Trading Signals: ICPT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ICPT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Apr. 21, 2017

Trading Signals: ICPT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Jan. 25, 2016 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Intercept Pharmaceuticals)
ICPT latest price $107.8900 (0.65%) ($106.5000 - $108.4300) on Fri. Apr. 21, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.43% (three month average)
RSI   31
Latest Price   $107.8900(0.65%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ICPT advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ICPT declines -1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ICPT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(46%)    IBB(42%)    IWO(40%)    ARKG(39%)    IWC(39%)
Factors Impacting ICPT price   ICPT will decline at least -1.215% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-12%)    TLT(-8%)    UUP(-7%)    SHY(-5%)    GDXJ(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.215% (StdDev 2.43%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $102.21(-5.26%)
Resistance Level   $110.18
5 Day Moving Average   $106.98(0.85%)
10 Day Moving Average   $107.39(0.47%)
20 Day Moving Average   $110.18(-2.08%)
To recent high   -18.8%
To recent low   2.5%
Market Cap   $239.263b

$. ICPT price fluctuates within 3.31% (three month std-dev: 2.43%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 11 Average positive next day return: 1.28%(82%) Average negative next day return: -3.17%(18%) Sample size 11 Average positive next three day return: 2.97%(64%) Average negative next three day return: -3.3%(36%) Sample size 11 Average positive next weekly return: 11.02%(45%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.03%(55%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170521

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_21_2017	113.31	110.18	107.39	106.98	106.81	107.17	107.89(0.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	2	20	15	-38	0.4	49%	0.07	-80.4	2.43%	0	-0.6	31	INF
2	Apr_20_2017	113.23	110.57	107.46	106.87	106.75	106.53	107.19(1.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-10	-20	5	-53	0.44	49%	0.05	-89.8	2.45%	0	-0.9	29	INF
3	Apr_19_2017	113.17	111.01	107.66	106.58	106.68	106.44	105.62(-0.99%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-33	-10	-18	-78	0.3	49%	0.02	-100.9	2.49%	0	-1.4	17	INF
4	Apr_18_2017	113.15	111.54	108.31	107.17	106.94	106.96	106.68(-0.77%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-25	-10	-9	-74	0.23	49%	-0.02	-107.1	2.49%	0	-1.3	18	INF
5	Apr_17_2017	113.17	112.35	108.83	107.64	107.49	106.96	107.51(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-26	-40	-8	-79	0.24	49%	-0.08	-94.6	2.51%	0	-1.1	17	INF

6	Apr_13_2017	113.26	113.2	109.37	107.88	107.98	106.92	107.33(1.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-45	-70	-29	-93	0.5	52%	-0.06	-77.1	2.51%	0	-1.1	19	INF
7	Apr_12_2017	113.33	114.07	109.91	108.16	108.39	108.05	105.77(-2.59%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-46	-20	-29	-95	0.37	55%	-0.06	-72.3	2.55%	0	-1.4	17	INF
8	Apr_11_2017	113.4	115.06	110.89	108.87	108.76	109.04	108.58(-0.4%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-24	10	-5	-79	0.17	57%	-0.06	-71.9	2.58%	0	-1.2	19	INF
9	Apr_10_2017	113.47	115.73	111.6	109.63	109.3	108.72	109.02(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-24	-50	-8	-73	0.25	57%	-0.04	-65.4	2.58%	0	-1.1	22	INF
10	Apr_7_2017	113.51	116.65	112.39	110.23	110.06	108.47	108.71(0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-61	-110	-49	-96	0.35	57%	-0.06	-60.5	2.56%	0	-1.3	12	INF

11	Apr_6_2017	113.58	117.58	113.2	111.1	111.35	109.87	108.7(-0.59%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-65	-90	-52	-102	0.29	57%	-0.02	-58.2	2.58%	0	-1.5	11	INF
12	Apr_5_2017	113.6	118.43	113.94	111.94	112.33	111.66	109.34(-2.7%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-57	-30	-41	-106	0.34	57%	-0.04	-58.1	2.58%	0	-1.6	11	INF
13	Apr_4_2017	113.64	119.25	114.67	113.19	113.17	112.82	112.37(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-43	-20	-23	-104	0.18	63%	-0.02	-59.9	2.58%	0	-1.3	12	INF
14	Apr_3_2017	113.66	119.75	115.05	113.88	114.48	112.99	112.01(-0.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-46	-80	-26	-106	0.34	59%	0	-63.1	2.68%	0	-1.5	29	INF
15	Mar_31_2017	113.66	120.46	116.16	114.91	115.34	113.52	113.1(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-73	-100	-59	-114	0.24	59%	0.04	-59.3	2.76%	0	-1.4	23	INF

16	Mar_30_2017	113.61	121.17	117.32	115.64	116.24	115.96	112.88(-2.36%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-48	-0	-31	-100	0.38	59%	0	-51.6	2.78%	0	-1.7	24	INF
17	Mar_29_2017	113.61	121.88	118.53	116.22	116.82	117.16	115.61(-0.16%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-8	40	15	-77	0.42	59%	0.15	-41	2.76%	0	-1.3	33	INF
18	Mar_28_2017	113.44	122.55	119.53	116.35	116.41	116.53	115.79(-1.18%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-20	10	1	-81	0.3	63%	0.14	-36	2.81%	0	-1.5	33	INF
19	Mar_27_2017	113.28	123.16	120.16	116.39	116.43	116.47	117.17(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-29	0	-12	-80	0.37	63%	0.18	-36.3	3.04%	0	-1.4	45	INF
20	Mar_24_2017	113.08	123.57	121.19	117.67	117.23	116.3	116.73(0.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-41	-70	-30	-75	0.31	63%	0.18	-33	3.04%	0	-1.6	37	INF

21	Mar_23_2017	112.88	123.76	122.26	119.37	119.13	116.4	115.8(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-64	-170	-61	-73	0.26	63%	-0.02	-32.9	3.07%	0	-1.9	34	INF
22	Mar_22_2017	112.9	123.85	123.27	121.25	121.34	118.17	116.25(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-86	-180	-91	-71	0.45	63%	-0.06	-42.2	3.07%	0	-1.9	36	INF
23	Mar_21_2017	112.97	124.23	124.25	123.17	123.46	121.87	116.01(-6.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-58	-80	-61	-48	0.76	60%	-0.07	-37.5	3.07%	0	-2.3	32	INF
24	Mar_20_2017	113.05	124.74	124.94	124.34	124.63	124.51	123.56(-1.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-19	0	-16	-29	0.27	65%	0	-29.3	3.02%	0	-0.4	44	INF
25	Mar_17_2017	113.05	124.97	125.2	125.19	124.9	125.05	125.23(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-8	0	-5	-16	0.23	65%		-7.1	2.99%	0	0.1	52	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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