Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GRPN: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Oct. 12, 2016

Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 4, 2011 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Groupon Inc)
GRPN latest price $100.0000 (-1.19%) ($99.8000 - $103.6000) on Wed. Oct. 12, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.24% (three month average)
RSI   33
Latest Price   $100.0000(-1.19%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GRPN declines -1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GRPN declines -1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GRPN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(44%)    IWN(44%)    IWC(43%)    PEJ(43%)    IBUY(42%)
Factors Impacting GRPN price   GRPN will decline at least -2.12% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-13%)    TLT(-10%)    UUP(-7%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.12% (StdDev 4.24%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.8%

Resistance Level   $104.1
5 Day Moving Average   $102.08(-2.04%)
10 Day Moving Average   $103.15(-3.05%)
20 Day Moving Average   $104.1(-3.94%)
To recent high   -15.1%
To recent low   45.3%
Market Cap   $2.868b

Groupon, Inc. operates as a global scaled two-sided marketplace that connects consumers to merchants. The firm provides marketing services by selling vouchers through online local marketplaces. It operates through North America and International segment. The company was founded by Andrew D. Mason, Eric Paul Lefkofsky, and Bradley A. Keywell on January 15, 2008 and is headquartered in Chicago, IL.

$. GRPN price fluctuates within 2.1% (three month std-dev: 4.24%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 11 Average positive next day return: 0.9%(36%) Average negative next day return: -1.55%(64%) Sample size 11 Average positive next three day return: 2.27%(64%) Average negative next three day return: -2.57%(36%) Sample size 11 Average positive next weekly return: 4.13%(45%) Average negative next weekly return: -2%(55%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161112

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_12_2016	89.79	104.1	103.15	102.08	102.52	101.74	100(-1.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-27	-40	-24	-37	0.16	100%	0.36	-22.4	4.24%	0	-1.9	33	0
2	Oct_11_2016	89.47	104.18	103.69	103.32	103.19	102.86	101.2(-2.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-20	-30	-17	-28	0.17	100%	0.38	-21.9	4.24%	0	-1.5	38	0
3	Oct_10_2016	89.13	104.26	104.23	104.24	104.24	103.3	103.4(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-9	-60	-7	-14	0.11	100%	0.39	-29	4.22%	0	-0.4	51	0
4	Oct_7_2016	88.78	104.28	104.26	104.24	104.67	103.51	103(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-20	-70	-21	-16	0.22	100%	0.4	-33.7	4.23%	0	-0.7	54	0
5	Oct_6_2016	88.43	104.41	104.6	104.48	104.89	105.19	102.8(-3.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-5	30	-5	-6	0.25	100%	0.41	-38.6	4.23%	0	-0.8	50	0

6	Oct_5_2016	88.07	104.58	105.16	104.32	104.65	105.83	106.2(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	18	90	21	9	0.36	100%	0.46	-40.5	4.2%	0	0.8	55	0
7	Oct_4_2016	87.67	104.63	105.25	104.12	103.91	104.6	105.8(1.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	11	40	11	11	0.3	100%	0.44	-37.2	4.21%	0	0.5	61	0
8	Oct_3_2016	87.29	104.82	105.04	104.28	104.13	103.48	104.6(1.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	3	-50	-0	10	0.23	100%	0.44	-30.4	4.24%	0	-0.1	56	0
9	Sep_30_2016	86.91	104.94	104.83	104.08	104.74	103.23	103(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-19	-80	-24	-3	0.31	100%	0.4	-33.3	4.24%	0	-0.8	50	0
10	Sep_29_2016	86.56	105.18	104.93	104.76	105.15	104.78	102(-3.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-23	-10	-30	-3	0.28	100%	0.39	-25.3	4.24%	0	-1.3	45	0

11	Sep_28_2016	86.22	105.42	105.16	106.08	106.13	106.25	105.2(-1.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	6	10	2	18	0.17	100%	0.41	-15.4	4.24%	0	-0.1	48	0
12	Sep_27_2016	85.87	105.51	104.76	106.52	106.76	105.53	106.6(2.9%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	1	-70	-2	11	0.27	92%	0.47	-17.9	4.25%	0	0.5	47	0
13	Sep_26_2016	85.47	105.56	104.32	105.92	106.57	106	103.6(-2.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-18	-20	-21	-10	0.18	92%	0.45	-29.1	4.31%	0	-0.8	36	0
14	Sep_23_2016	85.09	105.76	104.35	105.64	106.39	107.99	106.4(-2.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	15	130	20	-0	0.14	84%	0.5	-38.2	4.38%	0	0.3	48	0
15	Sep_22_2016	84.67	105.81	104.23	105.08	105.31	107.14	108.6(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	30	130	40	1	0.31	84%	0.5	-52.6	4.37%	0	1.1	50	0

16	Sep_21_2016	84.25	105.79	103.92	104.12	103.98	104.8	107.4(3.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	17	50	27	-12	0.25	84%	0.49	-68.5	4.4%	0	0.6	51	0
17	Sep_20_2016	83.84	105.94	103.86	102.8	103.14	103.48	103.6(1.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-1	30	9	-29	0.35	84%	0.41	-80.2	4.38%	0	-0.9	42	0
18	Sep_19_2016	83.5	106.29	104.48	102.52	102.51	103.16	102.2(-1.35%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-6	40	3	-31	0.13	84%	0.37	-88.4	4.38%	0	-1.4	37	0
19	Sep_16_2016	83.19	106.72	104.98	102.84	102.38	102.81	103.6(-0.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	0	20	9	-27	0.56	84%	0.18	-92.8	4.38%	0	-1.1	40	0
20	Sep_15_2016	83.04	107.13	105.39	103.24	102.41	101.85	103.8(2.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-15	-60	-9	-32	0.28	84%	0.14	-94.9	4.38%	0	-1.1	41	0

21	Sep_14_2016	82.92	107.53	105.68	103.72	103.23	101.95	100.8(-1.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-30	-100	-27	-39	0.2	84%	0.11	-97.1	4.37%	0	-2.3	28	0
22	Sep_13_2016	82.83	108.18	106.37	105.08	104.67	102.96	102.2(-1.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-37	-130	-36	-38	0.27	84%	0.13	-95.8	4.37%	0	-2.1	26	0
23	Sep_12_2016	82.72	108.85	106.99	106.72	106.36	104.51	103.8(-1.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-31	-130	-32	-28	0.31	84%	0.18	-82.1	4.37%	0	-1.8	31	0
24	Sep_9_2016	82.57	109.39	107.4	107.4	107.43	106.38	105.6(-0.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-27	-70	-27	-25	0.34	77%	0.18	-75.8	4.37%	0	-1.3	34	0
25	Sep_8_2016	82.42	109.98	107.62	107.84	108.03	108.2	106.2(-1.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-8	20	-5	-18	0.17	77%		-51.7	4.46%	0	-1.2	32	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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