Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ IEF: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Jul. 2, 2004

Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond)
IEF latest price $83.6500 (0.86%) ($83.4500 - $83.8400) on Fri. Jul. 2, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.44% (three month average)
RSI   75
Latest Price   $83.6500(0.86%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IEF advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IEF advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IEF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(82%)    TIP(68%)    LQD(56%)    SHY(50%)    REMX(-2%)
Factors Impacting IEF price   IEF will decline at least -0.22% in a week (0% probabilities).
SPY(-32%)    IWM(-31%)    EWP(-29%)    EWI(-29%)    EEM(-29%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.22% (StdDev 0.44%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $82.87(0.94%)
10 Day Moving Average   $82.71(1.14%)
20 Day Moving Average   $82.34(1.59%)
To recent high   -2.1%
To recent low   2.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IEF price fluctuates within 0.66% (three month std-dev: 0.44%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20040802

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_2_2004	84.41	82.34	82.71	82.87			83.65(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	24	-10000	10	67	0.15	40%	-0.02	25.8	0.44%	0	2.4	75	0
2	Jul_1_2004	84.43	82.26	82.56	82.69			82.94(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	15	-10000	3	52	0.12	35%	-0.04	16.4	0.48%	0	1.5	64	0
3	Jun_30_2004	84.46	82.2	82.51	82.64			83.05(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	21	-10000	7	63	0.45	35%	-0.04	11.8	0.48%	0	2	66	0
4	Jun_29_2004	84.49	82.15	82.42	82.51			82.54(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	16	-10000	3	56	0.1	30%	-0.04	4.4	0.48%	0	1.1	59	0
5	Jun_28_2004	84.52	82.16	82.4	82.46			82.15(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	13	-10000	-3	59	0.1	30%	-0.05	8.9	0.47%	0	-0	55	0

6	Jun_25_2004	84.56	82.2	82.33	82.51			82.76(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	19	-10000	5	62	0.06	31%	-0.02	20.4	0.47%	0	1.4	65	0
7	Jun_24_2004	84.58	82.18	82.22	82.41			82.72(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	14	-10000	3	47	0.19	31%	-0.04	19.6	0.47%	0	1.3	58	0
8	Jun_23_2004	84.61	82.15	82.11	82.35			82.4(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	11	-10000	2	38	0.15	31%	-0.04	16	0.47%	0	0.6	56	0
9	Jun_22_2004	84.64	82.14	82.06	82.31			82.28(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	7	-10000	-1	32	0.21	31%	-0.04	12	0.47%	0	0.3	52	0
10	Jun_21_2004	84.67	82.13	82.01	82.33			82.39(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	15	-10000	11	25	0.04	31%	-0.05	16	0.47%	0	0.6	43	0

11	Jun_18_2004	84.71	82.12	81.95	82.11			82.26(-0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	1	-10000	6	-13	0.11	31%	-0.04	10.2	0.47%	0	0.4	39	0
12	Jun_17_2004	84.74	82.1	81.93	82			82.43(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-1	-10000	9	-30	0.09	31%	-0.04	4.1	0.47%	0	0.8	47	0
13	Jun_16_2004	84.77	82.08	81.87	81.84			82.2(-0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-9	-10000	4	-49	0.06	33%	-0.04	-4.1	0.47%	0	0.3	50	0
14	Jun_15_2004	84.8	82.09	81.86	81.77			82.38(1.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.5	-11	-10000	5	-57	0.42	33%	-0.05	0	0.47%	0	0.7	53	0
15	Jun_14_2004	84.84	82.06	81.88	81.67			81.3(-0.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-20	-10000	-5	-65	0.19	26%	-0.07	-4.1	0.44%	0	-1.9	41	0

16	Jun_10_2004	84.9	82.06	82.05	81.76			81.7(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-15	-10000	-4	-46	0.16	27%	-0.06	-13	0.43%	0	-1	42	0
17	Jun_9_2004	84.95	82.08	82.14	81.83			81.61(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-10	-10000	-4	-28	0.15	27%	-0.05	-19.6	0.43%	0	-1.2	49	0
18	Jun_8_2004	84.99	82.1	82.2	81.9			81.85(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-8	-10000	-3	-23	0.63	30%	-0.04	-28.9	0.44%	0	-0.7	46	0
19	Jun_7_2004	85.02	82.09	82.23	81.95			81.87(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-14	-10000	-10	-24	0.12	30%	-0.06	-43.5	0.44%	0	-0.6	44	0
20	Jun_4_2004	85.07	82.08	82.26	82.14			81.75(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-11	-10000	-13	-6	0.16	37%	-0.06	-50	0.47%	0	-0.8	51	0

21	Jun_3_2004	85.12	82.13	82.31	82.39			82.09(0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	4	-10000	-5	31	0.17	37%	-0.05	-38.8	0.47%	0	-0.1	60	0
22	Jun_2_2004	85.16	82.16	82.3	82.49			81.96(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	10	-10000	-2	44	0.14	35%	-0.05	-38.5	0.47%	0	-0.5	55	0
23	Jun_1_2004	85.2	82.21	82.33	82.49			82.1(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.9	14	-10000	0	54	0.19	35%	-0.06	-44.6	0.48%	0	-0.2	54	0
24	May_28_2004	85.25	82.26	82.36	82.53			82.79(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	23	-10000	7	69	0.06	37%	-0.02	-41.2	0.47%	0	0.9	65	0
25	May_27_2004	85.27	82.28	82.26	82.39			83.02(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	21	-10000	8	61	0.58	37%		-47.2	0.47%	0	1.3	68	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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