Trading Signals: ICPT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Apr. 22, 2016

Trading Signals: ICPT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Jan. 25, 2016 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Intercept Pharmaceuticals)
ICPT latest price $157.7400 (4.55%) ($149.2430 - $158.6100) on Fri. Apr. 22, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.46% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $157.7400(4.55%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ICPT advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ICPT advances 1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Rotation from growth to value for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ICPT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(48%)    IBB(44%)    IWO(41%)    ARKG(40%)    IWC(39%)
Factors Impacting ICPT price   ICPT will decline at least -2.73% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    TLT(-9%)    UUP(-8%)    SHY(-5%)    IPO(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.73% (StdDev 5.46%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 4.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $151.41(4.18%)
10 Day Moving Average   $149.88(5.24%)
20 Day Moving Average   $143.67(9.79%)
To recent high   -3.7%
To recent low   68.3%
Market Cap   $349.813b

$. ICPT price fluctuates within 8.3% (three month std-dev: 5.46%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 11 Average positive next day return: 1.45%(18%) Average negative next day return: -1.48%(82%) Sample size 11 Average positive next three day return: 10.33%(27%) Average negative next three day return: -4.19%(73%) Sample size 11 Average positive next weekly return: 7.49%(36%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.76%(64%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160522

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_22_2016	123.3	143.67	149.88	151.41	151.07	152.61	157.74(4.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	28	60	28	26	0.48	69%	0.46	62.8	5.46%	0	1.2	71	INF
2	Apr_21_2016	122.73	141.94	149.58	149.8	150.17	150.54	150.87(1.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	15	20	9	31	0.45	69%	0.38	61.6	5.48%	0	0.7	70	INF
3	Apr_20_2016	122.26	140.83	150.72	150.15	150.11	149.52	148.93(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	13	-30	-2	56	0.41	69%	0.37	65.6	5.53%	0	0.6	71	INF
4	Apr_19_2016	121.81	139.52	150.98	149.69	150.19	149.81	149.53(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	16	-10	-3	74	0.43	69%	0.4	65	5.58%	0	0.8	72	INF
5	Apr_18_2016	121.33	138.09	149.57	149.09	149.54	150.69	150(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	29	60	10	85	0.51	69%	0.41	63.5	5.62%	0	0.9	72	INF

6	Apr_15_2016	120.83	136.55	147.83	148.02	148.26	150.57	149.66(-1.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	35	110	17	89	0.56	69%	0.42	61.4	5.67%	0	1	70	INF
7	Apr_14_2016	120.32	134.86	145.87	149.36	148.09	148.38	152.62(4.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	30	-10	7	98	0.74	69%	0.49	61.8	5.71%	0	1.3	74	INF
8	Apr_13_2016	119.73	132.99	143.23	151.6	149.9	145.95	146.66(0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-0	-220	-32	95	0.48	69%	0.42	65.2	5.75%	0	1	65	INF
9	Apr_12_2016	119.23	131.67	141.12	152.53	152.65	147.79	146.52(1.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-14	-220	-51	97	0.53	69%	0.43	64.7	5.8%	0	1.1	69	INF
10	Apr_11_2016	118.72	130.19	139.01	149.94	153.63	153.84	144.64(-7.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	25	80	-4	110	1.2	69%	0.42	57.6	5.86%	0	1.1	69	INF

11	Apr_8_2016	118.22	128.76	137.2	147.16	149.6	157.51	156.36(-4.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	100	420	85	143	3.12	75%	0.64	49.5	5.8%	0	2.1	79	INF
12	Apr_6_2016	117.47	126.91	133.72	141.58	142.6	153.41	163.83(8.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.9	158	550	159	155	1.07	75%	0.8	43.9	5.81%	0	3.2	87	INF
13	Apr_5_2016	116.54	124.62	129.86	133.82	135.22	141.7	151.31(13.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.2	127	370	130	119	2.15	72%	0.61	36.3	5.77%	0	3.4	84	INF
14	Apr_4_2016	115.83	123.3	126.72	128.41	129.48	131.8	133.55(2.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	52	150	48	65	1.29	67%	0.32	42.1	5.53%	0	2	65	INF
15	Apr_1_2016	115.46	122.82	125.36	126.62	126.75	128.73	130.76(1.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	30	110	23	49	0.77	67%	0.28	48.1	5.59%	0	1.8	67	INF

16	Mar_31_2016	115.14	122.46	124.16	125.67	125.62	127.17	128.47(2.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	35	90	30	50	0.67	67%	0.25	60.4	5.65%	0	1.5	66	INF
17	Mar_30_2016	114.85	121.99	122.87	124.5	124.55	124.77	125.02(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	11	10	5	29	1.29	67%	0.2	63.9	5.7%	0	0.8	53	INF
18	Mar_29_2016	114.62	121.82	121.95	125.2	124.44	124.08	124.26(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	4	-40	-3	25	0.66	67%	0.19	74.4	5.76%	0	0.6	53	INF
19	Mar_28_2016	114.4	121.22	121.59	124.71	124.91	124.34	124.58(-1.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	8	-30	4	20	0.47	67%	0.2	51.2	5.83%	0	0.8	45	INF
20	Mar_24_2016	114.17	120.7	120.86	123.82	123.9	124.8	126(2.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	5	50	3	9	0.44	67%	0.25	27.9	5.89%	0	1.1	50	INF

21	Mar_23_2016	113.88	120.03	119.88	122.38	122.88	125.48	122.66(-4.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	30	160	37	9	0.48	67%	0.18	8	5.95%	0	0.5	48	INF
22	Mar_22_2016	113.67	119.54	119.76	120.89	120.54	122.99	128.48(5.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	34	130	43	7	0.74	67%	0.33	-11.5	5.97%	0	1.8	60	INF
23	Mar_21_2016	113.3	119.03	118.97	118.27	118	120.29	121.82(1.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	14	130	23	-14	0.58	67%	0.19	-27.9	6%	0	0.6	50	INF
24	Mar_18_2016	113.08	118.99	119.5	118.09	117.14	118.09	120.14(1.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	16	30	22	-3	0.88	67%	0.16	-25.5	6.07%	0	0.2	61	INF
25	Mar_17_2016	112.9	119.36	119.97	117.51	116.92	115.71	118.79(3.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-5	-90	-4	-8	0.55	67%		2.1	6.15%	0	-0.1	57	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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