Trading Signals: GSK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jun. 16, 2009

Trading Signals: GSK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(GlaxoSmithKline plc )
GSK latest price $36.0600 (1.12%) ($36.0100 - $36.5500) on Tue. Jun. 16, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.99% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $36.0600(1.12%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GSK advances 1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GSK advances 2.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GSK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(50%)    EWG(49%)    XLP(48%)    EWI(46%)    EWP(45%)
Factors Impacting GSK price   GSK will decline at least -0.995% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-20%)    TIP(-6%)    SHY(-3%)    GLD(5%)    IGOV(7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.995% (StdDev 1.99%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1%

5 Day Moving Average   $35.39(1.89%)
10 Day Moving Average   $34.44(4.7%)
20 Day Moving Average   $33.97(6.15%)
To recent high   -1.4%
To recent low   24.3%
Market Cap   $89.735b

GlaxoSmithKline Plc is a healthcare company, which engages in the research, development, and manufacture of pharmaceutical medicines, vaccines, and consumer healthcare products. It operates through the following segments: Pharmaceuticals, Vaccines, Consumer Healthcare, and Corporate Executive Team (CET). The Pharmaceuticals segment focuses on developing medicines in respiratory and infectious diseases, oncology, and immuno-inflammation. The Vaccines segment produces pediatric and adult vaccines to prevent a range of infectious diseases including, hepatitis A and B, diphtheria, tetanus and whooping cough, measles, mumps and rubella, polio, typhoid, influenza, and bacterial meningitis. The Consumer Healthcare segment develops and markets brands in the oral health, pain relief, respiratory, nutrition and gastro intestinal, and skin health categories. The CET segment refers to the management of business activities. The company was founded in 1715 and is headquartered in Middlesex, the United Kingdom.

$. GSK price fluctuates within 3.09% (three month std-dev: 1.99%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090716

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_16_2009	31.9	33.97	34.44	35.39			36.06(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	31	-10000	14	83	1.87	66%	0.03	83.8	1.99%	0	2	66	0
2	Jun_15_2009	31.89	33.78	34.21	34.92			35.66(-2.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	26	-10000	14	63	1.82	66%	0.06	83.8	1.99%	0	1.9	63	0
3	Jun_12_2009	31.87	33.59	34.04	34.45			36.56(4.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	29	-10000	21	52	3.54	72%	0.06	76.6	1.96%	0	3.1	74	0
4	Jun_11_2009	31.85	33.36	33.73	33.75			35.02(4.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	12	-10000	10	16	2.32	70%	0	83.8	1.95%	0	2.3	65	0
5	Jun_10_2009	31.85	33.19	33.73	33.41			33.65(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	2	-10000	2	1	1.36	69%	-0.06	79.3	1.9%	0	0.7	60	0

6	Jun_9_2009	31.87	33.11	33.73	33.34			33.72(1.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	0	-10000	-2	6	1.61	62%	0.06	83.4	1.92%	0	0.8	64	0
7	Jun_8_2009	31.85	32.98	33.57	33.39			33.31(0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	1	-10000	-5	17	1.74	62%	-0.13	73.7	2.04%	0	0.4	63	0
8	Jun_5_2009	31.89	32.87	33.56	33.57			33.03(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	7	-10000	-4	38	1.85	62%	-0.09	73	2.04%	0	0.2	67	0
9	Jun_4_2009	31.92	32.76	33.6	33.7			33.36(0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	13	-10000	-1	56	1.32	64%	-0.13	70.4	2.05%	0	0.6	65	0
10	Jun_3_2009	31.96	32.65	33.56	33.73			33.28(-2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	15	-10000	-3	67	2.37	64%	-0.12	70.1	2.07%	0	0.6	68	0

11	Jun_2_2009	32	32.52	33.5	33.82			33.96(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	21	-10000	1	80	1.66	58%	-0.12	68.3	2.06%	0	1.2	71	0
12	Jun_1_2009	32.04	32.37	33.35	33.78			34.21(1.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	27	-10000	6	90	1.43	58%	-0.16	66.8	2.16%	0	1.6	80	0
13	May_29_2009	32.09	32.19	33.11	33.56			33.71(0.63%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	23	-10000	2	87	1.73	58%	-0.19	69	2.17%	0	1.4	78	0
14	May_28_2009	32.15	32.04	32.96	33.48			33.5(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	27	-10000	3	97	1.95	58%	-0.16	76.1	2.18%	0	1.3	78	0
15	May_27_2009	32.2	31.9	32.78	33.36			33.71(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	29	-10000	6	99	2.46	58%	-0.12	82.7	2.2%	0	1.7	75	0

16	May_26_2009	32.24	31.74	32.61	33.13			33.77(1.93%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	31	-10000	7	102	3.14	56%	-0.25	80.2	2.2%	0	2	79	0
17	May_22_2009	32.32	31.62	32.33	32.86			33.13(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	28	-10000	7	90	2.41	52%	0.03	81.8	2.23%	0	1.5	70	0
18	May_21_2009	32.31	31.43	32.11	32.59			33.31(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	25	-10000	6	81	3.43	52%	-0.12	65.9	2.25%	0	1.8	74	0
19	May_20_2009	32.35	31.23	31.85	32.36			32.89(1.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	23	-10000	7	72	2.98	52%	-0.12	53.6	2.26%	0	1.6	70	0
20	May_19_2009	32.39	31.05	31.66	32.12			32.55(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	18	-10000	3	61	3.62	52%	-0.09	44	2.28%	0	1.6	66	0

21	May_18_2009	32.42	30.96	31.46	32.01			32.4(1.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	21	-10000	8	60	2.57	52%	-0.12	47.5	2.28%	0	1.6	68	0
22	May_15_2009	32.46	30.83	31.31	31.72			31.78(-1.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	14	-10000	5	40	2.73	49%	0	42.6	2.32%	0	1.2	51	0
23	May_14_2009	32.46	30.77	31.19	31.55			32.17(1.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	17	-10000	8	44	3.99	49%	-0.15	43.9	2.33%	0	1.8	70	0
24	May_13_2009	32.51	30.69	31.04	31.26			31.71(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	14	-10000	4	42	2.85	49%	-0.12	42.4	2.34%	0	1.4	70	0
25	May_12_2009	32.55	30.64	30.95	31.13			32(3.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	19	-10000	8	50	3.57	49%		42.8	2.34%	0	2	70	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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