Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GRPN: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Apr. 5, 2016

Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 4, 2011 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Groupon Inc)
GRPN latest price $87.8000 (2.33%) ($84.2000 - $88.0000) on Tue. Apr. 5, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   7.62% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $87.8000(2.33%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GRPN advances 2.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GRPN advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GRPN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(44%)    IWN(44%)    IWC(43%)    PEJ(43%)    IWO(42%)
Factors Impacting GRPN price   GRPN will decline at least -3.81% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    TLT(-10%)    UUP(-7%)    SHY(-6%)    IPO(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.81% (StdDev 7.62%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $81.96(7.13%)
10 Day Moving Average   $80.66(8.85%)
20 Day Moving Average   $81.57(7.64%)
To recent high   -9.7%
To recent low   97.7%
Market Cap   $2.518b

Groupon, Inc. operates as a global scaled two-sided marketplace that connects consumers to merchants. The firm provides marketing services by selling vouchers through online local marketplaces. It operates through North America and International segment. The company was founded by Andrew D. Mason, Eric Paul Lefkofsky, and Bradley A. Keywell on January 15, 2008 and is headquartered in Chicago, IL.

$. GRPN price fluctuates within 4.27% (three month std-dev: 7.62%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 2.23%(50%) Average negative next day return: -2.32%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 6.15%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -48.52%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 1.68%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -39.45%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160505

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_5_2016	66.65	81.57	80.66	81.96	82.21	85.63	87.8(2.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	35	300	40	20	0.71	68%	0.56	-80.8	7.62%	0	1.8	63	0
2	Apr_4_2016	66.28	81.83	80.09	80.28	80.29	81.55	85.8(9.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	25	110	30	8	1.43	68%	0.55	-75.2	7.63%	0	0.9	54	0
3	Apr_1_2016	65.92	82.24	79.53	78.72	78.68	78.8	78.4(-1.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-5	10	-2	-15	0.33	66%	0.4	-66	7.56%	0	-0.7	42	0
4	Mar_31_2016	65.66	83.12	79.97	78.76	78.76	79.03	79.8(2.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	2	20	6	-10	0.34	66%	0.41	-48.2	7.62%	0	-0.5	49	0
5	Mar_30_2016	65.39	83.76	80.03	78.28	78.36	78.55	78(-1.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-8	20	-4	-18	0.4	66%	0.4	-42.3	7.62%	0	-0.9	43	0

6	Mar_29_2016	65.13	84.48	80.2	79.12	78.64	78.5	79.4(1.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-10	-30	-5	-25	0.4	66%	0.42	-33.3	7.62%	0	-0.8	32	0
7	Mar_28_2016	64.86	85.27	80.51	79.88	79.69	78.18	78(-0.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-15	-140	-9	-33	0.32	66%	0.48	-23.4	7.62%	0	-1.1	26	0
8	Mar_24_2016	64.55	85.88	81	80.48	80.46	78.78	78.6(1.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-30	-150	-24	-47	0.4	66%	0.31	-16.8	7.64%	0	-1.1	26	0
9	Mar_23_2016	64.35	86.15	81.25	81.36	81.83	81.2	77.4(-5.84%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-21	-40	-11	-51	0.45	67%	-0.05	-9.4	7.64%	0	-1.4	23	0
10	Mar_22_2016	64.38	86.55	81.77	81.96	82.52	82.15	82.2(-1.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-12	-10	2	-52	0.22	67%	0.08	-1	7.62%	0	-0.7	35	0

11	Mar_21_2016	64.33	86.7	82.61	81.4	81.94	82.45	83.2(2.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-15	60	-1	-58	0.35	67%	0.16	-1.5	7.61%	0	-0.6	37	0
12	Mar_18_2016	64.23	86.87	83.68	81.28	81.44	82.89	81(-2.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-7	130	9	-55	0.72	67%	0.16	19.9	7.61%	0	-1	30	0
13	Mar_17_2016	64.13	86.97	85.08	81.64	81.4	81.43	83(3.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-4	-10	11	-49	0.45	67%	0.17	49.1	7.61%	0	-0.6	43	0
14	Mar_16_2016	64.02	86.74	86.41	81.2	81.38	79.99	80.4(1.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-22	-110	-13	-50	0.54	67%	0.2	68.5	7.6%	0	-1	51	0
15	Mar_15_2016	63.89	86.61	87.7	81.56	81.96	81.38	79.4(-3.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-27	-30	-21	-45	0.89	67%	0.16	96.3	7.6%	0	-1.1	49	0

16	Mar_14_2016	63.79	86.78	89.08	84	83.05	82.78	82.6(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-19	-60	-16	-26	0.43	67%	0.16	139.3	7.58%	0	-0.6	51	0
17	Mar_11_2016	63.69	85.72	90.4	86.52	85.58	82.55	82.8(2.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-23	-280	-27	-11	0.59	67%	0.16	116.9	7.59%	0	-0.3	49	0
18	Mar_10_2016	63.59	84.05	91.21	89.12	89.08	83.33	80.8(-1.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-46	-450	-60	-5	0.62	67%	0.13	88.3	7.61%	0	-0.3	53	0
19	Mar_9_2016	63.51	82.47	91.62	92.4	93.06	88.6	82.2(-10.26%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.7	-38	-310	-57	19	0.77	67%	0.11	80.9	7.6%	0	-0	61	0
20	Mar_8_2016	63.44	80.78	91.99	94.6	95.59	94.84	91.6(-3.78%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	1	-20	-17	56	0.61	73%	0.32	75.5	7.47%	0	0.6	74	0

21	Mar_7_2016	63.24	78.62	91.34	94.8	95.33	97.51	95.2(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	26	180	10	73	0.66	70%	0.32	69.9	7.46%	0	0.9	66	0
22	Mar_4_2016	63.04	76.35	90.44	94.88	94.7	96.35	95.8(-1.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	50	120	30	111	1.16	70%	0.37	67.5	7.52%	0	1	83	0
23	Mar_3_2016	62.81	74.2	89.06	93.68	93.3	93.15	97.2(4.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	46	-20	15	140	0.85	70%	0.4	66	7.51%	0	1.2	88	0
24	Mar_2_2016	62.56	71.8	87.03	90.8	91.94	93.05	93.2(0.65%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	49	120	11	162	0.52	71%	0.34	60.6	7.51%	0	1.1	88	0
25	Mar_1_2016	62.35	69.59	85.32	88.96	89.91	93.45	92.6(-3.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	77	310	34	204	0.94	71%		56.6	7.55%	0	1.2	88	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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