Trading Signals: HUM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Feb. 16, 2016

Trading Signals: HUM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Humana Inc. )
HUM latest price $166.6400 (3.91%) ($160.5500 - $166.7400) on Tue. Feb. 16, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.6% (three month average)
RSI   52
Latest Price   $166.6400(3.91%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   HUM advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   HUM declines -0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support HUM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLV(59%)    IVE(50%)    IWD(50%)    SPY(49%)    VYM(48%)
Factors Impacting HUM price   HUM will decline at least -0.8% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-16%)    VIXM(-13%)    UUP(-13%)    IPO(-5%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.8% (StdDev 1.6%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.5%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $159.08(-4.54%)
5 Day Moving Average   $161.13(3.42%)
10 Day Moving Average   $162.85(2.33%)
20 Day Moving Average   $163.44(1.96%)
To recent high   -7.3%
To recent low   6.2%
Market Cap   $22.045b

Humana Inc. engages in the provision of health insurance services. The firm operates through the following segments: Retail, Group and Specialty, Healthcare Services, and Individual Commercial. The Retail segment consists of products sold on a retail basis to individuals including medical and supplemental benefit plans such as Medicare, and State-based Medicaid contracts. The Group and Specialty segment contains employer group fully-insured commercial medical products and specialty health insurance benefits marketed to individuals and groups, including dental, vision, military services and other supplemental health & voluntary insurance benefits. The Healthcare Services segment offer services such as pharmacy solutions, provider services, clinical care, predictive modeling and informatics services to other Humana businesses, as well as external health plan members, external health plans, and other employers.. The Individual Commercial segment includes Individual Commercial products marketed under the HumanaOne brand. The company was founded by David A. Jones, Sr. and Wendell Cherry in 1961 and is headquartered in Louisville, KY.

$. HUM price fluctuates within 2.02% (three month std-dev: 1.6%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160316

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_16_2016	172.63	163.44		161.13			166.64(3.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.7	6	-10000	15	-21	1.02	37%	-0.09	-38.6	1.6%	0	1	52	0
2	Feb_12_2016	172.79	163.21	162.85	159.19			160.37(1.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-17	-10000	-7	-48	0.69	32%	-0.15	-70.7	1.52%	0	-0.9	47	0
3	Feb_11_2016	173.05	163.54	163.13	160.07			158.02(-1.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-25	-10000	-17	-49	1.04	29%	-0.18	-74	1.51%	0	-1.7	40	0
4	Feb_10_2016	173.37	163.87	163.4	162.2			161.07(0.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-15	-10000	-9	-31	1.7	31%	-0.16	-80.9	1.54%	0	-0.9	43	0
5	Feb_9_2016	173.65	164.25	163.48	163.34			159.53(1.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-15	-10000	-12	-25	1.24	31%	-0.18	-84.1	1.53%	0	-1.5	44	0

6	Feb_8_2016	173.96	164.72	164.03	164.81			156.96(-4.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.6	-14	-10000	-17	-6	1.45	28%	-0.18	-88.2	1.52%	0	-2.5	42	0
7	Feb_5_2016	174.28	165.53	164.75	166.93			164.78(-2.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	11	-10000	3	35	1.1	32%	-0.14	-80.1	1.4%	0	-0.3	56	0
8	Feb_4_2016	174.52	166	164.88	166.53			168.65(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	20	-10000	15	33	1.04	34%	-0.11	-74.4	1.39%	0	0.7	51	0
9	Feb_3_2016	174.72	166.33	164.57	164.76			166.78(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	10	-10000	10	10	0.81	34%	-0.12	-77.8	1.38%	0	0.1	55	0
10	Feb_2_2016	174.93	166.9	164.33	163.67			166.87(-0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-2	-10000	4	-18	0.9	34%	-0.12	-69.6	1.39%	0	-0	46	0

11	Feb_1_2016	175.14	167.48	164.02	163.22			167.58(2.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-4	-10000	7	-35	1.8	34%	-0.11	-63	1.4%	0	0	47	0
12	Jan_29_2016	175.34	167.97	163.45	162.37			162.79(1.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-25	-10000	-6	-81	1.21	28%	-0.13	-66.4	1.35%	0	-0.9	34	0
13	Jan_28_2016	175.57	168.76	163.87	163.05			159.79(-0.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-32	-10000	-11	-94	0.79	23%	-0.15	-58.8	1.34%	0	-1.4	27	0
14	Jan_27_2016	175.84	169.72	164.33	164.32			161.3(-2.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-31	-10000	-6	-104	1.22	30%	-0.14	-51.7	1.35%	0	-1.3	27	0
15	Jan_26_2016	176.08	170.56	165.08	165			164.66(0.84%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-28	-10000	1	-116	0.41	32%	-0.07	-47.6	1.38%	0	-0.9	26	0

16	Jan_25_2016	176.2	171.24	165.48	164.87			163.29(-1.76%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-34	-10000	2	-143	0.54	32%	-0.11	-47.3	1.39%	0	-1.2	23	0
17	Jan_22_2016	176.39	172.04	166.39	164.65			166.22(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-42	-10000	-2	-161	1.16	31%	-0.1	-47.8	1.39%	0	-0.9	29	0
18	Jan_21_2016	176.56	172.55	167.2	164.85			166.11(0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-34	-10000	3	-143	0.62	27%	-0.09	-47	1.63%	0	-1	28	0
19	Jan_20_2016	176.72	173.08	168.18	164.4			164.74(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-42	-10000	-6	-149	1.67	27%	-0.08	-48.5	1.73%	0	-1.3	25	0
20	Jan_19_2016	176.87	173.65	169.6	165.22			164(1.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-40	-10000	-7	-140	1.58	30%	-0.15	-46	1.73%	0	-1.6	27	0

21	Jan_15_2016	177.14	174.33	171.15	166.22			162.16(-3.03%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-45	-10000	-15	-133	1.62	30%	-0.13	-42.7	1.72%	0	-2.3	22	0
22	Jan_14_2016	177.37	175.11	172.83	168.37			167.23(2.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-37	-10000	-11	-113	1.38	32%	-0.08	-32.7	1.68%	0	-1.7	25	0
23	Jan_13_2016	177.51	175.57	174.02	169.96			163.89(-2.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-38	-10000	-18	-96	1.26	31%	-0.07	-19.8	1.66%	0	-2.8	27	0
24	Jan_12_2016	177.63	176.2	175.62	172.5			168.83(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-27	-10000	-15	-63	1.4	34%	-0.03	4	1.64%	0	-2.4	33	0
25	Jan_11_2016	177.69	176.45	176.59	174.66			169.01(-2.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-20	-10000	-15	-35	1.52	34%		31.7	1.64%	0	-2.9	37	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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