Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GRPN: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Mar. 21, 2017

Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 4, 2011 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Groupon Inc)
GRPN latest price $78.0000 (-3.23%) ($77.8000 - $82.8000) on Tue. Mar. 21, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.65% (three month average)
RSI   30
Latest Price   $78.0000(-3.23%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GRPN declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GRPN declines -0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GRPN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(45%)    IWN(45%)    IWC(44%)    PEJ(44%)    IWO(43%)
Factors Impacting GRPN price   GRPN will decline at least -1.825% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-13%)    TLT(-10%)    UUP(-7%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.825% (StdDev 3.65%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3.9%

Resistance Level   $82.61
5 Day Moving Average   $80.52(-3.13%)
10 Day Moving Average   $80.28(-2.84%)
20 Day Moving Average   $82.61(-5.58%)
To recent high   -17.7%
To recent low   17.5%
Market Cap   $2.237b

Groupon, Inc. operates as a global scaled two-sided marketplace that connects consumers to merchants. The firm provides marketing services by selling vouchers through online local marketplaces. It operates through North America and International segment. The company was founded by Andrew D. Mason, Eric Paul Lefkofsky, and Bradley A. Keywell on January 15, 2008 and is headquartered in Chicago, IL.

$. GRPN price fluctuates within 5.42% (three month std-dev: 3.65%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 15 Average positive next day return: 2.24%(40%) Average negative next day return: -3.67%(60%) Sample size 15 Average positive next three day return: 3.37%(60%) Average negative next three day return: -6.33%(40%) Sample size 15 Average positive next weekly return: 5.83%(53%) Average negative next weekly return: -13.03%(47%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170421

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_21_2017	76.61	82.61	80.28	80.52	81.33	80.55	78(-3.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-16	-40	-14	-20	0.62	67%	-0.03	-49.4	3.65%	0	-1	30	INF
2	Mar_20_2017	76.63	83.42	80.64	80.64	81.03	81.68	80.6(-1.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-4	70	1	-19	0.22	67%	0	-27.2	3.63%	0	-0.6	37	INF
3	Mar_17_2017	76.63	84.01	80.66	80.4	80.37	82.1	81.6(-0.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	18	150	32	-26	0.46	67%	-0.01	-6.8	3.6%	0	-0.5	28	INF
4	Mar_16_2017	76.64	84.54	80.53	80	79.74	80.38	82.4(3%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	10	50	29	-48	0.7	67%	-0.31	9.3	3.63%	0	-0.4	31	INF
5	Mar_15_2017	76.88	85.03	80.52	79.68	79.34	78.64	80(1.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-31	-70	-14	-80	0.43	67%	-0.35	26.2	3.61%	0	-0.9	27	INF

6	Mar_14_2017	77.15	84.89	81	80.08	79.95	79.1	78.6(-1.01%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-41	-80	-25	-90	0.36	67%	-0.34	31.8	3.61%	0	-1.1	19	INF
7	Mar_13_2017	77.41	84.63	81.6	80.64	80.92	80.04	79.4(-0.25%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-36	-70	-15	-98	0.39	67%	-0.28	31.8	3.63%	0	-0.8	16	INF
8	Mar_10_2017	77.63	84.34	82.59	80.92	81.25	80.8	79.6(-1.49%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-37	-30	-15	-101	0.62	67%	-0.27	32.1	3.62%	0	-0.7	22	INF
9	Mar_9_2017	77.84	84.06	83.54	81.08	81.26	81.8	80.8(-1.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-27	50	-2	-100	0.39	67%	-0.27	32.4	3.64%	0	-0.4	25	INF
10	Mar_8_2017	78.05	83.65	84.29	81.48	81.34	81.7	82(0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-22	30	5	-102	0.35	67%	-0.26	32.9	3.64%	0	-0.2	26	INF

11	Mar_7_2017	78.25	83.13	85.1	82.12	81.81	80.73	81.4(0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-33	-100	-16	-82	0.39	69%	-0.27	34	3.64%	0	-0.2	64	INF
12	Mar_6_2017	78.46	82.68	86.39	82.76	82.81	80.98	80.8(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-50	-150	-50	-51	0.5	69%	-0.25	36.8	3.67%	0	-0.2	68	INF
13	Mar_3_2017	78.66	82.22	87.64	84.56	84.35	82.9	80.4(-2.9%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.5	-40	-130	-54	2	0.67	69%	-0.24	42.1	3.64%	0	-0.2	67	INF
14	Mar_2_2017	78.85	81.78	88.9	86.36	86.58	84.65	82.8(-2.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-6	-150	-31	68	0.41	69%	-0.23	47.9	3.65%	0	0.1	69	INF
15	Mar_1_2017	79.03	81.17	89.94	87.48	87.59	85.8	85.2(0.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-12	-140	-54	115	0.89	63%	-0.2	50.2	3.63%	0	0.4	74	INF

16	Feb_28_2017	79.19	80.39	89.19	88.52	88.78	88.51	84.6(-5.79%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	11	-10	-36	150	0.84	63%	-0.25	52.4	3.65%	0	0.4	74	INF
17	Feb_27_2017	79.39	79.6	88.08	90.56	90.19	89.38	89.8(0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	44	-80	-7	198	0.55	69%	-0.18	57.4	3.59%	0	1	79	INF
18	Feb_24_2017	79.53	78.55	86.4	91.24	91.04	89.04	89.4(1.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	21	-160	-41	207	0.51	69%	-0.16	60.8	3.59%	0	1.1	80	INF
19	Feb_23_2017	79.66	77.49	84.77	91.88	92.22	91.01	88.4(-2.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	30	-80	-37	231	0.53	69%	-0.24	63.7	3.62%	0	1.1	78	INF
20	Feb_22_2017	79.85	76.53	83.1	92.76	92.71	93.04	90.4(-4.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	83	20	17	282	0.81	69%	-0.2	68.9	3.61%	0	1.4	82	INF

21	Feb_21_2017	80.01	75.45	81.08	89.8	92.19	93.43	94.8(1.72%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	138	170	89	286	0.79	75%	-0.42	62.4	3.55%	0	2.1	91	INF
22	Feb_17_2017	80.35	74.1	78.63	85.08	87.16	92.38	93.2(0.65%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	132	490	96	240	1.05	75%	-0.11	53	3.52%	0	2.4	91	INF
23	Feb_16_2017	80.44	72.8	76.2	80.76	81.79	90.95	92.6(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.7	207	820	200	229	1.32	75%	-0.16	42.5	3.55%	0	2.9	87	INF
24	Feb_15_2017	80.57	71.57	73.83	76.68	76.71	81.95	92.8(22.75%)	UT	HoldLong	65	3.2	199	480	204	182	4.15	75%	-0.17	33.8	3.56%	0	4.2	87	INF
25	Feb_14_2017	80.71	70.33	71.3	72.28	72.04	72.63	75.6(6.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	66	50	56	94	1.06	53%		29.1	2.09%	0	3.4	67	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.