Trading Signals: ICPT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. May. 16, 2017

Trading Signals: ICPT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Jan. 25, 2016 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Intercept Pharmaceuticals)
ICPT latest price $119.5900 (0.89%) ($117.5800 - $120.7100) on Tue. May. 16, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.11% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $119.5900(0.89%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ICPT advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ICPT advances 1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ICPT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(46%)    IBB(42%)    IWO(40%)    ARKG(39%)    IWC(39%)
Factors Impacting ICPT price   ICPT will decline at least -1.055% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-12%)    TLT(-8%)    UUP(-7%)    SHY(-5%)    GDXJ(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.055% (StdDev 2.11%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $117.41(1.86%)
10 Day Moving Average   $116.79(2.4%)
20 Day Moving Average   $114.29(4.64%)
To recent high   -7.9%
To recent low   13.2%
Market Cap   $265.21b

$. ICPT price fluctuates within 3.47% (three month std-dev: 2.11%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 26 Average positive next day return: 1.14%(50%) Average negative next day return: -2.22%(50%) Sample size 26 Average positive next three day return: 1.73%(54%) Average negative next three day return: -3.79%(46%) Sample size 26 Average positive next weekly return: 2.82%(62%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.62%(38%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170616

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_16_2017	114.96	114.29	116.79	117.41	117.29	118.76	119.59(0.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	52	80	47	66	0.26	43%	0.04	65.4	2.11%	0	1.3	64	INF
2	May_15_2017	114.91	113.65	116.33	116.79	116.51	117.45	118.53(1.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	57	50	55	62	0.3	48%	0.13	58.9	2.12%	0	1.2	58	INF
3	May_12_2017	114.76	113.1	115.85	116.06	115.74	115.83	117.15(1.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	10	-0	2	35	0.35	54%	0.13	54.3	2.26%	0	1	63	INF
4	May_11_2017	114.61	112.62	115.38	116.38	115.86	115.56	115.84(-0.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	0	-30	-14	44	0.36	54%	0.1	55	2.27%	0	0.8	67	INF
5	May_10_2017	114.5	112.13	115.14	116.67	116.61	115.66	115.95(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	7	-60	-11	62	0.24	57%	0.07	51.1	2.29%	0	0.9	68	INF

6	May_9_2017	114.42	111.75	114.89	116.03	116.97	116.16	116.48(1.38%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	1	-20	-21	65	0.37	57%	0.05	43.5	2.38%	0	1.2	72	INF
7	May_8_2017	114.36	111.36	114.7	115.76	116.47	117.55	114.9(-3.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	26	80	4	91	0.42	57%	0.05	39.7	2.38%	0	0.9	67	INF
8	May_5_2017	114.3	111.05	114.35	115.53	115.87	117.78	118.74(1.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	92	120	79	130	0.39	60%	0.11	33.9	2.32%	0	2	72	INF
9	May_4_2017	114.17	110.51	113.28	114.25	114.51	115.4	117.29(4.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	66	60	53	106	0.9	60%	0.12	22.4	2.33%	0	2	71	INF
10	May_3_2017	114.03	110.08	112.28	113.44	113.29	113.95	112.72(-2.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	25	40	5	83	0.3	58%	0.04	8.4	2.3%	0	0.9	69	INF

11	May_2_2017	113.99	110.03	111.62	113.58	113.37	113.63	115.14(1.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	39	10	22	88	0.26	58%	0.07	4.8	2.3%	0	1.7	64	INF
12	May_1_2017	113.91	109.83	110.78	113.51	113.36	112.63	113.74(1.24%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	11	-50	-9	71	0.22	58%	0.07	-4	2.3%	0	1.4	61	INF
13	Apr_28_2017	113.83	109.83	110.15	112.98	113.54	113.11	112.35(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	13	-10	-4	63	0.21	58%	0.09	-15.2	2.37%	0	0.9	59	INF
14	Apr_27_2017	113.73	109.76	109.65	112.09	112.74	114.09	113.23(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	39	100	31	64	0.22	58%	0.09	-29	2.39%	0	1.3	61	INF
15	Apr_26_2017	113.63	109.82	108.89	110.88	111.2	113.97	113.45(-1.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	83	180	89	64	0.29	58%	0.07	-39.6	2.43%	0	1.2	59	INF

16	Apr_25_2017	113.55	109.89	108.35	109.32	109.28	111.39	114.77(3.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	81	130	95	39	0.39	58%	0.11	-51.7	2.43%	0	1.6	52	INF
17	Apr_24_2017	113.43	109.94	107.69	107.7	107.49	108.44	111.11(2.98%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1	28	60	40	-10	0.36	55%	0.11	-69.9	2.41%	0	0.3	44	INF
18	Apr_21_2017	113.31	110.18	107.39	106.98	106.81	107.17	107.89(0.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	2	20	15	-38	0.4	49%	0.07	-80.4	2.43%	0	-0.6	31	INF
19	Apr_20_2017	113.23	110.57	107.46	106.87	106.75	106.53	107.19(1.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-10	-20	5	-53	0.44	49%	0.05	-89.8	2.45%	0	-0.9	29	INF
20	Apr_19_2017	113.17	111.01	107.66	106.58	106.68	106.44	105.62(-0.99%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-33	-10	-18	-78	0.3	49%	0.02	-100.9	2.49%	0	-1.4	17	INF

21	Apr_18_2017	113.15	111.54	108.31	107.17	106.94	106.96	106.68(-0.77%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-25	-10	-9	-74	0.23	49%	-0.02	-107.1	2.49%	0	-1.3	18	INF
22	Apr_17_2017	113.17	112.35	108.83	107.64	107.49	106.96	107.51(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-26	-40	-8	-79	0.24	49%	-0.08	-94.6	2.51%	0	-1.1	17	INF
23	Apr_13_2017	113.26	113.2	109.37	107.88	107.98	106.92	107.33(1.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-45	-70	-29	-93	0.5	52%	-0.06	-77.1	2.51%	0	-1.1	19	INF
24	Apr_12_2017	113.33	114.07	109.91	108.16	108.39	108.05	105.77(-2.59%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-46	-20	-29	-95	0.37	55%	-0.06	-72.3	2.55%	0	-1.4	17	INF
25	Apr_11_2017	113.4	115.06	110.89	108.87	108.76	109.04	108.58(-0.4%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-24	10	-5	-79	0.17	57%		-71.9	2.58%	0	-1.2	19	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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