Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GRPN: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Jul. 17, 2017

Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 4, 2011 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Groupon Inc)
GRPN latest price $77.6000 (-2.76%) ($76.8000 - $79.4000) on Mon. Jul. 17, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.9% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $77.6000(-2.76%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GRPN advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GRPN advances 4.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GRPN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(45%)    IWN(45%)    IWC(44%)    PEJ(44%)    IWO(43%)
Factors Impacting GRPN price   GRPN will decline at least -1.45% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-13%)    TLT(-10%)    UUP(-7%)    SHY(-6%)    IPO(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.45% (StdDev 2.9%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $77.76(-0.21%)
10 Day Moving Average   $76.36(1.62%)
20 Day Moving Average   $72.3(7.33%)
To recent high   -3%
To recent low   28.9%
Market Cap   $2.226b

Groupon, Inc. operates as a global scaled two-sided marketplace that connects consumers to merchants. The firm provides marketing services by selling vouchers through online local marketplaces. It operates through North America and International segment. The company was founded by Andrew D. Mason, Eric Paul Lefkofsky, and Bradley A. Keywell on January 15, 2008 and is headquartered in Chicago, IL.

$. GRPN price fluctuates within 7.68% (three month std-dev: 2.9%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 2%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -0.12%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 1.25%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170817

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_17_2017	72.98	72.3	76.36	77.76	77.95	78.6	77.6(-2.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	40	70	20	101	0.24	51%	-0.16	71.2	2.9%	0	1	72	0
2	Jul_14_2017	73.1	71.65	76.26	76.84	76.94	78.55	79.8(1.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	64	150	46	119	0.23	51%	-0.12	69.2	2.88%	0	1.4	76	0
3	Jul_13_2017	73.19	70.87	75.49	75.72	75.55	77.3	78.8(1.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	72	160	53	128	0.29	51%	-0.16	68.8	2.9%	0	1.5	82	0
4	Jul_12_2017	73.31	70.07	74.52	74.76	74.56	75.33	77.6(3.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	56	60	33	124	0.33	51%	-0.24	67.7	2.92%	0	1.4	83	0
5	Jul_11_2017	73.49	69.27	73.64	74.48	74.13	75.33	75(2.74%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	27	-50	-7	128	0.25	48%	0.03	68.2	2.89%	0	1.1	82	0

6	Jul_10_2017	73.47	68.55	73.06	74.8	74.54	73.8	73(-1.62%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	17	-80	-26	147	0.22	48%	-0.29	69.1	2.87%	0	0.8	73	0
7	Jul_7_2017	73.68	67.96	72.74	75.56	75.26	74.45	74.2(0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	38	-90	-12	188	0.33	48%	-0.26	73	2.86%	0	1.1	73	0
8	Jul_6_2017	73.87	67.3	71.8	75.16	75.33	75.28	74(-2.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	50	0	3	192	0.35	48%	-0.26	71.3	2.87%	0	1.2	72	0
9	Jul_5_2017	74.06	66.62	70.7	74.12	74.66	76.08	76.2(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	83	150	45	196	0.31	50%	0.04	67.6	2.85%	0	1.8	80	0
10	Jul_3_2017	74.03	65.82	69.28	72.6	72.94	75.38	76.6(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	99	250	71	184	0.33	50%	0.07	61.9	2.86%	0	2.1	83	0

11	Jun_30_2017	73.98	65	67.94	71.08	71.18	73.25	76.8(6.37%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	100	210	76	173	0.66	50%	0.07	57.9	2.84%	0	2.7	84	0
12	Jun_29_2017	73.93	64.14	66.62	69.6	69.96	70.5	72.2(4.94%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	83	70	58	159	0.52	44%	0.03	55	2.73%	0	2.3	80	0
13	Jun_28_2017	73.91	63.6	65.79	68	68.55	69.1	68.8(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	51	80	24	132	0.35	39%	-0.03	41.6	2.65%	0	1.7	74	0
14	Jun_27_2017	73.93	63.16	65.2	66.72	67.15	69.43	68.6(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	80	260	63	132	0.53	39%	-0.03	23.7	2.65%	0	2	75	0
15	Jun_26_2017	73.95	62.85	64.49	65.36	65.39	68	69(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.4	99	280	92	121	0.47	39%	-0.01	5	2.66%	0	2.4	77	0

16	Jun_23_2017	73.96	62.53	63.63	64.28	63.58	64.88	69.4(8.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.4	65	110	58	87	2.18	39%	-0.01	-14.9	2.66%	0	3.3	76	0
17	Jun_22_2017	73.97	62.28	62.73	63.28	63	62.78	64.2(2.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	19	-40	8	52	0.4	27%	-0.07	-40.6	2.44%	0	1.2	67	0
18	Jun_21_2017	74.02	62.36	62.43	63.32	63.18	62.28	62.4(0.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-10	-110	-26	38	0.19	22%	-0.09	-31.7	2.42%	0	0	51	0
19	Jun_20_2017	74.09	62.51	62.26	63.44	63.55	63.23	61.8(-2.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-0	-30	-16	47	0.26	22%	-0.09	-33	2.45%	0	-0.4	58	0
20	Jun_19_2017	74.16	62.73	62.16	63.4	63.5	64.08	63.6(-1.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	29	70	21	53	0.18	23%	-0.07	-35.4	2.43%	0	0.4	50	0

21	Jun_16_2017	74.21	62.84	61.9	62.8	62.81	63.88	64.4(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.7	41	120	42	39	1.12	23%	-0.05	-44.8	2.43%	0	0.7	52	0
22	Jun_15_2017	74.25	62.91	61.5	62.08	61.73	62.93	64.4(2.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	32	120	41	6	0.52	23%	-0.08	-58.8	2.46%	0	0.6	44	0
23	Jun_14_2017	74.31	62.93	61.23	61.44	61.06	61.75	63(2.27%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.7	20	60	35	-26	0.35	23%	-0.09	-77.7	2.46%	0	0	36	0
24	Jun_13_2017	74.38	63.14	60.94	60.96	60.79	60.53	61.6(1.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-11	-40	8	-68	0.34	23%	-0.11	-82.3	2.44%	0	-0.6	35	0
25	Jun_12_2017	74.46	63.48	61.07	60.76	60.61	60.38	60.6(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-37	-30	-17	-96	0.39	23%		-82.4	2.42%	0	-1	29	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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