Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GRPN: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Oct. 4, 2016

Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 4, 2011 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Groupon Inc)
GRPN latest price $105.8000 (1.15%) ($103.2000 - $107.0000) on Tue. Oct. 4, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.21% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $105.8000(1.15%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GRPN declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GRPN advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GRPN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWN(45%)    IWM(44%)    IWC(43%)    PEJ(43%)    IBUY(42%)
Factors Impacting GRPN price   GRPN will decline at least -2.105% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-13%)    TLT(-10%)    UUP(-7%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.105% (StdDev 4.21%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $104.12(1.61%)
10 Day Moving Average   $105.25(0.52%)
20 Day Moving Average   $104.63(1.12%)
To recent high   -10.2%
To recent low   62.8%
Market Cap   $3.035b

Groupon, Inc. operates as a global scaled two-sided marketplace that connects consumers to merchants. The firm provides marketing services by selling vouchers through online local marketplaces. It operates through North America and International segment. The company was founded by Andrew D. Mason, Eric Paul Lefkofsky, and Bradley A. Keywell on January 15, 2008 and is headquartered in Chicago, IL.

$. GRPN price fluctuates within 2.26% (three month std-dev: 4.21%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 9 Average positive next day return: 1.24%(56%) Average negative next day return: -0.69%(44%) Sample size 9 Average positive next three day return: 0.87%(56%) Average negative next three day return: -1.71%(44%) Sample size 9 Average positive next weekly return: 0.89%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.78%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161104

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_4_2016	87.67	104.63	105.25	104.12	103.91	104.6	105.8(1.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	11	40	11	11	0.3	100%	0.44	-37.2	4.21%	0	0.5	61	INF
2	Oct_3_2016	87.29	104.82	105.04	104.28	104.13	103.48	104.6(1.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	3	-50	-0	10	0.23	100%	0.44	-30.4	4.24%	0	-0.1	56	INF
3	Sep_30_2016	86.91	104.94	104.83	104.08	104.74	103.23	103(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-19	-80	-24	-3	0.31	100%	0.4	-33.3	4.24%	0	-0.8	50	INF
4	Sep_29_2016	86.56	105.18	104.93	104.76	105.15	104.78	102(-3.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-23	-10	-30	-3	0.28	100%	0.39	-25.3	4.24%	0	-1.3	45	INF
5	Sep_28_2016	86.22	105.42	105.16	106.08	106.13	106.25	105.2(-1.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	6	10	2	18	0.17	100%	0.41	-15.4	4.24%	0	-0.1	48	INF

6	Sep_27_2016	85.87	105.51	104.76	106.52	106.76	105.53	106.6(2.9%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	1	-70	-2	11	0.27	92%	0.47	-17.9	4.25%	0	0.5	47	INF
7	Sep_26_2016	85.47	105.56	104.32	105.92	106.57	106	103.6(-2.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-18	-20	-21	-10	0.18	92%	0.45	-29.1	4.31%	0	-0.8	36	INF
8	Sep_23_2016	85.09	105.76	104.35	105.64	106.39	107.99	106.4(-2.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	15	130	20	-0	0.14	84%	0.5	-38.2	4.38%	0	0.3	48	INF
9	Sep_22_2016	84.67	105.81	104.23	105.08	105.31	107.14	108.6(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	30	130	40	1	0.31	84%	0.5	-52.6	4.37%	0	1.1	50	INF
10	Sep_21_2016	84.25	105.79	103.92	104.12	103.98	104.8	107.4(3.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	17	50	27	-12	0.25	84%	0.49	-68.5	4.4%	0	0.6	51	INF

11	Sep_20_2016	83.84	105.94	103.86	102.8	103.14	103.48	103.6(1.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-1	30	9	-29	0.35	84%	0.41	-80.2	4.38%	0	-0.9	42	INF
12	Sep_19_2016	83.5	106.29	104.48	102.52	102.51	103.16	102.2(-1.35%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-6	40	3	-31	0.13	84%	0.37	-88.4	4.38%	0	-1.4	37	INF
13	Sep_16_2016	83.19	106.72	104.98	102.84	102.38	102.81	103.6(-0.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	0	20	9	-27	0.56	84%	0.18	-92.8	4.38%	0	-1.1	40	INF
14	Sep_15_2016	83.04	107.13	105.39	103.24	102.41	101.85	103.8(2.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-15	-60	-9	-32	0.28	84%	0.14	-94.9	4.38%	0	-1.1	41	INF
15	Sep_14_2016	82.92	107.53	105.68	103.72	103.23	101.95	100.8(-1.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-30	-100	-27	-39	0.2	84%	0.11	-97.1	4.37%	0	-2.3	28	INF

16	Sep_13_2016	82.83	108.18	106.37	105.08	104.67	102.96	102.2(-1.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-37	-130	-36	-38	0.27	84%	0.13	-95.8	4.37%	0	-2.1	26	INF
17	Sep_12_2016	82.72	108.85	106.99	106.72	106.36	104.51	103.8(-1.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-31	-130	-32	-28	0.31	84%	0.18	-82.1	4.37%	0	-1.8	31	INF
18	Sep_9_2016	82.57	109.39	107.4	107.4	107.43	106.38	105.6(-0.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-27	-70	-27	-25	0.34	77%	0.18	-75.8	4.37%	0	-1.3	34	INF
19	Sep_8_2016	82.42	109.98	107.62	107.84	108.03	108.2	106.2(-1.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-8	20	-5	-18	0.17	77%	0.18	-51.7	4.46%	0	-1.2	32	INF
20	Sep_7_2016	82.27	110.47	107.89	107.92	108.21	108.48	107.6(-2.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	6	30	12	-14	0.25	77%	0.21	-37.2	4.46%	0	-0.9	35	INF

21	Sep_6_2016	82.1	110.94	108.22	107.84	107.5	107.85	110.4(2.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-5	10	1	-23	0.34	77%	0.12	-17.2	4.45%	0	-0.2	36	INF
22	Sep_2_2016	82	111.25	108.19	107.36	107.53	107.95	107.2(-0.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	1	30	10	-28	0.21	77%	0.23	0.6	4.42%	0	-1.1	17	INF
23	Sep_1_2016	81.81	111.59	108.53	107.44	107.35	107.15	107.8(1.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-8	-20	2	-36	0.28	77%	0.21	22.9	4.42%	0	-1	24	INF
24	Aug_31_2016	81.64	111.67	108.93	107.4	107.16	107.1	106.6(-0.56%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-20	-10	-10	-48	0.3	77%	0.25	36.3	4.42%	0	-1.4	14	INF
25	Aug_30_2016	81.44	111.73	109.45	107.84	107.6	107.55	107.2(-0.74%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-15	-10	-4	-48	0.19	77%		71.3	4.42%	0	-1.1	24	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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