Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GRPN: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Aug. 3, 2017

Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 4, 2011 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Groupon Inc)
GRPN latest price $85.2000 (0.71%) ($82.4000 - $86.8000) on Thu. Aug. 3, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.68% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $85.2000(0.71%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GRPN advances 2.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GRPN advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GRPN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(45%)    IWN(45%)    IWC(44%)    PEJ(44%)    IWO(43%)
Factors Impacting GRPN price   GRPN will decline at least -1.34% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-13%)    TLT(-10%)    UUP(-7%)    SHY(-6%)    IPO(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.34% (StdDev 2.68%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $79.68(6.93%)
10 Day Moving Average   $77.07(10.55%)
20 Day Moving Average   $77.05(10.58%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   41.5%
Market Cap   $2.444b

Groupon, Inc. operates as a global scaled two-sided marketplace that connects consumers to merchants. The firm provides marketing services by selling vouchers through online local marketplaces. It operates through North America and International segment. The company was founded by Andrew D. Mason, Eric Paul Lefkofsky, and Bradley A. Keywell on January 15, 2008 and is headquartered in Chicago, IL.

$. GRPN price fluctuates within 4.37% (three month std-dev: 2.68%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 10 Average positive next day return: 1.71%(30%) Average negative next day return: -1.63%(70%) Sample size 10 Average positive next three day return: 3.73%(10%) Average negative next three day return: -5.14%(90%) Sample size 10 Average positive next weekly return: 0.93%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.83%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170903

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_3_2017	72.35	77.05	77.07	79.68	79.32	81.95	85.2(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	100	220	110	71	0.54	51%	0.07	36.2	2.68%	0	2.4	58	INF
2	Aug_2_2017	72.3	76.46	76.11	77.64	77.11	78.45	84.6(9.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.5	44	100	54	12	1.61	51%	0.08	31.7	3.17%	0	2.9	59	INF
3	Aug_1_2017	72.24	76	75.49	75.76	76	76.69	77.4(2.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	17	70	30	-21	0.44	45%	-0.03	32.5	2.96%	0	0.6	49	INF
4	Jul_31_2017	72.26	75.95	75.57	75.04	75.2	75.76	75.2(-1.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	6	60	18	-29	0.22	45%	-0.06	39.9	2.96%	0	-0.3	52	INF
5	Jul_28_2017	72.3	76.03	75.8	74.6	74.61	75.31	76(1.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	12	70	24	-23	0.21	45%	-0.07	50.2	2.95%	0	-0	59	INF

6	Jul_27_2017	72.35	75.86	76.14	74	73.88	74.64	75(-0.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	2	70	11	-24	0.31	45%	-0.1	56.1	2.96%	0	-0.4	54	INF
7	Jul_26_2017	72.42	75.59	76.51	74.32	73.77	73.91	75.2(1.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-7	-10	-4	-14	0.28	45%	-0.1	61.5	2.98%	0	-0.1	55	INF
8	Jul_25_2017	72.49	75.3	76.76	75.24	74.69	73.11	73.8(1.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-27	-170	-33	-9	0.2	45%	-0.1	73.3	2.97%	0	-0.5	46	INF
9	Jul_24_2017	72.56	75.1	76.93	76.24	76.24	73.63	73(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.9	-52	-240	-66	-11	0.21	45%	-0.1	84.7	2.97%	0	-0.6	43	INF
10	Jul_21_2017	72.63	74.96	77.02	77.16	77.56	76.28	73(-4.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-50	-100	-65	-6	0.47	45%	-0.14	95.7	2.97%	0	-0.5	43	INF

11	Jul_20_2017	72.73	74.58	77.22	78.52	78.54	78.86	76.6(-4.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	7	30	-6	45	0.36	48%	-0.12	91.3	2.91%	0	0.5	62	INF
12	Jul_19_2017	72.82	73.92	77	78.96	78.73	78.85	79.8(1.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	34	0	19	77	0.26	51%	-0.07	81.8	2.89%	0	1.2	75	INF
13	Jul_18_2017	72.87	73.05	76.61	78.52	78.38	78.21	78.8(1.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	24	-20	4	85	0.4	51%	-0.15	74	2.89%	0	1.1	75	INF
14	Jul_17_2017	72.98	72.3	76.36	77.76	77.95	78.6	77.6(-2.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	40	70	20	101	0.24	51%	-0.16	71.2	2.9%	0	1	72	INF
15	Jul_14_2017	73.1	71.65	76.26	76.84	76.94	78.55	79.8(1.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	64	150	46	119	0.23	51%	-0.12	69.2	2.88%	0	1.4	76	INF

16	Jul_13_2017	73.19	70.87	75.49	75.72	75.55	77.3	78.8(1.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	72	160	53	128	0.29	51%	-0.16	68.8	2.9%	0	1.5	82	INF
17	Jul_12_2017	73.31	70.07	74.52	74.76	74.56	75.33	77.6(3.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	56	60	33	124	0.33	51%	-0.24	67.7	2.92%	0	1.4	83	INF
18	Jul_11_2017	73.49	69.27	73.64	74.48	74.13	75.33	75(2.74%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	27	-50	-7	128	0.25	48%	0.03	68.2	2.89%	0	1.1	82	INF
19	Jul_10_2017	73.47	68.55	73.06	74.8	74.54	73.8	73(-1.62%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	17	-80	-26	147	0.22	48%	-0.29	69.1	2.87%	0	0.8	73	INF
20	Jul_7_2017	73.68	67.96	72.74	75.56	75.26	74.45	74.2(0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	38	-90	-12	188	0.33	48%	-0.26	73	2.86%	0	1.1	73	INF

21	Jul_6_2017	73.87	67.3	71.8	75.16	75.33	75.28	74(-2.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	50	0	3	192	0.35	48%	-0.26	71.3	2.87%	0	1.2	72	INF
22	Jul_5_2017	74.06	66.62	70.7	74.12	74.66	76.08	76.2(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	83	150	45	196	0.31	50%	0.04	67.6	2.85%	0	1.8	80	INF
23	Jul_3_2017	74.03	65.82	69.28	72.6	72.94	75.38	76.6(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	99	250	71	184	0.33	50%	0.07	61.9	2.86%	0	2.1	83	INF
24	Jun_30_2017	73.98	65	67.94	71.08	71.18	73.25	76.8(6.37%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	100	210	76	173	0.66	50%	0.07	57.9	2.84%	0	2.7	84	INF
25	Jun_29_2017	73.93	64.14	66.62	69.6	69.96	70.5	72.2(4.94%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	83	70	58	159	0.52	44%		55	2.73%	0	2.3	80	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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