Trading Signals: HYG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Mar. 15, 2016

Trading Signals: HYG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 24, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF)
HYG latest price $81.1500 (-0.93%) ($81.1100 - $81.4800) on Tue. Mar. 15, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.7% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $81.1500(-0.93%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   HYG advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   HYG advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support HYG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JNK(99%)    SPY(77%)    IWD(76%)    IVE(75%)    IVW(74%)
Factors Impacting HYG price   HYG will decline at least -0.35% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-20%)    VIXM(-19%)    TLT(-5%)    IPO(-4%)    IGOV(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.35% (StdDev 0.7%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $81.39(-0.29%)
10 Day Moving Average   $81.05(0.12%)
20 Day Moving Average   $79.91(1.55%)
To recent high   -1.2%
To recent low   7.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. HYG price fluctuates within 1.98% (three month std-dev: 0.7%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 13 Average positive next day return: 1.05%(62%) Average negative next day return: -1.27%(38%) Sample size 13 Average positive next three day return: 1.6%(46%) Average negative next three day return: -1.88%(54%) Sample size 13 Average positive next weekly return: 2.5%(38%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.77%(62%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160415

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_15_2016	80.62	79.91	81.05	81.39	81.52	81.57	81.15(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	17	10	-10	98	16.44	54%	-0.05	80.8	0.7%	0	0.8	73	INF
2	Mar_14_2016	80.66	79.7	81.02	81.24	81.33	81.89	81.91(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	71	50	48	138	12.51	54%	-0.05	79.9	0.72%	0	1.4	80	INF
3	Mar_11_2016	80.7	79.44	80.84	81.05	81.02	81.47	82.14(1.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	89	40	68	153	18.66	50%	-0.05	73.9	0.73%	0	1.7	80	INF
4	Mar_10_2016	80.74	79.12	80.55	80.8	80.74	80.77	81.16(0.69%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	46	0	17	131	18.17	48%	-0.05	60.8	0.76%	0	1.2	80	INF
5	Mar_9_2016	80.78	78.87	80.31	80.7	80.71	80.58	80.6(0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	28	-10	-7	132	7.7	49%	-0.07	53	0.75%	0	1	79	INF

6	Mar_8_2016	80.84	78.65	80.09	80.65	80.68	80.72	80.4(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	27	0	-10	139	17.81	47%	-0.06	47.1	0.75%	0	1	79	INF
7	Mar_7_2016	80.89	78.46	79.88	80.75	80.64	80.84	80.97(0.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	60	10	23	170	12.66	46%	-0.05	44.4	0.77%	0	1.4	88	INF
8	Mar_4_2016	80.93	78.27	79.62	80.58	80.51	80.65	80.87(0.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	73	10	36	184	18.03	46%	-0.06	39.3	0.77%	0	1.6	88	INF
9	Mar_3_2016	80.98	78.11	79.3	80.25	80.22	80.43	80.64(0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	68	20	29	186	12.02	46%	-0.05	33.7	0.77%	0	1.7	90	INF
10	Mar_2_2016	81.02	77.97	78.98	79.86	79.88	80.38	80.37(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	91	40	57	193	14.99	46%	-0.05	27.6	0.77%	0	1.7	82	INF

11	Mar_1_2016	81.06	77.84	78.69	79.44	79.39	80.01	80.92(1.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	112	50	83	197	24.02	46%	-0.06	18.1	0.76%	0	2.4	86	INF
12	Feb_29_2016	81.11	77.69	78.26	78.89	78.79	79.39	80.08(1.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	95	50	70	168	23.75	44%	-0.06	9.4	0.75%	0	2.2	79	INF
13	Feb_26_2016	81.16	77.63	77.92	78.53	78.38	78.77	79.23(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	81	30	60	143	12.06	41%	-0.07	2.3	0.73%	0	1.6	63	INF
14	Feb_25_2016	81.22	77.6	77.56	78.22	78.15	78.19	78.7(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	49	0	34	93	10.7	41%	-0.07	-0.8	0.73%	0	1.1	53	INF
15	Feb_24_2016	81.28	77.59	77.3	77.97	77.88	77.99	78.28(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	12	10	1	46	13.62	41%	-0.07	-0.8	0.73%	0	0.7	47	INF

16	Feb_23_2016	81.34	77.6	77.09	77.8	77.8	78.11	78.15(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	39	30	40	37	16.81	41%	-0.07	0	0.73%	0	0.5	50	INF
17	Feb_22_2016	81.4	77.59	76.92	77.53	77.62	77.77	78.31(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	34	20	44	3	13.83	41%	-0.05	-6.9	0.73%	0	0.7	46	INF
18	Feb_19_2016	81.44	77.59	76.81	77.21	77.28	77.49	77.64(0.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	11	20	28	-41	12.88	38%	-0.06	-16.5	0.72%	0	0	35	INF
19	Feb_18_2016	81.49	77.6	76.82	76.8	77.01	77.46	77.49(0.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	28	50	59	-65	13.25	38%	-0.07	-31.6	0.72%	0	-0.1	37	INF
20	Feb_17_2016	81.55	77.59	76.87	76.52	76.48	77.08	77.42(0.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	20	50	56	-88	16.35	38%	-0.06	-49.3	0.72%	0	-0.2	40	INF

21	Feb_16_2016	81.6	77.6	76.9	76.28	76.22	76.56	76.79(0.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	14	30	57	-115	14.11	37%	-0.11	-63.4	0.71%	0	-0.8	34	INF
22	Feb_12_2016	81.69	77.66	77.05	76.22	76.06	75.88	76.72(1.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-43	-20	-9	-144	17.75	36%	-0.1	-74	0.71%	0	-0.9	41	INF
23	Feb_11_2016	81.77	77.77	77.29	76.36	76.14	75.89	75.59(-0.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-91	-30	-67	-161	22.16	33%	-0.12	-73.5	0.69%	0	-2.1	28	INF
24	Feb_10_2016	81.87	77.93	77.64	76.84	76.68	76.24	76.1(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-65	-50	-48	-114	13.09	33%	-0.11	-79.1	0.68%	0	-2	43	INF
25	Feb_9_2016	81.96	78.1	77.91	77.27	77.14	76.39	76.21(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-89	-70	-89	-89	18.68	33%		-74.3	0.68%	0	-2.2	47	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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