Trading Signals: ICPT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Aug. 30, 2017

Trading Signals: ICPT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Jan. 25, 2016 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Intercept Pharmaceuticals)
ICPT latest price $114.1000 (1.35%) ($112.3100 - $116.0000) on Wed. Aug. 30, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.88% (three month average)
RSI   82
Latest Price   $114.1000(1.35%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ICPT advances 1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ICPT advances 4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ICPT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(45%)    IBB(42%)    IWO(40%)    ARKG(39%)    IWC(39%)
Factors Impacting ICPT price   ICPT will decline at least -1.44% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-12%)    TLT(-8%)    UUP(-7%)    SHY(-5%)    GDXJ(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.44% (StdDev 2.88%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $111.8(2.06%)
10 Day Moving Average   $108.81(4.86%)
20 Day Moving Average   $107.04(6.6%)
To recent high   -15.5%
To recent low   12.8%
Market Cap   $253.035b

$. ICPT price fluctuates within 3.17% (three month std-dev: 2.88%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 1.02%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 4.72%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -3.88%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 4.78%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.75%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170930

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_30_2017	116.39	107.04	108.81	111.8	111.7	112.58	114.1(1.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	57	50	43	100	0.31	44%	0.05	-42	2.88%	0	2.1	82	0
2	Aug_29_2017	116.33	106.55	107.92	110.37	110.51	111.34	112.58(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	40	60	26	83	0.24	44%	0.03	-91.8	2.9%	0	1.9	72	0
3	Aug_28_2017	116.3	106.4	107.04	109.27	109.5	110.82	112.01(2.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	50	90	42	75	0.28	44%	0.03	-108.5	2.93%	0	1.5	60	0
4	Aug_25_2017	116.26	106.57	106.28	107.81	108.2	109.68	109.44(-1.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	51	110	49	57	0.17	43%	0	-69.4	2.93%	0	0.4	52	0
5	Aug_24_2017	116.26	107.68	105.64	106.73	106.56	108.17	110.89(3.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	43	100	45	38	0.29	45%	0.02	-58.1	2.94%	0	0.4	56	0

6	Aug_23_2017	116.24	108.49	104.65	105.39	105.38	106.72	106.94(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	30	90	38	6	0.2	43%	-0.05	-55.6	2.94%	0	-0.2	41	0
7	Aug_22_2017	116.3	109.49	104.24	105.1	104.76	104.96	107.09(2.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	16	0	23	-7	0.28	43%	-0.04	-51.6	2.94%	0	-0.2	54	0
8	Aug_21_2017	116.35	110.49	104.1	104.5	104.44	104.04	104.67(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-17	-30	-11	-36	0.24	43%	-0.07	-48.9	2.93%	0	-0.5	39	0
9	Aug_18_2017	116.43	111.62	104.36	104.52	104.62	104.57	104.08(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-15	-0	-4	-49	0.3	41%	-0.08	-46.5	2.96%	0	-0.7	31	0
10	Aug_17_2017	116.52	112.76	104.64	104.34	104.68	104.83	104.19(-1.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-12	20	14	-90	0.28	39%	-0.1	-46.7	2.96%	0	-0.7	21	0

11	Aug_16_2017	116.64	113.95	105.14	103.73	103.95	104.68	105.47(1.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-21	60	14	-126	0.25	39%	-0.09	-48.2	3.01%	0	-0.7	29	0
12	Aug_15_2017	116.74	114.99	105.09	103.24	103.09	104.52	104.09(-0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-27	90	20	-166	0.25	39%	-0.12	-50.6	3.01%	0	-1	28	0
13	Aug_14_2017	116.88	116.03	105.72	103.67	102.98	103.22	104.77(1.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-36	-0	16	-191	0.28	39%	-0.1	-51.1	3.01%	0	-1	29	0
14	Aug_11_2017	117	117.07	106.85	104.24	103.57	101.66	103.19(2.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-83	-150	-36	-225	0.34	39%	-0.11	-49.4	3.01%	0	-1.2	27	0
15	Aug_10_2017	117.13	118.36	109.81	105.03	104.93	102.74	101.12(-1.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-112	-150	-75	-224	0.49	39%	-0.13	-48	2.99%	0	-1.6	26	0

16	Aug_9_2017	117.28	119.78	112.57	106.74	106.8	105.49	103.02(-3.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-77	-80	-38	-194	0.45	39%	-0.11	-44.5	2.99%	0	-1.6	26	0
17	Aug_8_2017	117.41	121.1	115.12	107.13	107.65	107.13	106.26(-1.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-66	-20	-26	-184	0.37	39%	-0.15	-45.8	2.97%	0	-1.6	31	0
18	Aug_7_2017	117.59	122.11	117.36	108.03	108.03	108.11	107.62(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-67	10	-32	-172	0.39	39%	-0.15	-45.8	2.99%	0	-1.7	35	0
19	Aug_4_2017	117.77	122.87	119.46	109.93	109.96	108.18	107.14(-2.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-89	-110	-63	-165	0.39	42%	-0.15	-43.8	3%	0	-1.9	34	0
20	Aug_3_2017	117.95	123.81	121.57	115.51	113.39	107.96	109.64(4.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-147	-390	-145	-153	1.31	42%	-0.14	-28	3.03%	0	-1.9	33	0

21	Aug_2_2017	118.12	124.51	123.56	119.5	119.46	111.75	105(-5.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-183	-450	-197	-141	1.05	39%	-0.14	-15.9	2.99%	0	-3	26	0
22	Aug_1_2017	118.29	125.59	125.91	124.26	124.79	118.83	110.76(-5.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.7	-175	-320	-198	-104	1.77	41%	-0.15	7.5	2.92%	0	-3	31	0
23	Jul_31_2017	118.47	126.27	127.48	127.86	128.26	127.16	117.13(-13.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.8	-76	-50	-91	-30	2.28	44%	-0.08	27.2	2.86%	0	-2.4	43	0
24	Jul_28_2017	118.57	126.54	128.42	130.13	129.8	130.74	135.03(4.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	56	40	53	63	0.76	53%	0.08	34.6	2.31%	0	2.5	78	0
25	Jul_27_2017	118.47	125.9	127.68	128.6	128.78	129.36	129.56(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	23	40	17	41	0.53	50%		14.2	2.26%	0	1.3	62	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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