Trading Signals: ICPT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ICPT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Apr. 13, 2016

Trading Signals: ICPT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Jan. 25, 2016 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Intercept Pharmaceuticals)
ICPT latest price $146.6600 (0.1%) ($143.5000 - $148.4900) on Wed. Apr. 13, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.75% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $146.6600(0.1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ICPT declines -0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ICPT advances 10.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ICPT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(22%)    XHB(20%)    GDXJ(8%)    VIXM(5%)    IGOV(3%)
Factors Impacting ICPT price   ICPT will decline at least -2.875% in a week (0% probabilities).
SMH(-6%)    IYT(-6%)    IWF(-6%)    IVW(-6%)    INDA(-6%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.875% (StdDev 5.75%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $151.6(-3.26%)
10 Day Moving Average   $143.23(2.39%)
20 Day Moving Average   $132.99(10.28%)
To recent high   -10.5%
To recent low   56.5%
Market Cap   $325.242b

$. ICPT price fluctuates within 10.29% (three month std-dev: 5.75%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 8.89%(17%) Average negative next day return: -2.19%(83%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 4.65%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -4.3%(67%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 4.22%(17%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.52%(83%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160513

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_13_2016	119.73	132.99	143.23	151.6	149.9	145.95	146.66(0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-0	-220	-32	95	0.48	69%	0.42	65.2	5.75%	0	1	65	INF
2	Apr_12_2016	119.23	131.67	141.12	152.53	152.65	147.79	146.52(1.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-14	-220	-51	97	0.53	69%	0.43	64.7	5.8%	0	1.1	69	INF
3	Apr_11_2016	118.72	130.19	139.01	149.94	153.63	153.84	144.64(-7.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	25	80	-4	110	1.2	69%	0.42	57.6	5.86%	0	1.1	69	INF
4	Apr_8_2016	118.22	128.76	137.2	147.16	149.6	157.51	156.36(-4.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	100	420	85	143	3.12	75%	0.64	49.5	5.8%	0	2.1	79	INF
5	Apr_6_2016	117.47	126.91	133.72	141.58	142.6	153.41	163.83(8.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.9	158	550	159	155	1.07	75%	0.8	43.9	5.81%	0	3.2	87	INF

6	Apr_5_2016	116.54	124.62	129.86	133.82	135.22	141.7	151.31(13.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.2	127	370	130	119	2.15	72%	0.61	36.3	5.77%	0	3.4	84	INF
7	Apr_4_2016	115.83	123.3	126.72	128.41	129.48	131.8	133.55(2.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	52	150	48	65	1.29	67%	0.32	42.1	5.53%	0	2	65	INF
8	Apr_1_2016	115.46	122.82	125.36	126.62	126.75	128.73	130.76(1.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	30	110	23	49	0.77	67%	0.28	48.1	5.59%	0	1.8	67	INF
9	Mar_31_2016	115.14	122.46	124.16	125.67	125.62	127.17	128.47(2.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	35	90	30	50	0.67	67%	0.25	60.4	5.65%	0	1.5	66	INF
10	Mar_30_2016	114.85	121.99	122.87	124.5	124.55	124.77	125.02(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	11	10	5	29	1.29	67%	0.2	63.9	5.7%	0	0.8	53	INF

11	Mar_29_2016	114.62	121.82	121.95	125.2	124.44	124.08	124.26(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	4	-40	-3	25	0.66	67%	0.19	74.4	5.76%	0	0.6	53	INF
12	Mar_28_2016	114.4	121.22	121.59	124.71	124.91	124.34	124.58(-1.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	8	-30	4	20	0.47	67%	0.2	51.2	5.83%	0	0.8	45	INF
13	Mar_24_2016	114.17	120.7	120.86	123.82	123.9	124.8	126(2.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	5	50	3	9	0.44	67%	0.25	27.9	5.89%	0	1.1	50	INF
14	Mar_23_2016	113.88	120.03	119.88	122.38	122.88	125.48	122.66(-4.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	30	160	37	9	0.48	67%	0.18	8	5.95%	0	0.5	48	INF
15	Mar_22_2016	113.67	119.54	119.76	120.89	120.54	122.99	128.48(5.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	34	130	43	7	0.74	67%	0.33	-11.5	5.97%	0	1.8	60	INF

16	Mar_21_2016	113.3	119.03	118.97	118.27	118	120.29	121.82(1.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	14	130	23	-14	0.58	67%	0.19	-27.9	6%	0	0.6	50	INF
17	Mar_18_2016	113.08	118.99	119.5	118.09	117.14	118.09	120.14(1.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	16	30	22	-3	0.88	67%	0.16	-25.5	6.07%	0	0.2	61	INF
18	Mar_17_2016	112.9	119.36	119.97	117.51	116.92	115.71	118.79(3.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-5	-90	-4	-8	0.55	67%	0.14	2.1	6.15%	0	-0.1	57	INF
19	Mar_16_2016	112.74	119.64	120.53	117.03	117.16	116.2	115.23(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-21	-50	-25	-9	0.44	67%	0.06	24.9	6.22%	0	-0.9	56	INF
20	Mar_15_2016	112.67	120.11	121.03	118.4	118.41	118.12	115.39(-4.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-6	-20	-10	8	0.49	67%	0.07	61.9	6.31%	0	-0.9	56	INF

21	Mar_14_2016	112.59	120.29	121.76	119.69	119.78	118.13	120.9(3.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-9	-90	-16	14	0.41	67%	0.21	93.6	6.34%	0	0.1	52	INF
22	Mar_11_2016	112.35	120.25	120.92	121.2	121.3	118.7	117.25(0.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-27	-150	-37	5	0.45	67%	0.13	125	6.42%	0	-0.6	47	INF
23	Mar_10_2016	112.2	119.26	120.7	122.83	123.72	121.44	116.36(-4.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-21	-110	-29	5	0.47	67%	0.12	85.7	6.52%	0	-0.4	40	INF
24	Mar_9_2016	112.07	118.37	120.42	124.51	124.98	123.91	122.08(0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-7	-50	-13	10	0.34	67%	0.3	76.7	6.56%	0	0.4	48	INF
25	Mar_8_2016	111.74	117.06	119.51	123.97	124.68	125.99	121.84(-5.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	5	90	4	6	0.42	67%		65.5	6.67%	0	0.5	48	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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