Trading Signals: ICPT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. May. 9, 2016

Trading Signals: ICPT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Jan. 25, 2016 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Intercept Pharmaceuticals)
ICPT latest price $137.4400 (3.07%) ($133.0000 - $139.6400) on Mon. May. 9, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.1% (three month average)
RSI   39
Latest Price   $137.4400(3.07%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ICPT declines -1.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ICPT declines -4.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ICPT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(48%)    IBB(44%)    IWO(41%)    ARKG(40%)    IWC(39%)
Factors Impacting ICPT price   ICPT will decline at least -2.55% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    TLT(-9%)    UUP(-8%)    SHY(-5%)    IPO(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.55% (StdDev 5.1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.3%

Resistance Level   $147.39
5 Day Moving Average   $138.85(-1.02%)
10 Day Moving Average   $144.41(-4.83%)
20 Day Moving Average   $147.39(-6.75%)
To recent high   -16.1%
To recent low   46.4%
Market Cap   $304.795b

$. ICPT price fluctuates within 4.02% (three month std-dev: 5.1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 33 Average positive next day return: 1.51%(45%) Average negative next day return: -1.85%(55%) Sample size 33 Average positive next three day return: 2.98%(52%) Average negative next three day return: -2.9%(48%) Sample size 33 Average positive next weekly return: 4.35%(61%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.56%(39%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160609

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_9_2016	126.63	147.39	144.41	138.85	137.99	135.41	137.44(3.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-47	-150	-40	-69	0.39	82%	0.12	-50.5	5.1%	0	-1.7	39	0
2	May_6_2016	126.48	147.82	145.86	141.44	141.23	136.79	133.34(-2.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-68	-220	-68	-69	0.41	82%	0.08	-29.7	5.1%	0	-2.5	34	0
3	May_5_2016	126.38	149.01	148.34	144.92	144.85	140.58	136.99(-1.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-72	-210	-78	-53	0.39	82%	0.12	9.6	5.12%	0	-2.5	37	0
4	May_4_2016	126.23	150.35	149.85	148.26	148.22	145.66	139.13(-5.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-49	-120	-55	-31	0.39	82%	0.15	64.4	5.14%	0	-2.3	36	0
5	May_3_2016	126.04	151.02	150.97	150.53	150.9	149.12	147.34(-2.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-15	-80	-18	-5	0.28	89%	0.25	122.4	5.1%	0	-0.9	53	0

6	May_2_2016	125.73	150.44	151.25	150.72	151.1	150.78	150.4(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-16	-10	-20	-3	0.3	77%	0.3	101.3	5.1%	0	-0	57	0
7	Apr_29_2016	125.36	149.56	151.23	150.98	151.17	152.67	150.74(-1.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	7	70	5	12	0.29	79%	0.3	86.3	5.24%	0	0.2	60	0
8	Apr_28_2016	124.98	148.55	151.14	152.38	151.75	151.43	153.68(2.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	18	-30	17	19	0.37	71%	0.35	82.2	5.28%	0	0.6	47	0
9	Apr_27_2016	124.54	147.21	150.99	151.82	151.91	149.68	150.48(1.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-20	-100	-24	-8	0.29	71%	0.33	68.6	5.45%	0	0.3	37	0
10	Apr_26_2016	124.13	146	150.66	151.51	152.34	152.07	148.28(-2.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-18	0	-20	-10	0.4	69%	0.31	62.4	5.45%	0	0.2	49	0

11	Apr_25_2016	123.75	144.9	150.55	151.76	152.35	154.15	151.73(-3.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	21	90	22	16	0.42	69%	0.36	61	5.45%	0	0.6	65	0
12	Apr_22_2016	123.3	143.67	149.88	151.41	151.07	152.61	157.74(4.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	28	60	28	26	0.48	69%	0.46	62.8	5.46%	0	1.2	71	0
13	Apr_21_2016	122.73	141.94	149.58	149.8	150.17	150.54	150.87(1.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	15	20	9	31	0.45	69%	0.38	61.6	5.48%	0	0.7	70	0
14	Apr_20_2016	122.26	140.83	150.72	150.15	150.11	149.52	148.93(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	13	-30	-2	56	0.41	69%	0.37	65.6	5.53%	0	0.6	71	0
15	Apr_19_2016	121.81	139.52	150.98	149.69	150.19	149.81	149.53(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	16	-10	-3	74	0.43	69%	0.4	65	5.58%	0	0.8	72	0

16	Apr_18_2016	121.33	138.09	149.57	149.09	149.54	150.69	150(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	29	60	10	85	0.51	69%	0.41	63.5	5.62%	0	0.9	72	0
17	Apr_15_2016	120.83	136.55	147.83	148.02	148.26	150.57	149.66(-1.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	35	110	17	89	0.56	69%	0.42	61.4	5.67%	0	1	70	0
18	Apr_14_2016	120.32	134.86	145.87	149.36	148.09	148.38	152.62(4.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	30	-10	7	98	0.74	69%	0.49	61.8	5.71%	0	1.3	74	0
19	Apr_13_2016	119.73	132.99	143.23	151.6	149.9	145.95	146.66(0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-0	-220	-32	95	0.48	69%	0.42	65.2	5.75%	0	1	65	0
20	Apr_12_2016	119.23	131.67	141.12	152.53	152.65	147.79	146.52(1.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-14	-220	-51	97	0.53	69%	0.43	64.7	5.8%	0	1.1	69	0

21	Apr_11_2016	118.72	130.19	139.01	149.94	153.63	153.84	144.64(-7.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	25	80	-4	110	1.2	69%	0.42	57.6	5.86%	0	1.1	69	0
22	Apr_8_2016	118.22	128.76	137.2	147.16	149.6	157.51	156.36(-4.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	100	420	85	143	3.12	75%	0.64	49.5	5.8%	0	2.1	79	0
23	Apr_6_2016	117.47	126.91	133.72	141.58	142.6	153.41	163.83(8.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.9	158	550	159	155	1.07	75%	0.8	43.9	5.81%	0	3.2	87	0
24	Apr_5_2016	116.54	124.62	129.86	133.82	135.22	141.7	151.31(13.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.2	127	370	130	119	2.15	72%	0.61	36.3	5.77%	0	3.4	84	0
25	Apr_4_2016	115.83	123.3	126.72	128.41	129.48	131.8	133.55(2.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	52	150	48	65	1.29	67%		42.1	5.53%	0	2	65	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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