Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GRPN: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Sep. 7, 2016

Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 4, 2011 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Groupon Inc)
GRPN latest price $107.6000 (-2.54%) ($107.4000 - $111.0000) on Wed. Sep. 7, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.46% (three month average)
RSI   35
Latest Price   $107.6000(-2.54%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GRPN advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GRPN declines -1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GRPN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(44%)    IWN(44%)    IWC(43%)    PEJ(43%)    IWO(42%)
Factors Impacting GRPN price   GRPN will decline at least -2.23% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-13%)    TLT(-10%)    UUP(-7%)    SHY(-6%)    IPO(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.23% (StdDev 4.46%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3.1%

Resistance Level   $110.47
5 Day Moving Average   $107.92(-0.3%)
10 Day Moving Average   $107.89(-0.27%)
20 Day Moving Average   $110.47(-2.6%)
To recent high   -8.7%
To recent low   80.5%
Market Cap   $3.086b

Groupon, Inc. operates as a global scaled two-sided marketplace that connects consumers to merchants. The firm provides marketing services by selling vouchers through online local marketplaces. It operates through North America and International segment. The company was founded by Andrew D. Mason, Eric Paul Lefkofsky, and Bradley A. Keywell on January 15, 2008 and is headquartered in Chicago, IL.

$. GRPN price fluctuates within 3.01% (three month std-dev: 4.46%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 9 Average positive next day return: 1.12%(44%) Average negative next day return: -1.01%(56%) Sample size 9 Average positive next three day return: 1.49%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -2.72%(67%) Sample size 9 Average positive next weekly return: 3.2%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.23%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161007

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_7_2016	82.27	110.47	107.89	107.92	108.21	108.48	107.6(-2.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	6	30	12	-14	0.25	77%	0.21	-37.2	4.46%	0	-0.9	35	INF
2	Sep_6_2016	82.1	110.94	108.22	107.84	107.5	107.85	110.4(2.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-5	10	1	-23	0.34	77%	0.12	-17.2	4.45%	0	-0.2	36	INF
3	Sep_2_2016	82	111.25	108.19	107.36	107.53	107.95	107.2(-0.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	1	30	10	-28	0.21	77%	0.23	0.6	4.42%	0	-1.1	17	INF
4	Sep_1_2016	81.81	111.59	108.53	107.44	107.35	107.15	107.8(1.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-8	-20	2	-36	0.28	77%	0.21	22.9	4.42%	0	-1	24	INF
5	Aug_31_2016	81.64	111.67	108.93	107.4	107.16	107.1	106.6(-0.56%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-20	-10	-10	-48	0.3	77%	0.25	36.3	4.42%	0	-1.4	14	INF

6	Aug_30_2016	81.44	111.73	109.45	107.84	107.6	107.55	107.2(-0.74%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-15	-10	-4	-48	0.19	77%	0.31	71.3	4.42%	0	-1.1	24	INF
7	Aug_29_2016	81.19	111.55	110.1	108.64	108.2	107.23	108(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-23	-70	-14	-50	0.28	77%	0.3	92	4.45%	0	-0.8	23	INF
8	Aug_26_2016	80.95	111.22	110.83	109.16	109.21	107.65	107.6(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-33	-100	-26	-54	0.28	77%	0.27	101	4.45%	0	-0.6	22	INF
9	Aug_25_2016	80.73	110.76	111.54	109.8	110.06	109.18	107.6(-1.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-32	-50	-26	-50	0.26	77%	0.24	112.9	4.45%	0	-0.5	37	INF
10	Aug_24_2016	80.54	110.34	112.55	110.68	110.73	110.78	108.8(-2.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-13	0	-8	-28	0.28	77%	0.26	89	4.44%	0	-0.2	55	INF

11	Aug_23_2016	80.33	108.86	113.3	111.28	111.23	110.95	111.2(0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-4	-20	-1	-12	0.27	77%	0.32	76.5	4.43%	0	0.2	64	INF
12	Aug_22_2016	80.07	107.36	113.89	111.8	111.56	110.68	110.6(-0.18%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.1	-14	-60	-19	1	0.2	77%	0.4	70.4	4.44%	0	0.2	70	INF
13	Aug_19_2016	79.75	105.8	114.56	112.8	112.36	111.5	110.8(-1.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-9	-70	-21	26	0.27	77%	0.39	66.4	4.43%	0	0.3	73	INF
14	Aug_18_2016	79.44	104.11	114.92	113.56	113.4	112.45	112(0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	2	-60	-16	54	0.3	77%	0.44	65.7	4.43%	0	0.5	79	INF
15	Aug_17_2016	79.09	102.36	114.68	114.72	113.76	113.23	111.8(-1.76%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	2	-60	-23	75	0.33	77%	0.41	67.3	4.43%	0	0.6	76	INF

16	Aug_16_2016	78.77	100.66	114.27	115.6	114.85	114.35	113.8(-1.56%)	UT	HoldLong	50	-0.1	28	-50	-6	129	0.26	77%	0.47	70.3	4.42%	0	0.8	91	INF
17	Aug_15_2016	78.4	98.8	113.21	116.28	115.45	114.3	115.6(0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	29	-90	-17	168	0.45	77%	0.49	73.7	4.41%	0	1	87	INF
18	Aug_12_2016	78.02	96.88	111.73	116.6	115.96	115.35	114.6(-2.72%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	40	-50	-17	211	0.76	77%	0.46	76.5	4.41%	0	1	87	INF
19	Aug_11_2016	77.66	94.67	110.02	116.44	116.51	116.6	117.8(1.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	79	10	16	267	0.47	77%	0.54	77.7	4.4%	0	1.3	91	INF
20	Aug_10_2016	77.24	92.32	108	114.6	115.31	116.58	116.2(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	91	100	22	299	0.56	77%	0.44	77.7	4.42%	0	1.4	90	INF

21	Aug_9_2016	76.9	89.93	104.15	112.68	113.43	116.43	117.2(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	123	210	60	313	0.69	77%	0.46	78	4.44%	0	1.6	88	INF
22	Aug_8_2016	76.55	87.5	100.34	109.64	110.36	114.05	117.2(2.99%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	140	250	82	313	0.95	77%	0.49	78.5	4.44%	0	1.8	88	INF
23	Aug_5_2016	76.18	85.01	96.31	106.16	106.51	110.43	113.8(4.79%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	137	270	84	296	0.92	77%	0.41	78.9	4.44%	0	1.9	85	INF
24	Aug_4_2016	75.87	82.63	92.36	102.68	102.6	106.68	108.6(1.88%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	129	280	78	281	1.08	76%	0.38	79.6	4.45%	0	1.9	86	INF
25	Aug_3_2016	75.58	80.46	88.96	100.44	99.38	102.6	106.6(4.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	139	200	90	285	1.11	76%		82.7	4.44%	0	2.1	83	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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