Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GRPN: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Jan. 28, 2016

Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 4, 2011 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Groupon Inc)
GRPN latest price $53.8000 (0%) ($53.4000 - $56.6000) on Thu. Jan. 28, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.78% (three month average)
RSI   44
Latest Price   $53.8000(0%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GRPN advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GRPN advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Rotation from growth to value for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GRPN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(44%)    IWN(44%)    PEJ(43%)    IWO(42%)    XRT(40%)
Factors Impacting GRPN price   GRPN will decline at least -2.39% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-15%)    TLT(-11%)    SHY(-6%)    UUP(-5%)    XLRE(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.39% (StdDev 4.78%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.2%

Resistance Level   $54.81
5 Day Moving Average   $53.72(0.15%)
10 Day Moving Average   $52.4(2.67%)
20 Day Moving Average   $54.81(-1.84%)
To recent high   -33.3%
To recent low   12.6%
Market Cap   $1.543b

Groupon, Inc. operates as a global scaled two-sided marketplace that connects consumers to merchants. The firm provides marketing services by selling vouchers through online local marketplaces. It operates through North America and International segment. The company was founded by Andrew D. Mason, Eric Paul Lefkofsky, and Bradley A. Keywell on January 15, 2008 and is headquartered in Chicago, IL.

$. GRPN price fluctuates within 7.32% (three month std-dev: 4.78%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160228

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_28_2016	64.58	54.81	52.4	53.72	54.15	54.78	53.8(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	11	110	12	8	0.36	48%	-0.48	-56.7	4.78%	0	-0.3	44	0
2	Jan_27_2016	64.89	55.22	52.12	53.12	53.5	54.51	53.8(-3.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	18	150	28	-14	0.34	48%	-0.49	-55.1	4.82%	0	-0.3	39	0
3	Jan_26_2016	65.21	55.64	51.97	51.92	52.15	53.53	55.6(6.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	12	200	32	-49	0.32	46%	-0.15	-58.5	4.81%	0	-0	38	0
4	Jan_25_2016	65.31	56.09	51.66	50.68	50.43	52.49	52.4(-1.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-5	270	21	-84	0.24	43%	-0.52	-60.4	4.76%	0	-0.7	38	0
5	Jan_22_2016	65.65	56.72	51.93	50.6	50.04	50.78	53(4.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-8	70	22	-96	0.37	43%	-0.52	-59.2	4.76%	0	-0.7	37	0

6	Jan_21_2016	65.99	57.18	52.29	50.98	50.07	48.38	50.8(6.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-41	-290	-15	-119	0.37	42%	-0.57	-53.8	4.73%	0	-1.2	32	0
7	Jan_20_2016	66.37	57.74	53.21	51.02	50.78	49.31	47.8(-3.24%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-66	-220	-42	-136	0.76	40%	-0.58	-53.2	4.66%	0	-1.8	24	0
8	Jan_19_2016	66.76	58.54	54.67	51.98	52	51.76	49.4(-5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-40	-30	-15	-114	0.44	39%	-1.01	-51.1	4.68%	0	-1.8	26	0
9	Jan_15_2016	67.44	59.27	55.73	52.7	52.54	52.26	52(-5.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-35	-50	-9	-114	0.37	42%	-0.52	-51.5	4.67%	0	-1.6	25	0
10	Jan_14_2016	67.79	59.86	56.67	53.42	53.04	52.24	54.9(7.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-43	-130	-18	-118	0.59	44%	-0.46	-48	4.63%	0	-1.1	29	0

11	Jan_13_2016	68.1	60.24	57.4	53.88	54.27	52.83	51(-3.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-59	-160	-37	-123	0.45	40%	-0.44	-44.6	4.52%	0	-2.2	28	0
12	Jan_12_2016	68.4	60.85	58.61	55.8	55.86	53.84	52.6(-0.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-63	-250	-49	-106	0.31	40%	-0.41	-32.7	4.51%	0	-2.3	31	0
13	Jan_11_2016	68.68	61.26	59.67	57.8	57.84	55.71	53(-4.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-56	-260	-47	-83	0.47	40%	-0.43	-23.8	4.52%	0	-2.7	30	0
14	Jan_8_2016	68.98	61.73	60.95	59.18	59.69	57.88	55.6(-2.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-43	-190	-37	-60	0.23	42%	-0.39	-13.5	4.49%	0	-2.6	33	0
15	Jan_7_2016	69.25	62.02	61.96	60.34	60.46	59.98	57.2(-5.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-34	-50	-31	-41	0.37	47%	-0.4	-3	4.49%	0	-2.6	36	0

16	Jan_6_2016	69.53	62.19	62.52	61.42	61.37	61.5	60.6(-3.19%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-3	10	1	-15	0.4	49%	-0.36	23.8	4.58%	0	-1	47	0
17	Jan_5_2016	69.78	62.06	62.67	61.86	61.68	60.94	62.6(4.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-8	-90	-6	-14	0.39	52%	-0.37	29.8	4.57%	0	0.3	53	0
18	Jan_4_2016	70.04	61.99	62.71	61.9	62.06	61.24	59.9(-2.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-24	-80	-26	-16	0.37	52%	-0.62	32.6	4.59%	0	-1.1	55	0
19	Dec_31_2015	70.48	62.05	63.08	63.04	62.92	62.43	61.4(-1.92%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.9	-11	-60	-16	5	0.24	54%	-0.35	59.3	4.62%	0	-0.3	52	0
20	Dec_30_2015	70.73	62.07	63.3	63.84	63.77	62.88	62.6(-0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	0	-100	-8	24	0.36	54%	-0.32	83	4.62%	0	0.3	59	0

21	Dec_29_2015	70.96	61.83	63.28	63.76	64.14	63.41	62.8(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-1	-60	-10	27	0.26	54%	-0.34	76.5	4.62%	0	0.5	61	0
22	Dec_28_2015	71.2	61.59	63.24	63.56	63.87	64.66	62.8(-4.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	9	100	-1	38	0.31	51%	-0.67	77	4.62%	0	0.5	68	0
23	Dec_24_2015	71.68	61.36	62.96	63.6	63.61	64.88	65.6(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	31	140	26	47	0.16	50%	-0.42	79.4	4.66%	0	1.8	60	0
24	Dec_23_2015	71.98	60.97	62.54	63.16	63.01	63.08	65.4(5.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	19	0	12	39	0.35	46%	-0.42	86.9	4.66%	0	2	61	0
25	Dec_22_2015	72.28	60.56	62.02	62.76	62.86	62.35	62.2(0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	1	-50	-7	25	0.28	44%		93.1	4.73%	0	0.8	52	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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