Trading Signals: IBB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Feb. 20, 2015

Trading Signals: IBB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Nov. 24, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Biotech large cap etf)
IBB latest price $112.1400 (1.34%) ($110.4100 - $112.1400) on Fri. Feb. 20, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.63% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $112.1400(1.34%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IBB advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IBB advances 1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IBB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(86%)    XLV(76%)    QQQ(71%)    IWM(70%)    SPY(70%)
Factors Impacting IBB price   IBB will decline at least -0.815% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-28%)    TLT(-14%)    UUP(-7%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.815% (StdDev 1.63%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $109.87(2.07%)
10 Day Moving Average   $107.92(3.91%)
20 Day Moving Average   $107.42(4.39%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   14.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IBB price fluctuates within 1.86% (three month std-dev: 1.63%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_20_2015	104.29	107.42	107.92	109.87			112.14(1.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	28	-10000	12	76	2.8	53%	0.12	53.2	1.63%	0	2.4	63	0
2	Feb_19_2015	104.16	107.14	107.33	108.81			110.66(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	22	-10000	11	53	2.76	53%	0.11	51	1.64%	0	2.1	58	0
3	Feb_18_2015	104.05	106.9	106.67	107.83			109.81(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	13	-10000	8	27	2.78	53%	0.1	43.5	1.65%	0	2	60	0
4	Feb_17_2015	103.95	106.77	106.25	107.08			108.94(1.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	9	-10000	10	5	2.65	53%	0.09	41.6	1.67%	0	1.6	49	0
5	Feb_13_2015	103.86	106.62	105.97	106.19			107.82(0.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-1	-10000	6	-22	2.46	53%	0.07	30.8	1.68%	0	1	44	0

6	Feb_12_2015	103.79	106.37	105.87	105.66			106.81(1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-9	-10000	0	-35	2.19	53%	0.06	9.2	1.69%	0	0.3	48	0
7	Feb_11_2015	103.73	106.29	105.92	105.63			105.75(-0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-6	-10000	3	-33	3.67	53%	0.04	11.9	1.7%	0	-0.4	47	0
8	Feb_10_2015	103.69	106.26	105.98	105.32			106.09(1.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-10	-10000	0	-40	2.54	53%	0.04	20	1.72%	0	-0.1	51	0
9	Feb_9_2015	103.65	106.22	106.21	105.28			104.47(-0.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-14	-10000	-5	-41	3.25	53%	0.02	28.4	1.72%	0	-1.1	41	0
10	Feb_6_2015	103.63	106.24	106.69	105.7			105.2(-1.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-9	-10000	-4	-23	3.1	53%	0.03	42.6	1.73%	0	-0.7	50	0

11	Feb_5_2015	103.6	106.23	106.93	106.1			106.64(2.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-2	-10000	-2	-1	2.82	53%	0.06	61.1	1.74%	0	0.3	62	0
12	Feb_4_2015	103.54	106.11	106.97	106.3			104.18(-1.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-2	-10000	-5	6	9.52	51%	0.02	69.7	1.73%	0	-1.2	50	0
13	Feb_3_2015	103.52	105.95	107.21	106.73			105.93(-0.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-0	-10000	-6	17	9.23	51%	0.05	57.5	1.73%	0	-0	54	0
14	Feb_2_2015	103.47	105.77	107.4	107.27			106.53(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	5	-10000	-6	36	5.68	51%	0.06	60.3	1.74%	0	0.3	55	0
15	Jan_30_2015	103.41	105.57	107.37	107.83			107.22(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	13	-10000	-1	53	5.07	51%	0.09	68.8	1.76%	0	0.7	59	0

16	Jan_29_2015	103.32	105.27	106.95	107.88			107.62(1.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	13	-10000	1	49	3.57	51%	0.1	75	1.77%	0	1	58	0
17	Jan_28_2015	103.22	104.97	106.71	107.76			106.33(-2.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	13	-10000	0	51	4.24	51%	0.07	68.5	1.79%	0	0.6	58	0
18	Jan_27_2015	103.15	104.79	106.6	107.72			108.66(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	18	-10000	2	67	4.3	54%	0.13	60.4	1.77%	0	1.5	74	0
19	Jan_26_2015	103.02	104.46	106.23	107.54			109.33(1.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	24	-10000	7	75	3.93	54%	0.15	57.9	1.79%	0	2	68	0
20	Jan_23_2015	102.87	103.98	105.71	106.86			107.47(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	26	-10000	10	72	2.27	54%	0.12	53.8	1.8%	0	1.6	65	0

21	Jan_22_2015	102.75	103.53	105.44	105.88			106.99(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	19	-10000	4	64	4.98	54%	0.11	44.1	1.82%	0	1.7	66	0
22	Jan_21_2015	102.64	103.31	105.13	105.52			106.16(-1.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	18	-10000	2	64	4.41	54%	0.09	47.1	1.84%	0	1.3	63	0
23	Jan_20_2015	102.55	103.26	104.58	105.29			107.74(1.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	19	-10000	6	57	5.04	54%	0.14	47.6	1.84%	0	1.9	63	0
24	Jan_16_2015	102.41	103.07	103.98	104.74			105.94(3.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	14	-10000	3	46	5.79	54%	0.1	49.3	1.85%	0	1.4	61	0
25	Jan_15_2015	102.31	102.83	103.59	104.44			102.57(-2.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	8	-10000	-5	46	5.41	49%		43.9	1.8%	0	-0.1	61	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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