Trading Signals: ICPT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Sep. 7, 2017

Trading Signals: ICPT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Jan. 25, 2016 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Intercept Pharmaceuticals)
ICPT latest price $117.4800 (-0.11%) ($116.1300 - $118.7400) on Thu. Sep. 7, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.81% (three month average)
RSI   85
Latest Price   $117.4800(-0.11%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ICPT advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ICPT advances 5.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Rotation from value to growth for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ICPT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(45%)    IBB(42%)    IWO(40%)    ARKG(39%)    IWC(39%)
Factors Impacting ICPT price   ICPT will decline at least -1.405% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-12%)    UUP(-8%)    TLT(-8%)    SHY(-5%)    GDXJ(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.405% (StdDev 2.81%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $117.75(-0.23%)
10 Day Moving Average   $114.96(2.19%)
20 Day Moving Average   $110.02(6.78%)
To recent high   -13%
To recent low   16.2%
Market Cap   $260.53b

$. ICPT price fluctuates within 5.19% (three month std-dev: 2.81%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 15 Average positive next day return: 0.63%(60%) Average negative next day return: -1.15%(40%) Sample size 15 Average positive next three day return: 1.77%(47%) Average negative next three day return: -1.15%(53%) Sample size 15 Average positive next weekly return: 2.4%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.47%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171007

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_7_2017	116.96	110.02	114.96	117.75	117.87	117.68	117.48(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	30	-10	-0	121	0.28	39%	0.1	53.6	2.81%	0	1.3	85	0
2	Sep_6_2017	116.84	109.29	113.96	117.08	117.47	118.15	117.61(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	46	50	19	127	0.25	39%	0.09	50.3	2.81%	0	1.5	79	0
3	Sep_5_2017	116.73	108.68	112.92	116.07	116.45	118.06	118.32(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	71	110	49	137	0.64	39%	0.09	44.3	2.81%	0	1.8	83	0
4	Sep_1_2017	116.62	108.09	111.57	114.81	114.68	116.79	118.75(1.84%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	79	130	62	129	0.26	44%	0.1	33.5	2.87%	0	2.3	81	0
5	Aug_31_2017	116.5	107.45	110.08	112.95	113.09	114.84	116.61(2.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	74	110	61	112	0.44	46%	0.09	-5.7	2.87%	0	2.3	81	0

6	Aug_30_2017	116.39	107.04	108.81	111.8	111.7	112.58	114.1(1.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	57	50	43	100	0.31	44%	0.05	-42	2.88%	0	2.1	82	0
7	Aug_29_2017	116.33	106.55	107.92	110.37	110.51	111.34	112.58(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	40	60	26	83	0.24	44%	0.03	-91.8	2.9%	0	1.9	72	0
8	Aug_28_2017	116.3	106.4	107.04	109.27	109.5	110.82	112.01(2.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	50	90	42	75	0.28	44%	0.03	-108.5	2.93%	0	1.5	60	0
9	Aug_25_2017	116.26	106.57	106.28	107.81	108.2	109.68	109.44(-1.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	51	110	49	57	0.17	43%	0	-69.4	2.93%	0	0.4	52	0
10	Aug_24_2017	116.26	107.68	105.64	106.73	106.56	108.17	110.89(3.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	43	100	45	38	0.29	45%	0.02	-58.1	2.94%	0	0.4	56	0

11	Aug_23_2017	116.24	108.49	104.65	105.39	105.38	106.72	106.94(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	30	90	38	6	0.2	43%	-0.05	-55.6	2.94%	0	-0.2	41	0
12	Aug_22_2017	116.3	109.49	104.24	105.1	104.76	104.96	107.09(2.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	16	0	23	-7	0.28	43%	-0.04	-51.6	2.94%	0	-0.2	54	0
13	Aug_21_2017	116.35	110.49	104.1	104.5	104.44	104.04	104.67(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-17	-30	-11	-36	0.24	43%	-0.07	-48.9	2.93%	0	-0.5	39	0
14	Aug_18_2017	116.43	111.62	104.36	104.52	104.62	104.57	104.08(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-15	-0	-4	-49	0.3	41%	-0.08	-46.5	2.96%	0	-0.7	31	0
15	Aug_17_2017	116.52	112.76	104.64	104.34	104.68	104.83	104.19(-1.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-12	20	14	-90	0.28	39%	-0.1	-46.7	2.96%	0	-0.7	21	0

16	Aug_16_2017	116.64	113.95	105.14	103.73	103.95	104.68	105.47(1.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-21	60	14	-126	0.25	39%	-0.09	-48.2	3.01%	0	-0.7	29	0
17	Aug_15_2017	116.74	114.99	105.09	103.24	103.09	104.52	104.09(-0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-27	90	20	-166	0.25	39%	-0.12	-50.6	3.01%	0	-1	28	0
18	Aug_14_2017	116.88	116.03	105.72	103.67	102.98	103.22	104.77(1.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-36	-0	16	-191	0.28	39%	-0.1	-51.1	3.01%	0	-1	29	0
19	Aug_11_2017	117	117.07	106.85	104.24	103.57	101.66	103.19(2.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-83	-150	-36	-225	0.34	39%	-0.11	-49.4	3.01%	0	-1.2	27	0
20	Aug_10_2017	117.13	118.36	109.81	105.03	104.93	102.74	101.12(-1.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-112	-150	-75	-224	0.49	39%	-0.13	-48	2.99%	0	-1.6	26	0

21	Aug_9_2017	117.28	119.78	112.57	106.74	106.8	105.49	103.02(-3.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-77	-80	-38	-194	0.45	39%	-0.11	-44.5	2.99%	0	-1.6	26	0
22	Aug_8_2017	117.41	121.1	115.12	107.13	107.65	107.13	106.26(-1.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-66	-20	-26	-184	0.37	39%	-0.15	-45.8	2.97%	0	-1.6	31	0
23	Aug_7_2017	117.59	122.11	117.36	108.03	108.03	108.11	107.62(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-67	10	-32	-172	0.39	39%	-0.15	-45.8	2.99%	0	-1.7	35	0
24	Aug_4_2017	117.77	122.87	119.46	109.93	109.96	108.18	107.14(-2.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-89	-110	-63	-165	0.39	42%	-0.15	-43.8	3%	0	-1.9	34	0
25	Aug_3_2017	117.95	123.81	121.57	115.51	113.39	107.96	109.64(4.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-147	-390	-145	-153	1.31	42%		-28	3.03%	0	-1.9	33	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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