Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GRPN: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Nov. 15, 2016

Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 4, 2011 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Groupon Inc)
GRPN latest price $80.4000 (0.5%) ($79.6000 - $81.6000) on Tue. Nov. 15, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.26% (three month average)
RSI   23
Latest Price   $80.4000(0.5%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GRPN advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GRPN declines -2.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GRPN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWN(45%)    IWM(44%)    PEJ(44%)    IWC(43%)    IBUY(42%)
Factors Impacting GRPN price   GRPN will decline at least -1.63% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-13%)    TLT(-10%)    UUP(-7%)    SHY(-6%)    IPO(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.63% (StdDev 3.26%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

Resistance Level   $85.99
5 Day Moving Average   $80.96(-0.69%)
10 Day Moving Average   $79.44(1.21%)
20 Day Moving Average   $85.99(-6.5%)
To recent high   -30.4%
To recent low   6.3%
Market Cap   $2.306b

Groupon, Inc. operates as a global scaled two-sided marketplace that connects consumers to merchants. The firm provides marketing services by selling vouchers through online local marketplaces. It operates through North America and International segment. The company was founded by Andrew D. Mason, Eric Paul Lefkofsky, and Bradley A. Keywell on January 15, 2008 and is headquartered in Chicago, IL.

$. GRPN price fluctuates within 12.79% (three month std-dev: 3.26%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -2.4%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -3.63%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.72%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161215

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_15_2016	94.82	85.99	79.44	80.96	81.1	80.93	80.4(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-11	-10	-2	-39	0.97	10%	0.22	-40.8	3.26%	0	-0.5	23	0
2	Nov_14_2016	94.61	87	79.16	80.72	80.64	81.45	80(-3.61%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-15	70	11	-93	0.98	10%	0.18	-40.6	3.27%	0	-0.6	22	0
3	Nov_11_2016	94.44	88.05	79.12	80.36	80.02	81.28	83(2.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-1	100	42	-131	0.65	12%	0.17	-42	3.25%	0	-0.4	28	0
4	Nov_10_2016	94.28	88.89	78.87	78.88	79.12	79.83	81(0.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-26	70	29	-190	1.02	12%	0.17	-46.4	3.24%	0	-0.7	30	0
5	Nov_9_2016	94.12	89.74	78.92	78.44	78.14	78.76	80.4(1.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-49	40	13	-235	1.07	12%	0.15	-49.5	3.24%	0	-0.8	29	0

6	Nov_8_2016	93.98	90.73	81.12	77.72	77.93	78.41	79.2(1.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-43	50	20	-231	0.92	12%	0.14	-53.8	3.23%	0	-1	28	0
7	Nov_7_2016	93.85	91.85	83.62	77.4	77.5	77.53	78.2(3.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-60	10	-2	-232	1.2	12%	0.14	-57.1	3.25%	0	-1.2	25	0
8	Nov_4_2016	93.72	93.13	86.02	77.72	77.63	77.45	75.6(-4.06%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-70	-20	-17	-229	0.71	16%	0.11	-59.2	3.28%	0	-1.6	20	0
9	Nov_3_2016	93.62	94.56	88.5	78.84	78.53	77.48	78.8(2.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-71	-110	-21	-220	0.75	30%	0.15	-61	3.26%	0	-1.5	26	0
10	Nov_2_2016	93.48	95.81	90.67	79.48	79.77	77.81	76.8(-1.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-130	-160	-94	-237	0.54	30%	0.14	-62.7	3.3%	0	-1.9	26	0

11	Nov_1_2016	93.35	97.34	93.1	85.16	82.71	79.59	77.6(-2.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-150	-350	-133	-200	0.92	30%	0.17	-53.6	3.31%	0	-2.2	26	0
12	Oct_31_2016	93.19	98.83	95.6	90.92	89.55	81.73	79.8(-1.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-148	-660	-147	-151	0.95	30%	0.17	-43.8	3.33%	0	-2.4	26	0
13	Oct_28_2016	93.03	100.15	97.94	95.64	95.74	85.83	81.2(-0.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-217	-720	-241	-145	0.79	63%	0.17	-33.5	3.33%	0	-2.9	26	0
14	Oct_27_2016	92.87	101.34	100.02	99.48	100.71	97.38	82(-22.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-3.6	-101	-190	-116	-57	2.18	63%	0.13	-26.9	4.88%	0	-4	27	0
15	Oct_26_2016	92.75	102.45	101.86	103.16	103.46	105.65	105.2(-1.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	33	160	35	25	0.88	100%	0.38	-26.8	4.04%	0	1.2	55	0

16	Oct_25_2016	92.4	102.42	101.32	102.16	102.09	104.05	106.4(2.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	40	130	48	14	0.43	100%	0.39	-41.6	4.04%	0	1.7	47	0
17	Oct_24_2016	92.04	102.42	100.74	101.16	100.94	101.28	103.4(2.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	8	20	15	-14	0.23	100%	0.36	-50.9	4.04%	0	0.5	42	0
18	Oct_21_2016	91.71	102.38	100.68	100.84	100.99	100.13	100.4(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-17	-60	-13	-30	0.24	100%	0.32	-49.8	4.03%	0	-0.8	38	0
19	Oct_20_2016	91.42	102.67	100.92	100.8	101.99	100.61	100.4(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-17	-60	-12	-30	0.16	100%	0.33	-41.2	4.04%	0	-0.9	44	0
20	Oct_19_2016	91.12	103.07	101.15	100.32	101.79	101.86	100.2(-1.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-19	50	-14	-34	0.33	100%	0.33	-37.5	4.04%	0	-1.1	47	0

21	Oct_18_2016	90.82	103.42	101.71	100.28	101.11	103.38	101.4(-0.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	13	180	23	-19	0.34	100%	0.11	-28.7	4.04%	0	-0.8	41	0
22	Oct_17_2016	90.72	103.54	102.12	100.24	100.74	101.73	101.8(1.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	24	80	36	-14	0.67	100%	0.35	-27.1	4.22%	0	-0.7	39	0
23	Oct_14_2016	90.4	103.58	102.38	100.56	100.29	98.85	100.2(2.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-24	-110	-20	-34	0.21	100%	0.34	-27	4.23%	0	-1.3	44	0
24	Oct_13_2016	90.09	103.77	102.68	101.12	101.31	99.75	98(-2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-37	-100	-36	-40	0.22	100%	0.33	-25.8	4.25%	0	-2.4	34	0
25	Oct_12_2016	89.79	104.1	103.15	102.08	102.52	101.74	100(-1.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-27	-40	-24	-37	0.16	100%		-22.4	4.24%	0	-1.9	33	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.