(25%)
Factors Impacting IEF price   IEF will decline at least -0.275% in a week (0% probabilities).
SPY(-32%)    IWM(-31%)    EWI(-31%)    VWO(-30%)    OIH(-30%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.275% (StdDev 0.55%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $90(0.22%)
10 Day Moving Average   $89.54(0.74%)
20 Day Moving Average   $88.62(1.78%)
To recent high   -0.5%
To recent low   6.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IEF price fluctuates within 1.2% (three month std-dev: 0.55%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_25_2008	85.9	88.62	89.54	90			90.2(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	32	-10000	4	114	0.44	67%	0.07	85.8	0.55%	0	1.5	69	0
2	Jan_24_2008	85.84	88.4	89.33	89.91			89.37(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	31	-10000	3	115	0.4	66%	0.07	74.2	0.54%	0	0.8	67	0
3	Jan_23_2008	85.78	88.24	89.23	89.84			90.19(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	37	-10000	8	123	1.42	70%	0.07	65.3	0.53%	0	1.5	78	0
4	Jan_22_2008	85.72	88.05	89.05	89.64			90.62(1.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	47	-10000	18	134	0.86	70%	0.08	66.2	0.52%	0	2.1	87	0
5	Jan_18_2008	85.65	87.85	88.79	89.23			89.61(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	38	-10000	9	125	0.63	69%	0.07	63	0.51%	0	1.5	86	0

6	Jan_17_2008	85.59	87.72	88.63	89.03			89.74(0.81%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	46	-10000	15	140	0.61	70%	0.07	64.1	0.51%	0	1.8	90	0
7	Jan_16_2008	85.53	87.55	88.43	88.68			89.02(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	40	-10000	7	140	0.46	69%	0.06	57.5	0.51%	0	1.4	89	0
8	Jan_15_2008	85.48	87.4	88.29	88.53			89.19(0.65%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	43	-10000	7	151	0.35	69%	0.07	55.6	0.51%	0	1.8	83	0
9	Jan_14_2008	85.42	87.23	88.08	88.37			88.61(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	41	-10000	4	153	0.35	68%	0.06	51.8	0.5%	0	1.4	75	0
10	Jan_11_2008	85.37	87.09	87.88	88.28			88.57(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	40	-10000	4	147	0.31	68%	0.07	45.5	0.5%	0	1.5	64	0

11	Jan_10_2008	85.31	86.99	87.63	88.18			88.01(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	33	-10000	2	126	0.26	66%	0.06	41.5	0.5%	0	1.1	59	0
12	Jan_9_2008	85.26	86.95	87.41	88.14			88.25(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	34	-10000	6	118	0.34	66%	0.05	40.2	0.5%	0	1.5	67	0
13	Jan_8_2008	85.22	86.84	87.19	88.01			88.39(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	37	-10000	12	112	0.29	66%	0.07	30.9	0.5%	0	1.8	70	0
14	Jan_7_2008	85.16	86.73	86.98	87.74			88.2(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	37	-10000	15	101	0.34	66%	0.06	16.9	0.5%	0	1.9	72	0
15	Jan_4_2008	85.11	86.66	86.84	87.42			88.04(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	37	-10000	19	90	0.37	63%	0.06	2.5	0.51%	0	2	68	0

16	Jan_3_2008	85.06	86.61	86.73	87			87.81(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	32	-10000	20	66	0.2	63%	0.07	-14.3	0.51%	0	2	58	0
17	Jan_2_2008	85	86.6	86.57	86.57			87.63(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	17	-10000	15	21	0.56	63%	0.09	-33.3	0.51%	0	1.8	50	0
18	Dec_31_2007	84.92	86.58	86.42	86.25			87.01(0.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	3	-10000	6	-6	0.18	62%	0.06	-48.6	0.51%	0	0.7	56	0
19	Dec_28_2007	84.87	86.6	86.3	86.12			86.61(0.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-9	-10000	-3	-27	0.3	62%	0.05	-48.6	0.51%	0	0	52	0
20	Dec_27_2007	84.83	86.64	86.23	86.18			85.92(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-18	-10000	-11	-38	0.21	60%	0.05	-42.1	0.5%	0	-1.1	43	0

21	Dec_26_2007	84.79	86.7	86.3	86.42			85.66(-0.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-13	-10000	-7	-29	0.14	60%	0.07	-31.1	0.5%	0	-1.6	38	0
22	Dec_24_2007	84.73	86.78	86.47	86.57			86.07(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-6	-10000	-1	-21	0.2	60%	0.05	-20	0.49%	0	-1.1	37	0
23	Dec_21_2007	84.69	86.88	86.48	86.6			86.32(-0.72%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-4	-10000	6	-34	0.56	61%	0.05	-5.5	0.49%	0	-0.9	39	0
24	Dec_20_2007	84.65	86.91	86.49	86.48			86.95(-0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-8	-10000	10	-60	0.31	60%	0.06	-5.6	0.48%	0	0.1	43	0
25	Dec_19_2007	84.6	86.92	86.48	86.28			87.09(0.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-18	-10000	4	-84	0.41	60%		-2.8	0.5%	0	0.3	46	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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