Trading Signals: ICPT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ICPT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Sep. 8, 2017

Trading Signals: ICPT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Jan. 25, 2016 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Intercept Pharmaceuticals)
ICPT latest price $116.9100 (-0.49%) ($116.1800 - $117.8000) on Fri. Sep. 8, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.81% (three month average)
RSI   84
Latest Price   $116.9100(-0.49%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ICPT advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ICPT advances 5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ICPT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(45%)    IBB(42%)    IWO(40%)    ARKG(39%)    IWC(39%)
Factors Impacting ICPT price   ICPT will decline at least -1.405% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-12%)    UUP(-8%)    TLT(-8%)    SHY(-5%)    GDXJ(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.405% (StdDev 2.81%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $117.81(-0.76%)
10 Day Moving Average   $115.54(1.19%)
20 Day Moving Average   $110.8(5.51%)
To recent high   -13.4%
To recent low   15.6%
Market Cap   $259.266b

$. ICPT price fluctuates within 5.03% (three month std-dev: 2.81%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 15 Average positive next day return: 0.33%(40%) Average negative next day return: -1.26%(60%) Sample size 15 Average positive next three day return: 2%(60%) Average negative next three day return: -2.15%(40%) Sample size 15 Average positive next weekly return: 2.22%(40%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.03%(60%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171008

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_8_2017	117.06	110.8	115.54	117.81	117.71	117.27	116.91(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	19	-30	-9	102	0.17	39%	0.09	61.8	2.81%	0	1.1	84	0
2	Sep_7_2017	116.96	110.02	114.96	117.75	117.87	117.68	117.48(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	30	-10	-0	121	0.28	39%	0.1	53.6	2.81%	0	1.3	85	0
3	Sep_6_2017	116.84	109.29	113.96	117.08	117.47	118.15	117.61(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	46	50	19	127	0.25	39%	0.09	50.3	2.81%	0	1.5	79	0
4	Sep_5_2017	116.73	108.68	112.92	116.07	116.45	118.06	118.32(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	71	110	49	137	0.64	39%	0.09	44.3	2.81%	0	1.8	83	0
5	Sep_1_2017	116.62	108.09	111.57	114.81	114.68	116.79	118.75(1.84%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	79	130	62	129	0.26	44%	0.1	33.5	2.87%	0	2.3	81	0

6	Aug_31_2017	116.5	107.45	110.08	112.95	113.09	114.84	116.61(2.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	74	110	61	112	0.44	46%	0.09	-5.7	2.87%	0	2.3	81	0
7	Aug_30_2017	116.39	107.04	108.81	111.8	111.7	112.58	114.1(1.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	57	50	43	100	0.31	44%	0.05	-42	2.88%	0	2.1	82	0
8	Aug_29_2017	116.33	106.55	107.92	110.37	110.51	111.34	112.58(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	40	60	26	83	0.24	44%	0.03	-91.8	2.9%	0	1.9	72	0
9	Aug_28_2017	116.3	106.4	107.04	109.27	109.5	110.82	112.01(2.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	50	90	42	75	0.28	44%	0.03	-108.5	2.93%	0	1.5	60	0
10	Aug_25_2017	116.26	106.57	106.28	107.81	108.2	109.68	109.44(-1.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	51	110	49	57	0.17	43%	0	-69.4	2.93%	0	0.4	52	0

11	Aug_24_2017	116.26	107.68	105.64	106.73	106.56	108.17	110.89(3.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	43	100	45	38	0.29	45%	0.02	-58.1	2.94%	0	0.4	56	0
12	Aug_23_2017	116.24	108.49	104.65	105.39	105.38	106.72	106.94(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	30	90	38	6	0.2	43%	-0.05	-55.6	2.94%	0	-0.2	41	0
13	Aug_22_2017	116.3	109.49	104.24	105.1	104.76	104.96	107.09(2.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	16	0	23	-7	0.28	43%	-0.04	-51.6	2.94%	0	-0.2	54	0
14	Aug_21_2017	116.35	110.49	104.1	104.5	104.44	104.04	104.67(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-17	-30	-11	-36	0.24	43%	-0.07	-48.9	2.93%	0	-0.5	39	0
15	Aug_18_2017	116.43	111.62	104.36	104.52	104.62	104.57	104.08(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-15	-0	-4	-49	0.3	41%	-0.08	-46.5	2.96%	0	-0.7	31	0

16	Aug_17_2017	116.52	112.76	104.64	104.34	104.68	104.83	104.19(-1.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-12	20	14	-90	0.28	39%	-0.1	-46.7	2.96%	0	-0.7	21	0
17	Aug_16_2017	116.64	113.95	105.14	103.73	103.95	104.68	105.47(1.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-21	60	14	-126	0.25	39%	-0.09	-48.2	3.01%	0	-0.7	29	0
18	Aug_15_2017	116.74	114.99	105.09	103.24	103.09	104.52	104.09(-0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-27	90	20	-166	0.25	39%	-0.12	-50.6	3.01%	0	-1	28	0
19	Aug_14_2017	116.88	116.03	105.72	103.67	102.98	103.22	104.77(1.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-36	-0	16	-191	0.28	39%	-0.1	-51.1	3.01%	0	-1	29	0
20	Aug_11_2017	117	117.07	106.85	104.24	103.57	101.66	103.19(2.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-83	-150	-36	-225	0.34	39%	-0.11	-49.4	3.01%	0	-1.2	27	0

21	Aug_10_2017	117.13	118.36	109.81	105.03	104.93	102.74	101.12(-1.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-112	-150	-75	-224	0.49	39%	-0.13	-48	2.99%	0	-1.6	26	0
22	Aug_9_2017	117.28	119.78	112.57	106.74	106.8	105.49	103.02(-3.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-77	-80	-38	-194	0.45	39%	-0.11	-44.5	2.99%	0	-1.6	26	0
23	Aug_8_2017	117.41	121.1	115.12	107.13	107.65	107.13	106.26(-1.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-66	-20	-26	-184	0.37	39%	-0.15	-45.8	2.97%	0	-1.6	31	0
24	Aug_7_2017	117.59	122.11	117.36	108.03	108.03	108.11	107.62(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-67	10	-32	-172	0.39	39%	-0.15	-45.8	2.99%	0	-1.7	35	0
25	Aug_4_2017	117.77	122.87	119.46	109.93	109.96	108.18	107.14(-2.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-89	-110	-63	-165	0.39	42%		-43.8	3%	0	-1.9	34	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.