Trading Signals: ICPT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ICPT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Jan. 4, 2017

Trading Signals: ICPT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Jan. 25, 2016 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Intercept Pharmaceuticals)
ICPT latest price $108.7400 (5.62%) ($102.9500 - $108.9900) on Wed. Jan. 4, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.91% (three month average)
RSI   51
Latest Price   $108.7400(5.62%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ICPT advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ICPT advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ICPT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(46%)    IBB(42%)    IWO(40%)    ARKG(39%)    IWC(38%)
Factors Impacting ICPT price   ICPT will decline at least -1.955% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-12%)    TLT(-8%)    UUP(-7%)    SHY(-5%)    GDXJ(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.955% (StdDev 3.91%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 4.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $108.64(0.09%)
10 Day Moving Average   $106.83(1.79%)
20 Day Moving Average   $106.63(1.98%)
To recent high   -29.4%
To recent low   11.1%
Market Cap   $241.148b

$. ICPT price fluctuates within 2.79% (three month std-dev: 3.91%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 19 Average positive next day return: 0.66%(58%) Average negative next day return: -1.26%(42%) Sample size 19 Average positive next three day return: 2.68%(63%) Average negative next three day return: -1.06%(37%) Sample size 19 Average positive next weekly return: 3.47%(74%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.97%(26%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170204

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_4_2017	131.86	106.63	106.83	108.64	108.08	105.96	108.74(5.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-12	-150	-16	2	0.63	35%	-0.43	57.7	3.91%	0	0.7	51	0
2	Jan_3_2017	132.43	106.36	106.89	107.67	109	107.04	102.95(-5.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-32	-90	-39	-11	0.76	31%	-0.7	40.9	3.89%	0	-1.2	47	0
3	Dec_30_2016	133.37	106.25	107.58	107.93	108.63	110.2	108.65(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	7	120	5	13	0.58	35%	-0.37	17.2	3.84%	0	0.7	55	0
4	Dec_29_2016	133.87	105.85	107.32	106.81	107.48	110.95	109.27(-3.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	63	240	72	36	0.56	33%	-0.36	-11.2	3.86%	0	1	60	0
5	Dec_28_2016	134.36	105.45	106.84	105.83	105.26	107.07	113.59(9.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	43	100	50	20	1.34	33%	-0.33	-32.5	3.87%	0	2.4	65	0

6	Dec_27_2016	134.8	104.95	106.23	104.94	104.43	104.01	103.89(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-9	-40	-9	-7	0.26	29%	-0.63	-64.5	3.67%	0	-0.4	48	0
7	Dec_23_2016	135.66	105.17	106.58	106.14	105.71	103.46	104.25(1.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-29	-160	-37	-3	0.42	29%	-0.44	-47.7	3.68%	0	-0.2	54	0
8	Dec_22_2016	136.26	105.7	106.8	107.21	107.26	104.85	103.03(-1.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-39	-160	-55	9	0.28	29%	-0.51	-38.9	3.68%	0	-0.7	59	0
9	Dec_21_2016	136.96	106.23	106.85	107.82	108.39	107.96	104.4(-4.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-8	-10	-21	32	0.38	29%	-0.49	-27.6	3.69%	0	-0.4	59	0
10	Dec_20_2016	137.63	106.58	106.83	107.8	108.1	109.67	109.14(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	27	110	18	52	0.24	37%	-0.44	-29	3.66%	0	0.6	65	0

11	Dec_19_2016	138.24	106.83	106.48	107.68	107.39	108.83	109.89(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	42	90	36	59	0.43	37%	-0.46	-26.3	3.83%	0	0.7	58	0
12	Dec_16_2016	138.88	106.97	105.8	107.14	106.95	106.53	109.58(3.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	20	-30	13	39	0.62	37%	-0.42	-27.1	3.83%	0	0.5	50	0
13	Dec_15_2016	139.46	107.19	104.82	106.43	106.64	105.95	106.09(1.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-11	-40	-15	1	0.34	37%	-0.44	-24.1	3.82%	0	-0.2	36	0
14	Dec_14_2016	140.08	107.39	104.27	105.76	106.57	107.37	104.32(-3.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	4	80	10	-14	0.47	37%	-0.39	-30.3	3.82%	0	-0.6	36	0
15	Dec_13_2016	140.63	107.84	103.98	105.61	105.5	107.33	108.53(1.25%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	19	120	32	-21	0.28	38%	-0.36	-18.4	3.82%	0	0.1	45	0

16	Dec_12_2016	141.14	108.08	103.51	105.07	104.32	105.77	107.19(1.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	17	80	35	-39	0.39	41%	-0.36	-10	3.83%	0	-0.2	38	0
17	Dec_9_2016	141.65	108.3	103.56	104.28	103.83	103.67	106.04(3.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	2	-20	21	-57	0.44	39%	-0.34	-2.6	3.87%	0	-0.4	40	0
18	Dec_8_2016	142.13	108.46	104.39	103.01	103.28	102.87	102.74(-0.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-25	-20	-7	-78	0.41	39%	-0.32	-0.2	3.88%	0	-1	33	0
19	Dec_7_2016	142.59	108.98	105.47	102.52	102.68	103.98	103.54(-2.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-10	90	10	-71	0.71	39%	-0.29	-6.5	3.88%	0	-1	43	0
20	Dec_6_2016	143.01	108.82	106.25	102.04	102.24	103.68	105.84(2.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	9	100	34	-68	0.47	39%	-0.31	-26.8	3.88%	0	-0.5	41	0

21	Dec_5_2016	143.45	108.62	107.12	101.76	101.86	101.38	103.24(3.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-26	-30	-6	-86	0.63	39%	-0.32	-43.9	3.86%	0	-0.9	37	0
22	Dec_2_2016	143.91	108.44	108.16	102.85	102.93	100.79	99.7(-0.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-68	-140	-58	-98	0.27	39%	-0.32	-54.9	3.86%	0	-1.4	36	0
23	Dec_1_2016	144.37	108.47	109.75	106.08	105.85	102.33	100.28(-0.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-75	-240	-75	-74	0.6	39%	-0.32	-60.4	3.88%	0	-1.3	42	0
24	Nov_30_2016	144.83	109.33	110.86	108.88	109.25	105.07	101.12(-3.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-77	-260	-83	-60	0.5	39%	-0.36	-57.9	3.85%	0	-1.3	38	0
25	Nov_29_2016	145.36	110.37	112.2	111	111.39	109.38	104.45(-3.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-63	-120	-76	-22	0.51	39%		-53	3.84%	0	-0.9	61	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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