Trading Signals: ICPT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ICPT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Jul. 12, 2016

Trading Signals: ICPT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Jan. 25, 2016 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Intercept Pharmaceuticals)
ICPT latest price $154.3100 (1.7%) ($152.3501 - $156.3100) on Tue. Jul. 12, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.64% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $154.3100(1.7%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ICPT advances 1.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ICPT advances 1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ICPT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(47%)    IBB(43%)    ARKG(40%)    IWO(40%)    IWC(39%)
Factors Impacting ICPT price   ICPT will decline at least -1.82% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-13%)    TLT(-8%)    UUP(-7%)    IPO(-6%)    SHY(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.82% (StdDev 3.64%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $148.87(3.65%)
10 Day Moving Average   $147.72(4.46%)
20 Day Moving Average   $145.37(6.15%)
To recent high   -8%
To recent low   19%
Market Cap   $342.207b

$. ICPT price fluctuates within 3.81% (three month std-dev: 3.64%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 3.13%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 3.12%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 19.18%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.48%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160812

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_12_2016	138.96	145.37	147.72	148.87	148.94	152.8	154.31(1.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	72	180	75	61	0.43	56%	0.25	-19.4	3.64%	0	1.6	58	INF
2	Jul_11_2016	138.62	144.85	145.44	146.71	146.13	149.6	151.73(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	1	70	150	81	36	0.5	51%	0.17	-51.1	3.64%	0	1.3	55	INF
3	Jul_8_2016	138.38	144.72	144.5	145.63	144.36	145.07	151.73(5.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	38	10	44	19	0.53	51%	0.2	-72.3	3.76%	0	1.4	59	INF
4	Jul_7_2016	138.11	144.76	144.57	143.82	143.75	142.66	143.75(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-11	-50	-13	-3	0.42	48%	0.15	-90.4	3.74%	0	-0.2	53	INF
5	Jul_6_2016	137.91	145.54	144.98	145.05	143.14	143.66	142.85(-0.43%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.3	-26	-10	-35	1	0.71	53%	0.18	-66.9	3.77%	0	-0.4	52	INF

6	Jul_5_2016	137.66	146.46	144.96	146.35	144.92	144.84	143.47(-1.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	41	-30	41	40	0.44	58%	0.17	-45.9	3.91%	0	-0.4	53	INF
7	Jul_1_2016	137.42	147.52	145.13	143.79	144.5	142.61	146.36(2.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-8	-80	-11	3	1	58%	0.39	-32.5	4.22%	0	-0.1	52	INF
8	Jun_30_2016	136.88	148.48	144.4	143.1	142.46	144.99	142.68(-4.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-30	110	-33	-20	2.17	58%	0.36	-19.3	4.2%	0	-0.6	46	INF
9	Jun_29_2016	136.39	149.67	144.34	145.42	143.68	146.39	149.87(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	63	100	75	25	0.58	61%	0.42	-1.5	4.15%	0	0	48	INF
10	Jun_28_2016	135.82	149.91	143.58	145.06	144.19	139.93	149.37(14.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-15	-220	-11	-28	1.28	61%	0.43	4.4	4.15%	0	-0.1	43	INF

11	Jun_27_2016	135.24	149.87	142.81	143.61	144.69	140.96	130.67(-8.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-118	-160	-122	-104	0.71	55%	0.24	4.7	3.76%	0	-1.9	27	INF
12	Jun_24_2016	134.91	150.59	144.35	146.47	146.16	148.44	142.92(-7.35%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-8	100	9	-58	0.74	60%	0.31	17.5	3.62%	0	-0.8	30	INF
13	Jun_23_2016	134.49	150.44	145.08	145.61	145.56	148.41	154.26(4.16%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.9	63	140	99	-47	0.43	66%	0.43	17.7	3.51%	0	0.4	35	INF
14	Jun_22_2016	133.91	149.82	144.87	143.07	142.74	143.88	148.1(4.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-4	50	29	-103	0.47	64%	0.41	13.7	3.53%	0	-0.2	27	INF
15	Jun_21_2016	133.36	149.47	145.98	142.01	141.77	142.7	142.09(-1.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-17	40	15	-111	0.39	62%	0.29	13.6	3.55%	0	-0.7	40	INF

16	Jun_20_2016	132.98	149.39	147.92	142.03	141.8	141.6	144.96(4.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-18	-10	10	-101	0.48	62%	0.29	15.7	3.54%	0	-0.4	50	INF
17	Jun_17_2016	132.59	148.96	149.93	142.02	141.87	140.84	138.64(-2.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-57	-50	-42	-101	0.47	59%	0.31	16.5	3.5%	0	-1	52	INF
18	Jun_16_2016	132.18	148.75	152.78	144.42	143.71	142.01	141.58(-0.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-48	-100	-44	-60	0.26	59%	0.24	23	3.51%	0	-0.6	59	INF
19	Jun_15_2016	131.86	148.49	155.39	146.95	146.24	142.9	142.79(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-69	-170	-80	-34	0.29	59%	0.26	27.5	3.5%	0	-0.5	56	INF
20	Jun_14_2016	131.52	148.1	156.79	150.61	149.75	145.41	142.2(-1.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-85	-220	-111	-8	0.4	59%	0.24	32.7	3.56%	0	-0.5	57	INF

21	Jun_13_2016	131.21	147.8	156.79	154.69	154.27	149.58	144.87(-3.84%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.8	-75	-220	-110	29	0.38	59%	0.11	40.8	3.57%	0	-0.2	60	INF
22	Jun_10_2016	131.07	147.21	157.68	159.01	157.99	154.1	150.66(-2.31%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.7	-69	-190	-114	68	0.5	63%	0.16	49.1	3.52%	0	0.3	69	INF
23	Jun_9_2016	130.86	146.23	156.67	162.35	161.84	158.96	154.22(-4.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-26	-130	-73	117	0.81	63%	0.19	52.8	3.57%	0	0.6	74	INF
24	Jun_8_2016	130.61	145.37	155.54	165.04	164.59	161.88	161.1(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	13	-120	-38	166	0.49	68%	0.25	59.2	3.52%	0	1.2	77	INF
25	Jun_7_2016	130.28	144.29	153.49	163.85	164.73	164.73	162.61(-2.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	44	20	-3	183	0.54	68%		57.1	3.58%	0	1.4	79	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.