Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GRPN: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Sep. 5, 2017

Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 4, 2011 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Groupon Inc)
GRPN latest price $86.2000 (-2.71%) ($85.8000 - $89.4000) on Tue. Sep. 5, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.58% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $86.2000(-2.71%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GRPN advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GRPN advances 5.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GRPN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(45%)    IWN(45%)    IWC(44%)    PEJ(44%)    IBUY(43%)
Factors Impacting GRPN price   GRPN will decline at least -1.29% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-13%)    TLT(-10%)    UUP(-7%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.29% (StdDev 2.58%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $87(-0.92%)
10 Day Moving Average   $84.54(1.96%)
20 Day Moving Average   $82.12(4.97%)
To recent high   -2.9%
To recent low   42.2%
Market Cap   $2.473b

Groupon, Inc. operates as a global scaled two-sided marketplace that connects consumers to merchants. The firm provides marketing services by selling vouchers through online local marketplaces. It operates through North America and International segment. The company was founded by Andrew D. Mason, Eric Paul Lefkofsky, and Bradley A. Keywell on January 15, 2008 and is headquartered in Chicago, IL.

$. GRPN price fluctuates within 3.97% (three month std-dev: 2.58%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 1.24%(43%) Average negative next day return: -1.08%(57%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 2.69%(29%) Average negative next three day return: -2.32%(71%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 1.68%(29%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.1%(71%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171005

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_5_2017	73.35	82.12	84.54	87	87.24	87.98	86.2(-2.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	42	70	14	124	0.26	67%	0.19	41.6	2.58%	0	1.3	68	INF
2	Sep_1_2017	73.21	81.9	83.92	86.32	86.37	88.08	88.6(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	82	140	64	135	0.23	68%	0.21	49.6	2.55%	0	2.2	69	INF
3	Aug_31_2017	73.06	81.55	83.02	84.88	84.71	86.51	88.8(3.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	79	140	67	116	0.54	64%	0.19	51	2.57%	0	2.6	73	INF
4	Aug_30_2017	72.92	81.3	81.83	83.44	83.19	84.66	85.6(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	60	110	53	80	0.23	62%	0.15	62.8	2.63%	0	1.8	65	INF
5	Aug_29_2017	72.81	81.21	81.09	82.6	82.18	82.9	85.8(3.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	43	50	38	59	0.39	62%	0.15	73.1	2.63%	0	2	67	INF

6	Aug_28_2017	72.7	80.78	80.43	81.76	81.47	81.73	82.8(1.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	18	10	13	32	0.25	60%	0.11	68.8	2.62%	0	0.9	53	INF
7	Aug_25_2017	72.62	80.42	80.21	81.16	81.27	81.45	81.4(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	15	20	13	19	0.18	58%	0.08	63.2	2.65%	0	0.4	46	INF
8	Aug_24_2017	72.56	80.17	79.97	80.84	80.83	81.21	81.6(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	30	20	8	0.18	58%	0.1	60.4	2.66%	0	0.5	46	INF
9	Aug_23_2017	72.49	79.86	79.79	79.92	80.01	81.09	81.4(-0.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	17	100	28	-16	0.25	58%	0.08	46.2	2.67%	0	0.5	38	INF
10	Aug_22_2017	72.43	79.56	79.55	79.32	79.13	80.45	81.6(2.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	19	110	37	-35	0.22	58%	0.06	30.7	2.68%	0	0.7	41	INF

11	Aug_21_2017	72.39	79.19	79.49	78.92	78.68	78.93	79.8(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	4	10	18	-40	0.21	58%	0.01	18.7	2.67%	0	0.2	57	INF
12	Aug_18_2017	72.38	78.88	79.72	79.16	78.75	77.8	79.8(3.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-21	-100	-16	-34	0.27	58%	0	13.9	2.66%	0	0.3	62	INF
13	Aug_17_2017	72.38	78.88	79.95	79	79.28	78.43	77(-1.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-33	-60	-34	-28	0.21	53%	-0.01	4	2.64%	0	-0.4	56	INF
14	Aug_16_2017	72.39	78.56	80.76	79.6	79.28	79.7	78.4(-1.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-3	10	-10	17	0.24	53%	-0.01	6	2.67%	0	-0	60	INF
15	Aug_15_2017	72.4	78.62	81.37	79.76	79.67	80.14	79.6(-1.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	21	40	10	52	0.23	53%	0.01	10	2.67%	0	0.3	62	INF

16	Aug_14_2017	72.39	78.58	81.21	80.12	79.35	79.64	81(2.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	16	-0	0	65	0.31	53%	0.01	18.1	2.66%	0	0.7	68	INF
17	Aug_11_2017	72.38	78.4	80.7	80.4	79.86	79.19	79(-1.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	8	-80	-13	72	0.24	53%	-0.01	26.7	2.66%	0	0.2	67	INF
18	Aug_10_2017	72.39	78.42	80.46	81.08	80.62	79.07	80(1.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-16	-150	-48	80	0.4	53%	0.01	40	2.67%	0	0.5	70	INF
19	Aug_9_2017	72.38	78.35	80.02	82.12	81.64	80.53	79.2(-2.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-20	-110	-57	92	0.51	53%	0.01	55.8	2.67%	0	0.2	57	INF
20	Aug_8_2017	72.37	78.27	79.67	83.2	83.09	82.18	81.4(-1.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	36	-80	5	127	0.29	58%	0.01	66.3	2.65%	0	0.9	52	INF

21	Aug_7_2017	72.36	77.95	78.95	82.4	82.35	82.75	82.4(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	27	30	2	100	0.26	58%	0.01	57.1	2.71%	0	1.2	56	INF
22	Aug_4_2017	72.35	77.48	78.02	80.96	81.23	84	82.4(-3.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	77	250	71	93	0.46	58%	0	42.3	2.71%	0	1.4	59	INF
23	Aug_3_2017	72.35	77.05	77.07	79.68	79.32	81.95	85.2(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	100	220	110	71	0.54	51%	0.07	36.2	2.68%	0	2.4	58	INF
24	Aug_2_2017	72.3	76.46	76.11	77.64	77.11	78.45	84.6(9.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.5	44	100	54	12	1.61	51%	0.08	31.7	3.17%	0	2.9	59	INF
25	Aug_1_2017	72.24	76	75.49	75.76	76	76.69	77.4(2.93%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.8	17	70	30	-21	0.44	45%		32.5	2.96%	0	0.6	49	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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