Trading Signals: GSK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. May. 23, 2013

Trading Signals: GSK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(GlaxoSmithKline plc )
GSK latest price $52.7300 (-0.4%) ($52.3000 - $52.8600) on Thu. May. 23, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.72% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $52.7300(-0.4%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GSK advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GSK advances 1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GSK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWG(46%)    SPY(46%)    XLP(45%)    EWP(44%)    EWI(42%)
Factors Impacting GSK price   GSK will decline at least -0.36% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-14%)    TIP(-2%)    IGOV(-2%)    SHY(2%)    GLD(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.36% (StdDev 0.72%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $52.55(0.34%)
10 Day Moving Average   $52.26(0.9%)
20 Day Moving Average   $51.85(1.7%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   19.8%
Market Cap   $131.219b

GlaxoSmithKline Plc is a healthcare company, which engages in the research, development, and manufacture of pharmaceutical medicines, vaccines, and consumer healthcare products. It operates through the following segments: Pharmaceuticals, Vaccines, Consumer Healthcare, and Corporate Executive Team (CET). The Pharmaceuticals segment focuses on developing medicines in respiratory and infectious diseases, oncology, and immuno-inflammation. The Vaccines segment produces pediatric and adult vaccines to prevent a range of infectious diseases including, hepatitis A and B, diphtheria, tetanus and whooping cough, measles, mumps and rubella, polio, typhoid, influenza, and bacterial meningitis. The Consumer Healthcare segment develops and markets brands in the oral health, pain relief, respiratory, nutrition and gastro intestinal, and skin health categories. The CET segment refers to the management of business activities. The company was founded in 1715 and is headquartered in Middlesex, the United Kingdom.

$. GSK price fluctuates within 1.2% (three month std-dev: 0.72%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130623

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_23_2013	47.15	51.85	52.26	52.55			52.73(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	36	-10000	6	127	1.44	78%	0.19	60.8	0.72%	0	1.4	67	0
2	May_22_2013	47.06	51.79	52.06	52.43			52.94(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	31	-10000	5	109	2.52	78%	0.13	70.2	0.72%	0	1.9	66	0
3	May_21_2013	47	51.71	51.85	52.33			52.65(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	31	-10000	10	93	2.4	75%	0.21	81.7	0.73%	0	1.7	63	0
4	May_20_2013	46.9	51.63	51.71	52.14			52.21(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	21	-10000	5	68	1.41	70%	0.19	86.7	0.75%	0	1.1	56	0
5	May_17_2013	46.81	51.55	51.59	52.04			52.22(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	15	-10000	6	40	1.94	70%	0.19	89.2	0.77%	0	1.2	45	0

6	May_16_2013	46.72	51.47	51.48	51.92			52.11(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	16	-10000	14	20	2.46	70%	0.19	96.5	0.78%	0	1.1	47	0
7	May_15_2013	46.63	51.38	51.41	51.63			52.46(1.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	10	-10000	16	-7	2.16	70%	0.13	95	0.78%	0	1.8	55	0
8	May_14_2013	46.57	51.28	51.3	51.3			51.72(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-6	-10000	5	-39	2	69%	0.17	89.5	0.76%	0	0.6	54	0
9	May_13_2013	46.49	51.17	51.28	51.21			51.67(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-5	-10000	7	-40	2.21	69%	0.19	87	0.76%	0	0.6	57	0
10	May_10_2013	46.4	51.05	51.34	51.08			51.62(1.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-5	-10000	4	-30	3.24	69%	0.17	79.6	0.75%	0	0.6	61	0

11	May_9_2013	46.32	50.9	51.38	51			50.7(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-10	-10000	-8	-17	1.82	66%	0.15	77.9	0.73%	0	-0.2	56	0
12	May_8_2013	46.25	50.81	51.5	51.15			50.8(-0.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-1	-10000	-7	16	1.92	66%	0.15	76.2	0.73%	0	-0	58	0
13	May_7_2013	46.18	50.67	51.5	51.29			51.24(0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	9	-10000	-4	46	1.67	69%	0.15	72.9	0.72%	0	0.4	65	0
14	May_6_2013	46.11	50.49	51.56	51.37			51.02(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	8	-10000	-15	76	1.23	69%	0.15	68.7	0.72%	0	0.3	72	0
15	May_3_2013	46.04	50.31	51.54	51.65			51.24(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	24	-10000	-10	125	2.02	66%	0.17	68.6	0.73%	0	0.5	76	0

16	May_2_2013	45.96	50.09	51.47	51.83			51.43(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	42	-10000	-4	178	1.89	66%	0.15	68.5	0.73%	0	0.7	83	0
17	May_1_2013	45.89	49.88	51.38	51.9			51.5(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	56	-10000	2	219	2.22	66%	0.17	69.7	0.73%	0	0.9	83	0
18	Apr_30_2013	45.81	49.66	51.27	51.87			51.64(-1.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	70	-10000	5	263	3.99	66%	0.17	71.1	0.73%	0	1	88	0
19	Apr_29_2013	45.73	49.43	51.06	51.77			52.42(0.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	94	-10000	20	315	2.01	73%	0.2	72.2	0.69%	0	1.6	99	0
20	Apr_26_2013	45.64	49.14	50.74	51.42			52.16(0.69%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	90	-10000	19	302	2.15	73%	0.2	71.8	0.74%	0	1.7	99	0

21	Apr_25_2013	45.55	48.87	50.38	51.07			51.8(0.88%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	87	-10000	15	302	4.7	73%	0.2	73.4	0.74%	0	1.7	99	0
22	Apr_24_2013	45.46	48.6	50.05	50.79			51.35(0.45%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	85	-10000	11	306	4.46	72%	0.18	73.7	0.74%	0	1.7	94	0
23	Apr_23_2013	45.38	48.33	49.69	50.59			51.12(0.93%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	92	-10000	19	311	4.2	72%	0.18	73.9	0.74%	0	1.7	94	0
24	Apr_22_2013	45.3	48.08	49.32	50.24			50.65(0.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	85	-10000	15	294	2.98	74%	0.18	76.8	0.73%	0	1.7	94	0
25	Apr_19_2013	45.22	47.86	48.97	49.96			50.44(0.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	83	-10000	21	268	3.42	74%		80.5	0.76%	0	1.8	93	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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