Trading Signals: HYG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Oct. 23, 2015

Trading Signals: HYG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 24, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF)
HYG latest price $85.8300 (0.35%) ($85.5800 - $86.0900) on Fri. Oct. 23, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.51% (three month average)
RSI   85
Latest Price   $85.8300(0.35%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   HYG advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   HYG advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support HYG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JNK(99%)    SPY(77%)    IWD(76%)    IVE(75%)    VT(74%)
Factors Impacting HYG price   HYG will decline at least -0.255% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-22%)    UUP(-17%)    TLT(-6%)    IGOV(-3%)    GDXJ(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.255% (StdDev 0.51%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $85.59(0.28%)
10 Day Moving Average   $85.27(0.66%)
20 Day Moving Average   $84.49(1.59%)
To recent high   -0.8%
To recent low   4.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. HYG price fluctuates within 1.31% (three month std-dev: 0.51%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0.69%(25%) Average negative next day return: -1.51%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 0.38%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -0.43%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 2.11%(75%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.86%(25%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151123

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_23_2015	85.16	84.49	85.27	85.59	85.61	85.7	85.83(0.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	43	10	27	90	13.2	50%	0.02	21.4	0.51%	0	1.2	85	0
2	Oct_22_2015	85.14	84.39	85.2	85.48	85.48	85.55	85.53(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	40	10	16	110	11.81	50%	0.01	11.9	0.52%	0	1.1	88	0
3	Oct_21_2015	85.13	84.33	85.15	85.35	85.36	85.52	85.5(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	57	10	28	142	14.33	50%	0.01	2.5	0.52%	0	1.1	89	0
4	Oct_20_2015	85.12	84.29	85.07	85.19	85.18	85.41	85.59(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	66	20	37	151	10.29	50%	0.01	-7.5	0.53%	0	1.3	72	0
5	Oct_19_2015	85.11	84.26	84.91	85.02	85	85.21	85.51(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	65	20	36	152	10.35	50%	0.01	-17.4	0.54%	0	1.2	74	0

6	Oct_16_2015	85.1	84.25	84.71	84.91	84.86	84.96	85.28(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	51	10	18	148	5.98	50%	0.01	-22.8	0.54%	0	1	73	0
7	Oct_15_2015	85.09	84.26	84.44	84.88	84.85	84.79	84.89(0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	26	-10	-6	120	8.05	50%	-0.01	-25.6	0.54%	0	0.6	55	0
8	Oct_14_2015	85.1	84.31	84.2	84.92	84.96	84.77	84.69(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	12	-10	-15	94	7.75	50%	-0.01	-25.9	0.55%	0	0.3	50	0
9	Oct_13_2015	85.11	84.37	84.06	84.93	84.97	84.92	84.75(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	13	-0	-9	79	7.77	50%	-0.01	-25.2	0.56%	0	0.3	47	0
10	Oct_12_2015	85.12	84.43	83.87	84.76	84.91	85.14	84.95(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	46	20	41	61	3.87	50%	-0.01	-28.3	0.56%	0	0.4	47	0

11	Oct_9_2015	85.13	84.49	83.65	84.46	84.57	85.03	85.11(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	67	40	81	23	9.9	50%	0	-32.1	0.57%	0	0.5	43	0
12	Oct_8_2015	85.13	84.55	83.52	83.92	84.05	84.68	85.1(0.41%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.8	75	60	107	-23	9.47	50%	0	-40.4	0.58%	0	0.4	42	0
13	Oct_7_2015	85.13	84.6	83.43	83.37	83.37	84.11	84.75(1.03%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1	51	60	96	-83	18	50%	-0.01	-48.2	0.59%	0	0.1	37	0
14	Oct_6_2015	85.14	84.67	83.42	83.08	82.88	83.41	83.89(0.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	33	40	86	-128	13.99	45%	-0.05	-50.9	0.56%	0	-0.5	31	0
15	Oct_5_2015	85.18	84.8	83.51	82.86	82.75	82.63	83.43(1.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-19	-10	36	-182	13.53	45%	-0.07	-54.2	0.56%	0	-0.9	25	0

16	Oct_2_2015	85.24	84.93	83.72	82.73	82.66	82.35	82.44(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-127	-30	-81	-265	14.06	37%	-0.12	-59.2	0.52%	0	-1.7	12	0
17	Oct_1_2015	85.34	85.12	84.06	83.05	82.96	82.86	82.36(-1.12%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-101	-10	-55	-238	12.18	37%	-0.13	-59	0.53%	0	-2	11	0
18	Sep_30_2015	85.45	85.31	84.43	83.48	83.4	82.97	83.29(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-90	-40	-45	-223	14.54	42%	-0.11	-56.3	0.5%	0	-1.7	13	0
19	Sep_29_2015	85.54	85.43	84.7	83.81	83.76	83.05	82.77(-0.01%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-164	-60	-136	-247	11.42	37%	-0.13	-51.1	0.49%	0	-2.4	8	0
20	Sep_28_2015	85.65	85.62	85.07	84.27	84.31	83.83	82.78(-1.53%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.6	-143	-40	-122	-206	12.42	37%	-0.14	-40.9	0.5%	0	-3	8	0

21	Sep_25_2015	85.77	85.81	85.44	84.85	84.8	84.48	84.07(-0.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-105	-30	-84	-167	8.38	48%	-0.08	0	0.41%	0	-2.6	25	0
22	Sep_24_2015	85.84	85.93	85.69	85.21	85.15	84.79	84.5(-0.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-97	-30	-85	-133	9.17	54%	-0.07	0	0.4%	0	-2.6	28	0
23	Sep_23_2015	85.9	86	85.9	85.52	85.47	85.13	84.92(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-86	-30	-83	-93	7.69	61%	-0.06	0	0.4%	0	-2.5	35	0
24	Sep_22_2015	85.95	86	86.05	85.74	85.75	85.52	85.07(-0.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-61	-20	-64	-53	7.37	61%	-0.05	0	0.41%	0	-2.2	46	0
25	Sep_21_2015	85.99	86.01	86.2	86	85.94	85.81	85.69(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-35	-10	-40	-18	7.58	75%		0	0.38%	0	-0.7	42	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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