Trading Signals: HYG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Dec. 8, 2016

Trading Signals: HYG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 24, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF)
HYG latest price $86.4500 (-0.01%) ($86.1300 - $86.5000) on Thu. Dec. 8, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.52% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $86.4500(-0.01%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   HYG advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   HYG advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support HYG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JNK(99%)    SPY(78%)    IWD(76%)    IVE(75%)    EMHY(74%)
Factors Impacting HYG price   HYG will decline at least -0.26% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-19%)    VIXM(-16%)    TLT(-4%)    IPO(-4%)    DIA(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.26% (StdDev 0.52%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $85.98(0.55%)
10 Day Moving Average   $85.77(0.79%)
20 Day Moving Average   $85.31(1.34%)
To recent high   -1.1%
To recent low   3.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. HYG price fluctuates within 0.89% (three month std-dev: 0.52%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0.17%(75%) Average negative next day return: -0.37%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 2.12%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -2.18%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 2.96%(25%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.82%(75%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170108

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_8_2016	86.11	85.31	85.77	85.98	86.02	86.34	86.45(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	60	30	55	74	10.78	48%	0	20.2	0.52%	0	1.5	72	INF
2	Dec_7_2016	86.11	85.25	85.68	85.67	85.73	86.09	86.46(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	64	30	64	64	20.89	48%	0.01	12	0.52%	0	1.7	67	INF
3	Dec_6_2016	86.1	85.25	85.61	85.51	85.42	85.69	86.03(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	42	20	39	51	16.09	48%	0	11.3	0.52%	0	1.2	59	INF
4	Dec_5_2016	86.1	85.22	85.54	85.42	85.36	85.36	85.6(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	27	-0	18	53	9.78	48%	0	8.6	0.51%	0	0.6	66	INF
5	Dec_2_2016	86.1	85.18	85.45	85.45	85.37	85.15	85.38(0.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-12	-20	-32	50	9.36	48%	0	1.3	0.52%	0	0.3	70	INF

6	Dec_1_2016	86.1	85.16	85.38	85.52	85.5	85.37	84.87(-0.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-14	-10	-38	60	18.25	46%	-0.01	-7.5	0.51%	0	-0.4	57	INF
7	Nov_30_2016	86.11	85.17	85.39	85.67	85.65	85.6	85.65(0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	19	-0	-3	83	15.21	49%	0	-16.3	0.5%	0	0.7	51	INF
8	Nov_29_2016	86.11	85.15	85.35	85.72	85.61	85.63	85.61(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	15	-0	-6	78	9.16	49%	0	-27.8	0.5%	0	0.7	46	INF
9	Nov_28_2016	86.11	85.16	85.2	85.66	85.64	85.7	85.72(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	38	0	30	61	16.9	49%	0	-38.3	0.51%	0	0.8	45	INF
10	Nov_25_2016	86.11	85.18	84.99	85.45	85.49	85.58	85.73(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	23	10	23	24	2.01	49%	0.03	-51.8	0.51%	0	0.8	54	INF

11	Nov_23_2016	86.08	85.22	84.84	85.23	85.25	85.59	85.62(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	29	30	37	4	10.66	49%	0.01	-54.5	0.5%	0	0.5	54	INF
12	Nov_22_2016	86.07	85.27	84.8	85.07	85.08	85.4	85.94(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	55	30	69	11	16.65	49%	0	-55.8	0.5%	0	0.7	56	INF
13	Nov_21_2016	86.07	85.33	84.78	84.93	84.87	84.9	85.31(0.8%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.4	20	0	30	-9	11.58	46%	0.01	-54.5	0.49%	0	-0	49	INF
14	Nov_18_2016	86.06	85.43	84.84	84.68	84.82	84.76	84.63(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	7	0	20	-32	17.78	44%	0	-55	0.48%	0	-0.7	40	INF
15	Nov_17_2016	86.06	85.56	84.88	84.45	84.56	84.83	84.63(-0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-6	30	16	-70	12.02	44%	0.01	-56.6	0.49%	0	-0.8	38	INF

16	Nov_16_2016	86.05	85.69	84.91	84.38	84.29	84.87	84.86(-0.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	21	40	56	-83	11.97	44%	0.01	-55.4	0.49%	0	-0.7	37	INF
17	Nov_15_2016	86.04	85.81	84.91	84.48	84.26	84.29	85.2(1.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	4	-10	42	-109	17.89	44%	0.05	-51.4	0.49%	0	-0.5	36	INF
18	Nov_14_2016	86	85.9	84.92	84.64	84.42	83.71	84.09(0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-133	-70	-112	-197	21.04	38%	0	-47.9	0.46%	0	-1.5	26	INF
19	Nov_11_2016	86	86.04	85.12	85.05	84.97	84.22	83.47(-0.94%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.4	-167	-60	-154	-204	16.44	34%	-0.01	-43.5	0.45%	0	-2.3	19	INF
20	Nov_10_2016	86.01	86.22	85.41	85.35	85.53	85.13	84.26(-1.31%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-105	-30	-82	-174	33.21	37%	0.01	-44.1	0.43%	0	-2	22	INF

21	Nov_9_2016	86	86.35	85.65	85.49	85.61	85.72	85.38(-0.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-48	10	-12	-156	24.86	42%	0.01	-48	0.4%	0	-1.1	27	INF
22	Nov_8_2016	85.99	86.43	85.81	85.4	85.49	85.93	85.98(-0.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	24	40	77	-137	20.37	45%	0.02	-53.1	0.4%	0	-0.5	31	INF
23	Nov_7_2016	85.97	86.48	85.93	85.26	85.27	85.51	86.17(1.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	15	20	70	-152	14.42	45%	0.03	-55.7	0.4%	0	-0.4	37	INF
24	Nov_4_2016	85.94	86.54	86.04	85.23	85.13	85.05	84.98(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-80	-10	-36	-211	10.97	40%	0.02	-54.6	0.36%	0	-1.9	26	INF
25	Nov_3_2016	85.92	86.65	86.28	85.49	85.4	85.03	84.94(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-104	-30	-76	-189	12.7	40%		-51.1	0.37%	0	-2.3	24	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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