Trading Signals: IBM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Aug. 10, 2015

Trading Signals: IBM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(IBM)
IBM latest price $136.1890 (1.05%) ($135.6417 - $136.8104) on Mon. Aug. 10, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.11% (three month average)
RSI   35
Latest Price   $136.1890(1.05%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   IBM declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IBM declines -1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IBM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVE(69%)    VYM(67%)    SPY(64%)    VT(61%)    XLI(61%)
Factors Impacting IBM price   IBM will decline at least -0.555% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-25%)    TLT(-23%)    UUP(-10%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.555% (StdDev 1.11%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $132.41(-2.77%)
Resistance Level   $139.71
5 Day Moving Average   $135.73(0.34%)
10 Day Moving Average   $136.96(-0.56%)
20 Day Moving Average   $139.71(-2.52%)
To recent high   -9.2%
To recent low   1.1%
Market Cap   $121.287b

International Business Machines Corp. is an information technology company, which provides integrated solutions that leverage information technology and knowledge of business processes. It operates through the following segments: Cognitive Solutions, Global Business Services, Technology Services & Cloud Platforms, Systems, and Global Financing. The Cognitive Solutions segment comprises a portfolio of capabilities that help IBM's clients to identify actionable insights and inform decision making for competitive advantage. It includes Watson, a cognitive computing platform that has the ability to interact in natural language, process amounts of big data, and learn from interactions with people and computers. This segment consists of Solutions Software, which provides the basis for many of the company's strategic areas including analytics, security and social; and Transaction Processing Software, which includes software that primarily runs mission-critical systems in industries such as banking, airlines and retail. The Global Business Services segment provides clients with consulting, application management and global process services. The Technology Services & Cloud Platforms segment provides comprehensive IT infrastructure and platform services that create business value for clients. The Systems segment provides clients with innovative infrastructure platforms to help meet the requirements of hybrid cloud and enterprise AI workload. The Global Financing segment encompasses two primary businesses: financing, primarily conducted through IBM Credit LLC, and remanufacturing and remarketing. The company was founded by Charles Ranlett Flint and Thomas J. Watson Sr. on June 16, 1911 and is headquartered in Armonk, NY.

$. IBM price fluctuates within 3.25% (three month std-dev: 1.11%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150910

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_10_2015	142.93	139.71	136.96	135.73			136.19(1.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-15	-10000	-1	-58	4.61	32%	-0.02	-40.3	1.11%	0	-0.8	35	0
2	Aug_7_2015	142.96	140.19	137.06	135.84			134.77(-0.77%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-36	-10000	-13	-103	3.79	32%	-0.01	-36.3	1.11%	0	-1.2	18	0
3	Aug_6_2015	142.98	140.66	137.37	136.8			135.82(-0.18%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-36	-10000	-8	-120	3	32%	-0.01	-30.6	1.11%	0	-1.1	21	0
4	Aug_5_2015	142.99	140.95	137.73	137.38			136.06(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-39	-10000	-7	-136	3.47	32%	0.01	-28.7	1.12%	0	-1.2	26	0
5	Aug_4_2015	142.97	141.21	137.95	137.93			135.8(-0.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-41	-10000	-5	-150	5.26	32%	0.01	-26.1	1.12%	0	-1.3	32	0

6	Aug_3_2015	142.95	141.56	138.43	138.35			136.76(-2.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-40	-10000	-1	-158	4.62	32%	0.03	-22.7	1.12%	0	-1.3	33	0
7	Jul_31_2015	142.9	141.85	139.59	138.41			139.58(0.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-34	-10000	5	-149	3.58	38%	0.03	-23.5	1.1%	0	-0.6	36	0
8	Jul_30_2015	142.86	141.99	140.41	138.03			138.7(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-38	-10000	-2	-145	1.99	36%	0.04	-28	1.11%	0	-0.9	40	0
9	Jul_29_2015	142.81	142.16	141.23	138.16			138.81(0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-29	-10000	2	-120	3.38	36%	0.03	-30.3	1.13%	0	-0.9	48	0
10	Jul_28_2015	142.77	142.26	141.87	138.03			137.91(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-34	-10000	-7	-113	2.72	40%	0	-38.4	1.13%	0	-1.2	48	0

11	Jul_27_2015	142.77	142.42	142.62	138.55			137.07(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-48	-10000	-30	-102	3.71	40%	0.01	-41.3	1.15%	0	-1.6	43	0
12	Jul_24_2015	142.75	142.73	143.55	140.99			137.65(-1.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-30	-10000	-27	-40	3.78	40%	0	-25.7	1.15%	0	-1.6	44	0
13	Jul_23_2015	142.75	143.03	144.25	143.19			139.36(0.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-11	-10000	-19	12	5.03	48%	0.02	-10.5	1.14%	0	-1.2	46	0
14	Jul_22_2015	142.72	143.27	144.52	144.79			138.17(-1.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.3	-1	-10000	-16	43	7.18	48%	0	4.5	1.2%	0	-1.8	45	0
15	Jul_21_2015	142.72	143.65	144.88	146.2			140.51(-5.86%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-2.1	11	-10000	-11	77	13.75	50%	0.03	21.9	1.18%	0	-1.2	54	0

16	Jul_20_2015	142.68	143.86	145.12	147.15			149.26(0.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	43	-10000	10	141	7.38	69%	0.08	35.6	0.93%	0	2.1	79	0
17	Jul_17_2015	142.57	143.56	144.37	146.49			148.65(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	39	-10000	13	115	4.36	65%	0.08	33.1	1.02%	0	2.3	66	0
18	Jul_16_2015	142.46	143.34	143.69	145.53			147.35(1.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	35	-10000	16	92	3.53	65%	0.06	23.4	1.04%	0	2	61	0
19	Jul_15_2015	142.38	143.15	143.11	144.3			145.22(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	24	-10000	13	57	2	63%	0.03	3.3	1.03%	0	1.2	53	0
20	Jul_14_2015	142.34	143.06	142.6	143.37			145.29(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	10	-10000	8	15	3.03	63%	0.05	-9.3	1.03%	0	1.3	47	0

21	Jul_13_2015	142.27	142.94	142.1	142.75			145.95(1.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	2	5	-10000	11	-12	4.23	63%	0.04	-18.6	1.03%	0	1.9	52	0
22	Jul_10_2015	142.21	142.82	141.71	141.95			143.86(1.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-6	-10000	5	-39	4.54	60%	0.02	-36.5	1.02%	0	0.7	48	0
23	Jul_9_2015	142.18	142.88	141.6	141.63			141.19(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-16	-10000	-2	-59	4.2	57%	0.02	-39.1	0.99%	0	-1.1	34	0
24	Jul_8_2015	142.15	143.09	141.85	141.74			140.59(-1.12%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.7	-14	-10000	1	-57	2.78	57%	0.02	-38.9	0.99%	0	-1.6	37	0
25	Jul_7_2015	142.12	143.22	142.3	141.65			142.18(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-10	-10000	5	-53	3.55	60%		-54.3	0.98%	0	-0.7	43	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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