Trading Signals: ICPT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Mar. 2, 2017

Trading Signals: ICPT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Jan. 25, 2016 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Intercept Pharmaceuticals)
ICPT latest price $126.6200 (-1.84%) ($126.0900 - $132.8500) on Thu. Mar. 2, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.02% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $126.6200(-1.84%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ICPT advances 1.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ICPT advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ICPT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(46%)    IBB(42%)    IWO(40%)    ARKG(39%)    IWC(39%)
Factors Impacting ICPT price   ICPT will decline at least -1.51% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-12%)    TLT(-8%)    UUP(-7%)    SHY(-5%)    GDXJ(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.51% (StdDev 3.02%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $125.45(0.93%)
10 Day Moving Average   $124.97(1.32%)
20 Day Moving Average   $121.34(4.35%)
To recent high   -4.7%
To recent low   27%
Market Cap   $280.8b

$. ICPT price fluctuates within 6.07% (three month std-dev: 3.02%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 1.34%(20%) Average negative next day return: -3.2%(80%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 1.88%(60%) Average negative next three day return: -8.98%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 3.42%(20%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.87%(80%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170402

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_2_2017	114.32	121.34	124.97	125.45	126.71	129.3	126.62(-1.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	63	170	68	48	0.66	66%	-0.17	60.6	3.02%	0	0.7	66	INF
2	Mar_1_2017	114.51	120.4	125.49	123.31	123.76	127.68	128.99(1.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	87	230	93	68	0.45	66%	-0.21	49.2	3.01%	0	1.1	68	INF
3	Feb_28_2017	114.75	119.44	125.24	122.07	120.99	124.13	127.59(2.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	76	160	78	71	0.74	57%	-0.24	47.7	3.04%	0	1	66	INF
4	Feb_27_2017	115.03	118.37	124.74	121.65	120.53	119.83	124.87(4.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	27	-70	17	57	0.47	57%	-0.25	45.5	3.14%	0	0.8	65	INF
5	Feb_24_2017	115.32	117.63	124.17	122.36	121.66	117.86	119.19(2.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-60	-240	-92	35	0.56	54%	-0.3	48.6	3.09%	0	0.2	64	INF

6	Feb_23_2017	115.67	117.03	123.69	124.49	124.41	121.23	115.93(-5.59%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1	-75	-180	-118	55	1.43	54%	-0.34	49.9	3.1%	0	-0.1	65	INF
7	Feb_22_2017	116.07	116.67	123.57	127.88	127.72	125.47	122.79(-2.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-8	-130	-54	130	0.48	59%	-0.27	56.5	3.02%	0	0.7	75	INF
8	Feb_21_2017	116.38	115.82	122.75	128.71	129.21	127.59	125.45(-2.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	16	-80	-31	158	0.56	59%	-0.75	54.3	3.04%	0	1.1	73	INF
9	Feb_17_2017	117.26	114.8	121.53	128.15	128.66	129.98	128.45(-1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	59	80	15	190	0.51	61%	-0.28	49.3	3%	0	1.6	81	INF
10	Feb_16_2017	117.59	113.83	119.72	126.16	126.76	130.83	129.85(-2.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	130	240	104	209	0.54	61%	-0.33	46.2	3.05%	0	2	72	INF

11	Feb_15_2017	117.98	112.96	117.49	122.73	123.84	127.34	132.85(4.64%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	153	220	139	195	0.77	61%	-0.34	44.1	3.06%	0	2.8	79	INF
12	Feb_14_2017	118.38	111.98	114.83	118.69	119.64	122.7	126.96(3.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	97	200	84	137	0.54	59%	-0.35	44.6	3.01%	0	2.7	73	INF
13	Feb_13_2017	118.79	111.21	113	116.02	116.7	120.33	122.62(3.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	102	240	94	124	0.8	56%	-0.38	46.4	2.99%	0	2.5	73	INF
14	Feb_10_2017	119.24	110.72	111.27	114.02	114.78	116.59	118.51(5.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	95	130	91	106	2.51	54%	-0.44	51.5	2.97%	0	2.1	70	INF
15	Feb_9_2017	119.77	110.25	110.34	112.36	112.59	113.08	112.69(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	30	40	19	61	0.34	60%	-0.48	51	2.94%	0	0.7	53	INF

16	Feb_8_2017	120.35	109.9	109.7	111.35	111.51	112.97	112.69(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	33	100	31	37	0.41	60%	-0.49	37	3.48%	0	0.8	46	INF
17	Feb_7_2017	120.94	109.56	109.18	110.25	110.08	112.1	113.57(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	38	120	43	21	0.38	60%	-0.37	31.5	3.49%	0	1.2	45	INF
18	Feb_6_2017	121.39	109.16	108.35	109.48	108.94	110.05	112.62(2.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	34	60	44	3	0.32	60%	-0.38	21.8	3.51%	0	1	48	INF
19	Feb_3_2017	121.85	108.82	107.58	108.12	108.01	108.05	110.23(2.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-4	-0	7	-37	0.35	49%	-0.36	6.1	3.5%	0	0.4	44	INF
20	Feb_2_2017	122.29	108.6	107.52	108.08	107.64	107.82	107.64(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-11	-0	-2	-36	0.35	47%	-0.37	-4.4	4.07%	0	-0.3	48	INF

21	Feb_1_2017	122.74	108.66	108.15	107.78	107.9	107.97	107.18(-2.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	0	10	8	-24	0.38	47%	-0.33	-0.6	4.1%	0	-0.4	54	INF
22	Jan_31_2017	123.15	108.49	108.94	107.89	107.61	107.46	109.75(3.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-4	-20	0	-15	0.41	47%	-0.35	-1.2	4.09%	0	0.3	57	INF
23	Jan_30_2017	123.58	108.42	109.28	107.02	107.47	107.83	105.79(-3.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	2	40	6	-10	0.37	47%	-0.33	-0.9	4.06%	0	-0.7	53	INF
24	Jan_27_2017	123.99	108.61	110.13	106.91	106.88	107.75	110.03(3.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	7	60	9	1	0.36	45%	-0.35	4.1	4.05%	0	0.4	59	INF
25	Jan_26_2017	124.43	108.75	110.14	106.93	106.75	107.1	106.17(-1.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-1	20	-2	2	0.28	45%		9.8	4.02%	0	-0.7	54	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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