Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GRPN: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. May. 18, 2020

Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 4, 2011 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Groupon Inc)
GRPN latest price $24.4000 (12.44%) ($22.6000 - $24.4000) on Mon. May. 18, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   11.3% (three month average)
RSI   37
Latest Price   $24.4000(12.44%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GRPN advances 2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GRPN declines -5.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GRPN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(44%)    IWN(44%)    IBUY(42%)    IWC(42%)    PEJ(42%)
Factors Impacting GRPN price   GRPN will decline at least -5.65% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-22%)    VXX(-12%)    TLT(-12%)    UUP(-7%)    TIP(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -5.65% (StdDev 11.3%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 8%

5 Day Moving Average   $22.4(8.93%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22.54(8.25%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.89(6.6%)
To recent high   -60%
To recent low   150.3%
Market Cap   $700m

Groupon, Inc. operates as a global scaled two-sided marketplace that connects consumers to merchants. The firm provides marketing services by selling vouchers through online local marketplaces. It operates through North America and International segment. The company was founded by Andrew D. Mason, Eric Paul Lefkofsky, and Bradley A. Keywell on January 15, 2008 and is headquartered in Chicago, IL.

$. GRPN price fluctuates within 9.35% (three month std-dev: 11.3%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 2.23%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 5.1%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 4.08%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20200618

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_18_2020	33.17	22.89	22.54	22.4	21.96	22.39	24.4(12.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	1	80	9	-24	0.67	50%	-0.69	52.4	11.3%	0	0.7	37	1.4
2	May_15_2020	33.4	22.62	22.35	21.96	21.81	21.18	21.7(1.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-14	-220	-5	-39	0.31	49%	-0.77	47.5	11.23%	0	-0.4	41	1
3	May_14_2020	33.66	22.5	22.57	22.26	22.17	21.54	21.3(-1.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-14	-210	-7	-34	0.39	48%	-0.38	48.4	11.31%	0	-0.5	51	0.8
4	May_13_2020	33.79	22.33	22.88	22.48	22.61	22.45	21.6(-6.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-8	-30	-3	-24	0.46	48%	-0.76	45.1	11.32%	0	-0.3	55	0.1
5	May_12_2020	34.05	22.1	23.32	22.64	22.7	22.8	23(3.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-2	40	0	-9	0.38	48%	-0.67	43	11.3%	0	0.3	62	1.2

6	May_11_2020	34.28	21.82	23.77	22.68	22.61	22.78	22.2(-4.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	2	40	-1	9	0.3	48%	-0.7	42.8	11.29%	0	0.1	66	2.3
7	May_8_2020	34.52	21.6	24.04	22.8	22.78	22.59	23.2(3.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	6	-60	-0	25	0.37	47%	-0.66	48.1	11.2%	0	0.5	68	2
8	May_7_2020	34.75	21.34	23.97	22.96	22.71	22.44	22.4(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	4	-120	-6	33	0.32	47%	-0.74	52.7	11.28%	0	0.3	67	1.4
9	May_6_2020	35.01	21.13	23.89	23.36	22.98	22.44	22.4(-3.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	7	-50	-7	49	0.41	47%	-0.77	57.7	11.28%	0	0.4	71	0.8
10	May_5_2020	35.28	20.88	23.75	24.12	23.49	22.44	23.2(1.75%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	11	-230	-9	72	0.28	47%	-0.87	60.7	11.28%	0	0.7	76	1.1

11	May_4_2020	35.59	20.56	23.33	25.04	24.58	22.98	22.8(-5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	16	-510	-10	95	0.38	48%	-0.84	65.5	11.28%	0	0.6	72	0.5
12	May_1_2020	35.89	20.16	22.98	25.44	25.76	24	24(-1.64%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	23	-440	-7	114	0.53	48%	-0.88	50.3	11.2%	0	1.1	74	0.4
13	Apr_30_2020	36.21	19.75	22.48	25.08	25.83	26.18	24.4(-6.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	30	180	0	118	0.8	48%	-0.88	41.2	11.2%	0	1.3	71	1.3
14	Apr_29_2020	36.53	19.38	21.78	24.44	25.18	27.53	26.2(-5.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	46	740	22	119	1.49	48%	-0.92	36.7	11.18%	0	2	76	1.7
15	Apr_28_2020	36.87	19	20.8	23.28	23.57	25.49	27.8(12.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.5	52	610	33	107	1.22	48%	-0.86	36.2	11.16%	0	2.9	83	1.2

16	Apr_27_2020	37.19	18.52	19.67	21.42	21.65	22.84	24.8(11.71%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.5	34	420	20	74	1	46%	-0.96	38.3	11.05%	0	2.7	82	1.4
17	Apr_24_2020	37.55	18.48	18.88	20.22	20.34	21.65	22.2(4.72%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	26	470	14	62	0.51	44%	-1	51.5	10.94%	0	1.5	84	0.9
18	Apr_23_2020	37.93	18.36	18.41	19.51	19.51	20.47	21.2(3.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	28	340	17	59	0.77	44%	-0.99	65.2	10.92%	0	1.2	72	0.4
19	Apr_22_2020	38.31	18.18	18.06	18.71	18.75	19.02	20.4(10.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	20	110	12	45	0.73	44%	-0.96	76.2	10.9%	0	1	61	0.3
20	Apr_21_2020	38.68	17.95	17.72	17.91	18.06	18.55	18.5(-1.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	9	220	5	22	0.45	45%	-1	72	10.81%	0	0.2	46	-0.2

21	Apr_20_2020	39.07	17.67	17.53	17.61	17.57	18.48	18.79(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	9	360	8	10	0.52	45%	-1.04	58	10.83%	0	0.4	49	0.6
22	Apr_17_2020	39.48	17.31	17.12	17.32	17.26	17.57	18.68(8.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-2	120	6	-26	0.71	46%	-0.55	38.1	10.92%	0	0.5	35	1.2
23	Apr_16_2020	39.7	16.97	17.12	17.16	17.13	16.66	17.2(4.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-15	-200	-4	-46	0.46	46%	-1.07	28.4	10.9%	0	0.1	47	1.1
24	Apr_15_2020	40.13	16.63	16.82	17.32	17.49	16.96	16.39(-3.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-15	-180	-5	-46	0.59	46%	-1.06	16.9	10.89%	0	-0.1	52	1.1
25	Apr_14_2020	40.56	16.48	17.11	17.48	17.8	17.6	17(-1.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-9	-20	-1	-33	0.61	46%		9.4	10.89%	0	0.1	58	1.5
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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