Trading Signals: ICPT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Aug. 12, 2016

Trading Signals: ICPT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Jan. 25, 2016 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Intercept Pharmaceuticals)
ICPT latest price $162.9900 (3.36%) ($156.0675 - $163.3600) on Fri. Aug. 12, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.58% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $162.9900(3.36%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ICPT advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ICPT declines -2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ICPT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(47%)    IBB(43%)    ARKG(40%)    IWO(40%)    IWC(39%)
Factors Impacting ICPT price   ICPT will decline at least -1.79% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-13%)    TLT(-8%)    UUP(-7%)    IPO(-6%)    SHY(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.79% (StdDev 3.58%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3%

5 Day Moving Average   $159.21(2.37%)
10 Day Moving Average   $163.16(-0.1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $160.92(1.29%)
To recent high   -5.8%
To recent low   25.7%
Market Cap   $361.456b

$. ICPT price fluctuates within 4.95% (three month std-dev: 3.58%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.13%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.57%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 2.97%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 2.99%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160912

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_12_2016	148.2	160.92	163.16	159.21	158.38	158.44	162.99(3.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	8	-10	19	-26	0.39	55%	0.26	28.7	3.58%	0	0.3	57	INF
2	Aug_11_2016	147.82	160.25	164.07	159.06	158.89	156.8	157.69(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-36	-100	-36	-35	0.27	55%	0.24	25	3.64%	0	-0.3	53	INF
3	Aug_10_2016	147.46	159.72	165.05	160.17	160.32	158.32	156.82(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-59	-80	-68	-30	0.32	55%	0.2	28.2	3.65%	0	-0.3	59	INF
4	Aug_9_2016	147.17	159.23	166.2	163.32	162.84	160.97	157.19(-2.57%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.7	-35	-90	-51	12	0.22	55%	0.25	39.8	3.67%	0	-0.2	65	INF
5	Aug_8_2016	146.8	159.12	166.62	165.98	165.84	162.31	161.34(-0.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-30	-150	-53	41	0.32	55%	0.29	53.8	3.66%	0	0.2	72	INF

6	Aug_5_2016	146.38	158.66	166.48	167.65	167.71	164.7	162.27(-0.58%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.6	-57	-120	-91	46	0.48	55%	0.31	62.1	3.68%	0	0.4	66	INF
7	Aug_4_2016	145.93	158.15	166.2	169.8	170.19	169.38	163.21(-5.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	5	-30	-26	96	0.63	52%	0.34	71.3	3.69%	0	0.5	68	INF
8	Aug_3_2016	145.44	157.21	165.36	170.54	170.84	170.73	172.59(1.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	40	0	11	127	0.76	55%	0.41	69	3.69%	0	1.5	82	INF
9	Aug_2_2016	144.85	155.71	163.01	169.53	169.48	171	170.47(0.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	48	60	20	132	0.49	55%	0.35	66	3.7%	0	1.5	81	INF
10	Aug_1_2016	144.34	154.33	160.56	167.35	167.98	170.95	169.72(-1.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	91	140	76	135	0.71	55%	0.38	69.7	3.7%	0	1.7	64	INF

11	Jul_29_2016	143.8	153.11	158.51	165.11	164.52	167.97	173.03(3.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	86	140	74	121	0.33	55%	0.41	69.8	3.72%	0	2.3	69	INF
12	Jul_28_2016	143.21	151.52	155.99	162.14	161.55	165.01	166.9(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	91	140	85	107	0.28	55%	0.32	61.8	3.7%	0	2.1	66	INF
13	Jul_27_2016	142.75	150.59	153.79	159.39	158.77	161.06	167.51(4.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	81	90	78	91	0.48	55%	0.33	60.3	3.71%	0	2.6	73	INF
14	Jul_26_2016	142.28	149.59	151.47	155.56	155.69	158.09	159.59(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	58	110	56	63	0.28	52%	0.23	61.6	3.67%	0	1.9	70	INF
15	Jul_25_2016	141.96	148.18	150.81	152.68	152.82	156.47	158.5(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	70	170	72	63	0.28	52%	0.24	28.4	3.68%	0	1.7	68	INF

16	Jul_22_2016	141.62	147.37	150.02	150.85	150.13	153.28	158.2(3.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	71	130	75	58	0.32	52%	0.25	25.1	3.71%	0	1.9	62	INF
17	Jul_21_2016	141.27	147.07	149.26	148.96	148.53	149.16	153.16(3.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	43	20	43	44	0.47	52%	0.25	27.7	3.73%	0	1.1	63	INF
18	Jul_20_2016	140.92	146.77	148.33	147.37	147.54	146.98	148.34(2.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-5	-20	-9	8	0.24	52%	0.19	24.9	3.71%	0	0.3	49	INF
19	Jul_19_2016	140.65	146.47	147.83	146.75	147.38	147.89	145.22(-2.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-13	40	-16	-5	0.18	52%	0.25	21.3	3.71%	0	-0.2	46	INF
20	Jul_18_2016	140.3	146.48	147.73	148.57	148.19	148.11	149.33(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	11	-10	5	28	0.29	52%	0.26	31.5	3.69%	0	0.5	69	INF

21	Jul_15_2016	139.94	145.96	147.43	149.05	149.46	146.86	148.73(2.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-17	-110	-30	21	0.26	52%	0.27	23.1	3.69%	0	0.5	56	INF
22	Jul_14_2016	139.56	145.61	146.85	149.65	150.54	148.28	145.25(0.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-39	-90	-53	5	0.25	52%	0.24	15.7	3.68%	0	-0.1	46	INF
23	Jul_13_2016	139.22	145.51	147.3	149.35	150.83	152.05	145.24(-5.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	13	90	7	29	0.43	52%	0.19	-0.8	3.72%	0	-0	50	INF
24	Jul_12_2016	138.96	145.37	147.72	148.87	148.94	152.8	154.31(1.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	72	180	75	61	0.43	56%	0.25	-19.4	3.64%	0	1.6	58	INF
25	Jul_11_2016	138.62	144.85	145.44	146.71	146.13	149.6	151.73(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	1	70	150	81	36	0.5	51%		-51.1	3.64%	0	1.3	55	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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