Trading Signals: IBB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Apr. 8, 2015

Trading Signals: IBB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Nov. 24, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Biotech large cap etf)
IBB latest price $117.3400 (2.96%) ($114.3100 - $117.8100) on Wed. Apr. 8, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.39% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $117.3400(2.96%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IBB advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IBB declines -2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IBB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(86%)    XLV(76%)    QQQ(72%)    IWM(70%)    SPY(70%)
Factors Impacting IBB price   IBB will decline at least -0.695% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-28%)    TLT(-15%)    UUP(-7%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.695% (StdDev 1.39%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $114.17(2.78%)
10 Day Moving Average   $114.57(2.42%)
20 Day Moving Average   $116.33(0.87%)
To recent high   -4%
To recent low   14.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IBB price fluctuates within 2.42% (three month std-dev: 1.39%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150508

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_8_2015	108.12	116.33	114.57	114.17			117.34(2.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-21	-10000	7	-104	6.98	57%	0.1	-5.4	1.39%	0	0.4	45	0
2	Apr_7_2015	108.01	116.16	114.63	113.6			113.97(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-38	-10000	-8	-129	7.18	58%	0.06	-8.9	1.34%	0	-0.8	39	0
3	Apr_6_2015	107.95	116.2	115.14	114.23			112.95(-0.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-32	-10000	-7	-107	4.22	58%	0.06	-1.2	1.41%	0	-1.1	39	0
4	Apr_2_2015	107.89	116.29	116.02	114.8			113.23(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-19	-10000	-1	-72	6.24	58%	0.06	7.2	1.42%	0	-1.1	49	0
5	Apr_1_2015	107.83	116.45	116.85	114.87			113.36(-0.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-13	-10000	-1	-49	11.78	58%	0.06	12	1.43%	0	-1.1	49	0

6	Mar_31_2015	107.77	116.48	117.47	114.96			114.48(-2.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-16	-10000	-10	-35	5.96	58%	0.07	13	1.43%	0	-0.7	54	0
7	Mar_30_2015	107.69	116.42	117.93	115.79			117.11(1.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-5	-10000	-6	-2	6.45	62%	0.1	23.1	1.4%	0	0.2	61	0
8	Mar_27_2015	107.58	116.24	118.03	116.25			115.82(1.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-8	-10000	-16	16	5.93	62%	0.09	28	1.39%	0	-0.1	57	0
9	Mar_26_2015	107.48	116.09	118.01	117.52			113.6(-0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-4	-10000	-20	45	15.65	63%	0.07	40.4	1.38%	0	-0.8	52	0
10	Mar_25_2015	107.41	116.12	118.23	119.15			113.77(-4.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.8	10	-10000	-13	79	14.42	63%	0.07	60.9	1.41%	0	-0.8	47	0

11	Mar_24_2015	107.33	116.11	118.37	120.28			118.65(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	31	-10000	-0	122	7.54	73%	0.13	75.4	1.3%	0	0.8	67	0
12	Mar_23_2015	107.19	115.77	117.92	120.3			119.43(-2.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	36	-10000	4	130	8.2	61%	0.14	80.8	1.31%	0	1.2	72	0
13	Mar_20_2015	107.04	115.43	117.42	120.01			122.17(0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	43	-10000	16	124	10.01	61%	0.18	87.7	1.45%	0	2.2	78	0
14	Mar_19_2015	106.85	114.9	116.59	118.6			121.75(1.99%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	38	-10000	16	102	7.55	61%	0.19	92.8	1.47%	0	2.5	79	0
15	Mar_18_2015	106.65	114.33	115.94	117.23			119.38(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	30	-10000	12	83	4.65	63%	0.15	100.5	1.45%	0	2.1	69	0

16	Mar_17_2015	106.49	113.85	115.32	116.19			118.75(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	24	-10000	11	61	3.96	66%	0.15	99.5	1.51%	0	2.1	69	0
17	Mar_16_2015	106.33	113.35	114.69	115.21			117.99(2.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	17	-10000	8	44	5.04	64%	0.15	110.7	1.56%	0	2.3	71	0
18	Mar_13_2015	106.17	112.84	114.19	114.47			115.11(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	9	-10000	2	30	3.03	56%	0.11	106.1	1.58%	0	1.1	60	0
19	Mar_12_2015	106.05	112.45	113.94	114.27			114.94(0.67%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	5	-10000	-2	26	2.45	55%	0.11	91.3	1.59%	0	1.1	61	0
20	Mar_11_2015	105.93	112.01	113.79	114.46			114.18(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	12	-10000	2	40	3.14	55%	0.1	86.1	1.6%	0	0.8	64	0

21	Mar_10_2015	105.82	111.62	113.69	114.29			113.81(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	14	-10000	2	48	5.32	52%	0.11	79	1.61%	0	0.8	66	0
22	Mar_9_2015	105.7	111.17	113.5	114.06			114.29(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	15	-10000	2	53	3.17	52%	0.11	66.9	1.63%	0	1	71	0
23	Mar_6_2015	105.58	110.73	113.33	113.85			114.12(-1.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	19	-10000	3	65	4.87	54%	0.11	60.1	1.63%	0	1	73	0
24	Mar_5_2015	105.46	110.36	113.14	113.53			115.89(2.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	23	-10000	5	78	4.98	54%	0.15	56.6	1.62%	0	1.7	82	0
25	Mar_4_2015	105.3	109.77	112.6	113.07			113.36(0.64%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	21	-10000	0	85	3.92	51%		50.5	1.61%	0	1.1	82	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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