Trading Signals: HYG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Nov. 22, 2016

Trading Signals: HYG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 24, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF)
HYG latest price $85.9400 (0.74%) ($85.4200 - $86.0300) on Tue. Nov. 22, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.5% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $85.9400(0.74%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   HYG advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   HYG declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support HYG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JNK(99%)    SPY(78%)    IWD(76%)    IVE(75%)    EMHY(74%)
Factors Impacting HYG price   HYG will decline at least -0.25% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-19%)    VIXM(-16%)    TLT(-4%)    DIA(-4%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.25% (StdDev 0.5%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $85.07(1.02%)
10 Day Moving Average   $84.8(1.34%)
20 Day Moving Average   $85.27(0.79%)
To recent high   -1.7%
To recent low   3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. HYG price fluctuates within 1.13% (three month std-dev: 0.5%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.38%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0.96%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.21%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161222

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_22_2016	86.07	85.27	84.8	85.07	85.08	85.4	85.94(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	55	30	69	11	16.65	49%	0	-55.8	0.5%	0	0.7	56	INF
2	Nov_21_2016	86.07	85.33	84.78	84.93	84.87	84.9	85.31(0.8%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.4	20	0	30	-9	11.58	46%	0.01	-54.5	0.49%	0	-0	49	INF
3	Nov_18_2016	86.06	85.43	84.84	84.68	84.82	84.76	84.63(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	7	0	20	-32	17.78	44%	0	-55	0.48%	0	-0.7	40	INF
4	Nov_17_2016	86.06	85.56	84.88	84.45	84.56	84.83	84.63(-0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-6	30	16	-70	12.02	44%	0.01	-56.6	0.49%	0	-0.8	38	INF
5	Nov_16_2016	86.05	85.69	84.91	84.38	84.29	84.87	84.86(-0.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	21	40	56	-83	11.97	44%	0.01	-55.4	0.49%	0	-0.7	37	INF

6	Nov_15_2016	86.04	85.81	84.91	84.48	84.26	84.29	85.2(1.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	4	-10	42	-109	17.89	44%	0.05	-51.4	0.49%	0	-0.5	36	INF
7	Nov_14_2016	86	85.9	84.92	84.64	84.42	83.71	84.09(0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-133	-70	-112	-197	21.04	38%	0	-47.9	0.46%	0	-1.5	26	INF
8	Nov_11_2016	86	86.04	85.12	85.05	84.97	84.22	83.47(-0.94%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.4	-167	-60	-154	-204	16.44	34%	-0.01	-43.5	0.45%	0	-2.3	19	INF
9	Nov_10_2016	86.01	86.22	85.41	85.35	85.53	85.13	84.26(-1.31%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-105	-30	-82	-174	33.21	37%	0.01	-44.1	0.43%	0	-2	22	INF
10	Nov_9_2016	86	86.35	85.65	85.49	85.61	85.72	85.38(-0.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-48	10	-12	-156	24.86	42%	0.01	-48	0.4%	0	-1.1	27	INF

11	Nov_8_2016	85.99	86.43	85.81	85.4	85.49	85.93	85.98(-0.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	24	40	77	-137	20.37	45%	0.02	-53.1	0.4%	0	-0.5	31	INF
12	Nov_7_2016	85.97	86.48	85.93	85.26	85.27	85.51	86.17(1.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	15	20	70	-152	14.42	45%	0.03	-55.7	0.4%	0	-0.4	37	INF
13	Nov_4_2016	85.94	86.54	86.04	85.23	85.13	85.05	84.98(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-80	-10	-36	-211	10.97	40%	0.02	-54.6	0.36%	0	-1.9	26	INF
14	Nov_3_2016	85.92	86.65	86.28	85.49	85.4	85.03	84.94(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-104	-30	-76	-189	12.7	40%	0.02	-51.1	0.37%	0	-2.3	24	INF
15	Nov_2_2016	85.9	86.76	86.52	85.84	85.75	85.22	84.92(-0.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-146	-50	-138	-169	19.59	40%	0.02	-45.3	0.37%	0	-2.8	29	INF

16	Nov_1_2016	85.88	86.87	86.78	86.26	86.21	85.77	85.3(-0.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-127	-40	-130	-117	26.18	38%	0.02	-39	0.37%	0	-3.1	29	INF
17	Oct_31_2016	85.86	86.95	86.97	86.68	86.64	86.28	86.02(-0.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-81	-30	-89	-55	21.17	41%	0.03	-22	0.38%	0	-2.6	36	INF
18	Oct_28_2016	85.83	87	87.06	86.96	86.94	86.65	86.28(-0.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-69	-20	-81	-34	19.75	41%	0.02	5.9	0.37%	0	-2.4	32	INF
19	Oct_27_2016	85.81	87.05	87.06	87.18	87.19	87	86.7(-0.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-36	-10	-47	-3	19.33	44%	0.02	36.7	0.37%	0	-1.3	43	INF
20	Oct_26_2016	85.79	87.06	87.13	87.31	87.29	87.23	87.02(-0.4%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.2	-18	-10	-29	14	13.81	46%	0.03	55.2	0.37%	0	-0.2	52	INF

21	Oct_25_2016	85.76	87.07	87.12	87.37	87.33	87.39	87.37(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	18	0	11	37	6.91	48%	0.03	67.7	0.37%	0	1.1	60	INF
22	Oct_24_2016	85.73	87.03	87.08	87.31	87.31	87.35	87.42(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	29	0	25	40	7.2	48%	0.05	72.7	0.38%	0	1.3	65	INF
23	Oct_21_2016	85.69	86.98	87.07	87.18	87.21	87.35	87.37(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	19	10	14	32	8.33	48%	0.05	68.8	0.38%	0	1.4	60	INF
24	Oct_20_2016	85.65	86.95	87.04	87.08	87.1	87.28	87.35(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	34	20	36	29	12.56	48%	0.05	76.7	0.38%	0	1.5	50	INF
25	Oct_19_2016	85.61	86.92	87	86.94	86.99	87.14	87.34(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	41	10	47	22	9.87	48%		80	0.38%	0	1.6	56	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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