Trading Signals: IBB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jul. 16, 2015

Trading Signals: IBB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Nov. 24, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Biotech large cap etf)
IBB latest price $131.8900 (1.26%) ($130.4500 - $132.1600) on Thu. Jul. 16, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.43% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $131.8900(1.26%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IBB advances 1.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IBB advances 2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IBB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(86%)    XLV(76%)    QQQ(72%)    IWM(70%)    SPY(70%)
Factors Impacting IBB price   IBB will decline at least -0.715% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-28%)    TLT(-14%)    UUP(-8%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.715% (StdDev 1.43%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $128.42(2.7%)
10 Day Moving Average   $125.91(4.75%)
20 Day Moving Average   $125.36(5.21%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   18.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IBB price fluctuates within 2.32% (three month std-dev: 1.43%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150816

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_16_2015	119.42	125.36	125.91	128.42			131.89(1.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	42	-10000	21	104	4.42	56%	0.16	59.5	1.43%	0	2.2	61	0
2	Jul_15_2015	119.23	124.86	125	126.49			130.25(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	31	-10000	21	62	7.24	56%	0.16	47.1	1.42%	0	2.1	57	0
3	Jul_14_2015	119.04	124.4	124.23	124.63			129.31(2.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	10	-10000	11	8	5.63	56%	0.14	31.9	1.42%	0	2.1	51	0
4	Jul_13_2015	118.87	123.99	123.29	123.66			126.38(1.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-5	-10000	5	-36	3.64	53%	0.13	22	1.39%	0	1.1	45	0
5	Jul_10_2015	118.72	123.73	123.03	123.21			124.27(1.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-12	-10000	2	-53	4.06	51%	0.12	13.8	1.38%	0	0.3	46	0

6	Jul_9_2015	118.58	123.73	123.1	123.04			122.25(1.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-17	-10000	-2	-61	3.89	49%	0.1	15.4	1.37%	0	-0.7	41	0
7	Jul_8_2015	118.46	123.73	123.44	123.25			120.93(-2.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-16	-10000	-5	-48	7.45	53%	0.11	19.4	1.37%	0	-1.3	50	0
8	Jul_7_2015	118.33	123.66	124.11	123.67			124.47(0.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	4	-10000	10	-15	4.28	57%	0.05	22.2	1.36%	0	0.4	60	0
9	Jul_6_2015	118.27	123.52	124.4	122.81			124.12(0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-4	-10000	-0	-16	3.44	57%	0.24	11.5	1.37%	0	0.3	60	0
10	Jul_2_2015	117.99	123.44	124.56	122.84			123.45(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-4	-10000	-4	-2	2.52	57%	0.15	13.6	1.37%	0	0	58	0

11	Jul_1_2015	117.81	123.32	124.81	123.2			123.3(0.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-1	-10000	-6	15	4.02	57%	0.15	16.7	1.37%	0	-0	53	0
12	Jun_30_2015	117.63	123.25	124.75	123.72			122.99(2.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-3	-10000	-11	23	6.47	53%	0.16	21.2	1.4%	0	-0.1	55	0
13	Jun_29_2015	117.44	123.17	124.65	124.67			120.19(-3.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.9	-2	-10000	-17	45	6.11	50%	0.13	34.6	1.37%	0	-1.3	54	0
14	Jun_26_2015	117.29	123.26	124.84	126.17			124.26(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	18	-10000	-4	84	5.63	58%	0.15	54.8	1.33%	0	0.4	59	0
15	Jun_25_2015	117.11	123.13	124.58	126.49			125.28(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	21	-10000	-2	90	4.52	52%	0.19	60.2	1.32%	0	0.9	60	0

16	Jun_24_2015	116.89	122.95	124.33	126.62			125.86(-1.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	31	-10000	8	98	3.75	52%	0.17	64.8	1.42%	0	1.3	65	0
17	Jun_23_2015	116.69	122.75	123.94	125.89			127.75(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	33	-10000	14	90	3.61	51%	0.19	62	1.41%	0	2.3	68	0
18	Jun_22_2015	116.47	122.36	123.18	124.63			127.72(1.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	27	-10000	15	63	5.21	51%	0.17	53.2	1.44%	0	2.8	69	0
19	Jun_19_2015	116.27	122.02	122.53	123.33			125.83(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.7	17	-10000	10	38	6.17	51%	0.16	54.6	1.43%	0	2.6	63	0
20	Jun_18_2015	116.08	121.77	122.14	122.43			125.96(3.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	3.1	11	-10000	7	21	10.12	51%	0.17	58.5	1.45%	0	3.6	63	0

21	Jun_17_2015	115.88	121.51	121.6	121.77			122.18(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	2	-10000	1	5	3.91	47%	0.12	107.7	1.4%	0	1.1	52	0
22	Jun_16_2015	115.74	121.41	121.54	121.72			121.46(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.4	3	-10000	3	3	2.79	51%	0.1	121.8	1.4%	0	0.1	45	0
23	Jun_15_2015	115.62	121.35	121.51	121.47			121.23(-0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-1	-10000	-1	-0	4.17	51%	0.12	120	1.43%	0	-0.2	56	0
24	Jun_12_2015	115.48	121.23	121.55	121.56			121.3(-1.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-1	-10000	-2	1	3.84	51%	0.13	101.3	1.43%	0	0.1	50	0
25	Jun_11_2015	115.33	121.1	121.59	121.77			122.69(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	5	-10000	4	9	3.82	51%		107.6	1.43%	0	1.4	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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