Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GRPN: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Jan. 21, 2016

Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 4, 2011 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Groupon Inc)
GRPN latest price $50.8000 (6.28%) ($47.4000 - $52.0000) on Thu. Jan. 21, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.73% (three month average)
RSI   32
Latest Price   $50.8000(6.28%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GRPN declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GRPN declines -8.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GRPN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(44%)    IWN(44%)    PEJ(43%)    IWO(42%)    XRT(40%)
Factors Impacting GRPN price   GRPN will decline at least -2.365% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-15%)    TLT(-11%)    SHY(-6%)    UUP(-5%)    XLRE(-2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.365% (StdDev 4.73%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 6.7%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $35.05(-31%)
Resistance Level   $57.18
5 Day Moving Average   $50.98(-0.35%)
10 Day Moving Average   $52.29(-2.85%)
20 Day Moving Average   $57.18(-11.16%)
To recent high   -37%
To recent low   6.3%
Market Cap   $1.457b

Groupon, Inc. operates as a global scaled two-sided marketplace that connects consumers to merchants. The firm provides marketing services by selling vouchers through online local marketplaces. It operates through North America and International segment. The company was founded by Andrew D. Mason, Eric Paul Lefkofsky, and Bradley A. Keywell on January 15, 2008 and is headquartered in Chicago, IL.

$. GRPN price fluctuates within 9.46% (three month std-dev: 4.73%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 15 Average positive next day return: 5.17%(40%) Average negative next day return: -2.39%(60%) Sample size 15 Average positive next three day return: 6.14%(60%) Average negative next three day return: -6.66%(40%) Sample size 15 Average positive next weekly return: 7.92%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.72%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160221

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_21_2016	65.99	57.18	52.29	50.98	50.07	48.38	50.8(6.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-41	-290	-15	-119	0.37	42%	-0.57	-53.8	4.73%	0	-1.2	32	0
2	Jan_20_2016	66.37	57.74	53.21	51.02	50.78	49.31	47.8(-3.24%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-66	-220	-42	-136	0.76	40%	-0.58	-53.2	4.66%	0	-1.8	24	0
3	Jan_19_2016	66.76	58.54	54.67	51.98	52	51.76	49.4(-5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-40	-30	-15	-114	0.44	39%	-1.01	-51.1	4.68%	0	-1.8	26	0
4	Jan_15_2016	67.44	59.27	55.73	52.7	52.54	52.26	52(-5.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-35	-50	-9	-114	0.37	42%	-0.52	-51.5	4.67%	0	-1.6	25	0
5	Jan_14_2016	67.79	59.86	56.67	53.42	53.04	52.24	54.9(7.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-43	-130	-18	-118	0.59	44%	-0.46	-48	4.63%	0	-1.1	29	0

6	Jan_13_2016	68.1	60.24	57.4	53.88	54.27	52.83	51(-3.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-59	-160	-37	-123	0.45	40%	-0.44	-44.6	4.52%	0	-2.2	28	0
7	Jan_12_2016	68.4	60.85	58.61	55.8	55.86	53.84	52.6(-0.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-63	-250	-49	-106	0.31	40%	-0.41	-32.7	4.51%	0	-2.3	31	0
8	Jan_11_2016	68.68	61.26	59.67	57.8	57.84	55.71	53(-4.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-56	-260	-47	-83	0.47	40%	-0.43	-23.8	4.52%	0	-2.7	30	0
9	Jan_8_2016	68.98	61.73	60.95	59.18	59.69	57.88	55.6(-2.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-43	-190	-37	-60	0.23	42%	-0.39	-13.5	4.49%	0	-2.6	33	0
10	Jan_7_2016	69.25	62.02	61.96	60.34	60.46	59.98	57.2(-5.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-34	-50	-31	-41	0.37	47%	-0.4	-3	4.49%	0	-2.6	36	0

11	Jan_6_2016	69.53	62.19	62.52	61.42	61.37	61.5	60.6(-3.19%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-3	10	1	-15	0.4	49%	-0.36	23.8	4.58%	0	-1	47	0
12	Jan_5_2016	69.78	62.06	62.67	61.86	61.68	60.94	62.6(4.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-8	-90	-6	-14	0.39	52%	-0.37	29.8	4.57%	0	0.3	53	0
13	Jan_4_2016	70.04	61.99	62.71	61.9	62.06	61.24	59.9(-2.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-24	-80	-26	-16	0.37	52%	-0.62	32.6	4.59%	0	-1.1	55	0
14	Dec_31_2015	70.48	62.05	63.08	63.04	62.92	62.43	61.4(-1.92%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.9	-11	-60	-16	5	0.24	54%	-0.35	59.3	4.62%	0	-0.3	52	0
15	Dec_30_2015	70.73	62.07	63.3	63.84	63.77	62.88	62.6(-0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	0	-100	-8	24	0.36	54%	-0.32	83	4.62%	0	0.3	59	0

16	Dec_29_2015	70.96	61.83	63.28	63.76	64.14	63.41	62.8(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-1	-60	-10	27	0.26	54%	-0.34	76.5	4.62%	0	0.5	61	0
17	Dec_28_2015	71.2	61.59	63.24	63.56	63.87	64.66	62.8(-4.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	9	100	-1	38	0.31	51%	-0.67	77	4.62%	0	0.5	68	0
18	Dec_24_2015	71.68	61.36	62.96	63.6	63.61	64.88	65.6(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	31	140	26	47	0.16	50%	-0.42	79.4	4.66%	0	1.8	60	0
19	Dec_23_2015	71.98	60.97	62.54	63.16	63.01	63.08	65.4(5.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	19	0	12	39	0.35	46%	-0.42	86.9	4.66%	0	2	61	0
20	Dec_22_2015	72.28	60.56	62.02	63.16	62.86	62.35	62.2(0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	1	-50	-7	25	0.28	44%	-0.43	93.1	4.73%	0	0.8	52	0

21	Dec_21_2015	72.59	60.26	61.82	62.76	63.04	62.95	61.8(-1.9%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	5	0	-4	32	0.22	43%	-0.48	93.9	4.73%	0	0.7	62	0
22	Dec_18_2015	72.94	59.91	61.4	62.84	62.88	63.36	63(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	60	10	38	0.78	43%	-0.45	90.9	4.74%	0	1.2	64	0
23	Dec_17_2015	73.27	59.55	61.21	62.16	62.43	63.14	63.4(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	22	90	16	39	0.24	43%	-0.46	88.2	4.74%	0	1.5	64	0
24	Dec_16_2015	73.61	59.08	60.92	61.8	61.59	62.4	63.4(1.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	20	80	13	41	0.33	43%	-0.49	81.1	4.74%	0	1.6	64	0
25	Dec_15_2015	73.97	58.66	60.7	61.2	61.28	61.73	62.2(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	24	60	17	44	0.28	43%		79.9	4.74%	0	1.4	64	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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