Trading Signals: HYG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Oct. 9, 2015

Trading Signals: HYG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 24, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF)
HYG latest price $85.1100 (0.01%) ($84.9800 - $85.6000) on Fri. Oct. 9, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.57% (three month average)
RSI   43
Latest Price   $85.1100(0.01%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   HYG advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   HYG declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support HYG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JNK(99%)    SPY(77%)    IWD(76%)    IVE(75%)    VT(74%)
Factors Impacting HYG price   HYG will decline at least -0.285% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-22%)    UUP(-17%)    TLT(-7%)    XLRE(-4%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.285% (StdDev 0.57%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $84.46(0.77%)
10 Day Moving Average   $83.65(1.75%)
20 Day Moving Average   $84.49(0.73%)
To recent high   -1.6%
To recent low   3.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. HYG price fluctuates within 1.59% (three month std-dev: 0.57%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.28%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -9.93%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -12.59%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151109

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_9_2015	85.13	84.49	83.65	84.46	84.57	85.03	85.11(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	67	40	81	23	9.9	50%	0	-32.1	0.57%	0	0.5	43	0
2	Oct_8_2015	85.13	84.55	83.52	83.92	84.05	84.68	85.1(0.41%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.8	75	60	107	-23	9.47	50%	0	-40.4	0.58%	0	0.4	42	0
3	Oct_7_2015	85.13	84.6	83.43	83.37	83.37	84.11	84.75(1.03%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1	51	60	96	-83	18	50%	-0.01	-48.2	0.59%	0	0.1	37	0
4	Oct_6_2015	85.14	84.67	83.42	83.08	82.88	83.41	83.89(0.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	33	40	86	-128	13.99	45%	-0.05	-50.9	0.56%	0	-0.5	31	0
5	Oct_5_2015	85.18	84.8	83.51	82.86	82.75	82.63	83.43(1.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-19	-10	36	-182	13.53	45%	-0.07	-54.2	0.56%	0	-0.9	25	0

6	Oct_2_2015	85.24	84.93	83.72	82.73	82.66	82.35	82.44(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-127	-30	-81	-265	14.06	37%	-0.12	-59.2	0.52%	0	-1.7	12	0
7	Oct_1_2015	85.34	85.12	84.06	83.05	82.96	82.86	82.36(-1.12%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-101	-10	-55	-238	12.18	37%	-0.13	-59	0.53%	0	-2	11	0
8	Sep_30_2015	85.45	85.31	84.43	83.48	83.4	82.97	83.29(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-90	-40	-45	-223	14.54	42%	-0.11	-56.3	0.5%	0	-1.7	13	0
9	Sep_29_2015	85.54	85.43	84.7	83.81	83.76	83.05	82.77(-0.01%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-164	-60	-136	-247	11.42	37%	-0.13	-51.1	0.49%	0	-2.4	8	0
10	Sep_28_2015	85.65	85.62	85.07	84.27	84.31	83.83	82.78(-1.53%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.6	-143	-40	-122	-206	12.42	37%	-0.14	-40.9	0.5%	0	-3	8	0

11	Sep_25_2015	85.77	85.81	85.44	84.85	84.8	84.48	84.07(-0.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-105	-30	-84	-167	8.38	48%	-0.08	0	0.41%	0	-2.6	25	0
12	Sep_24_2015	85.84	85.93	85.69	85.21	85.15	84.79	84.5(-0.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-97	-30	-85	-133	9.17	54%	-0.07	0	0.4%	0	-2.6	28	0
13	Sep_23_2015	85.9	86	85.9	85.52	85.47	85.13	84.92(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-86	-30	-83	-93	7.69	61%	-0.06	0	0.4%	0	-2.5	35	0
14	Sep_22_2015	85.95	86	86.05	85.74	85.75	85.52	85.07(-0.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-61	-20	-64	-53	7.37	61%	-0.05	0	0.41%	0	-2.2	46	0
15	Sep_21_2015	85.99	86.01	86.2	86	85.94	85.81	85.69(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-35	-10	-40	-18	7.58	75%	-0.02	0	0.38%	0	-0.7	42	0

16	Sep_18_2015	86.01	86.01	86.23	86.13	86.08	85.97	85.85(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-26	-10	-31	-12	10.83	75%	-0.01	0	0.38%	0	178.9	42	0
17	Sep_17_2015	86.02	86.01	86.26	86.26	86.2	86.07	86.09(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-21	-10	-24	-10	6.58	75%	0.01	0	0.39%	0	175.7	47	0
18	Sep_16_2015	86.01	86.01	86.25	86.35	86.26	86.18	86.02(-0.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-24	-10	-28	-11	5.03	75%	0	0	0.4%	0	172	57	0
19	Sep_15_2015	86.01	86.01	86.21	86.41	86.35	86.32	86.33(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-5	-0	-6	-2	4.25	75%	0.02	0	0.39%	0	166	70	0
20	Sep_14_2015	85.99	86.01	86.21	86.43	86.38	86.34	86.35(-0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	0	-0	0	0	4.38	75%	0.02	0	0.4%	0	162.9	72	0

21	Sep_11_2015	85.97	86.01	86.2	86.35	86.39	86.37	86.5(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	4	-0	5	2	4.83	75%	0.06	0	0.41%	0	160.2	50	0
22	Sep_10_2015	85.92	86.01	86.17	86.26	86.29	86.43	86.53(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	13	10	15	6	4.74	75%	0.06	0	0.42%	0	160.2	50	0
23	Sep_9_2015	85.87	86.01	86.08	86.14	86.2	86.41	86.32(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	41	20	48	19	4.91	75%	0.05	0	0.44%	0	162.9	50	0
24	Sep_8_2015	85.83	86.01	85.95	85.99	86.05	86.15	86.43(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	27	10	32	13	5.45	75%	0.07	0	0.45%	0	163.1	50	0
25	Sep_4_2015	85.77	86.01	85.79	85.95	85.87	85.99	85.96(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-4	10	-4	-2	4.67	70%		0	0.46%	0	165.3	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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